David Goggins_ How to Build Immense Inner Strength

David Goggins_ How to Build Immense Inner Strength- English

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Welcome
to the Huberman Lab podcast

where we discuss science
and science-based tools

for everyday life.

[MUSIC PLAYING]

I'm Andrew Huberman,
and I'm a professor

of neurobiology
and ophthalmology

at Stanford School of Medicine.

My guest today is David Goggins.

David Goggins is a
retired Navy SEAL who

served in Iraq and Afghanistan.

He's also a highly accomplished
ultramarathon runner.

For those of you
that don't know,

ultramarathons are
distances longer

than 26 miles and, in
David's case, often longer

than 200 miles.

For his achievements
in athletics,

he has been inducted into
the International Sports

Hall of Fame.

He also held a Guinness World
Record for the most pull-ups

completed in 24 hours.

I should mention that not only
was David a decorated Navy

SEAL, but he also graduated
from Army Ranger School.

David is also a highly
successful writer,

having authored two books, the
first entitled "Can't Hurt Me"

and the second entitled "Never
Finished," both of which

are best sellers.

David's books cover
many topics, including

his autobiographical
description of what can only

be described as an
incredibly challenging child

and young adulthood.

His home was abusive.

His school environment
was abusive.

He essentially had no positive
resources directed his way and.

In his 20s, he found himself
to be obese, that is,

more than 300
pounds working a job

he despised for minimal pay.

And it was at that point that
David began an inner dialogue

that forced him to explore
the demons born out

of his childhood but also the
position that he found himself

in as a young man and
then began the journey

to navigate that dialogue and
transform himself into the Navy

SEAL, the ultramarathon
runner, the bestselling author,

and the extraordinarily
positive and influential man

that he is today.

As some of you may
know, David has

done various public lectures.

He's a familiar face
online because there are so

many clips of him on YouTube.

And he has done podcasts before.

However, I'm certain that
you'll find today's discussion

to be very different
than previous podcasts

that David has been featured on.

The reason is
that-- of course, we

get into his accomplishments.

We talk about the
mindset that allowed

him to achieve those things.

But, today, David really
lets us under the hood.

He lets us into the
form of inner dialogue

that he has to
embrace, indeed that he

has to grapple with on a daily
basis, sometimes multiple times

throughout the day
and night in order

to impose the sort
of self-discipline

that he is so well known for.

We also get into some of
the scientific mechanisms

underlying willpower.

And we talk about
David's current endeavors

that include, for instance,
his own exploration of science

and medicine for which he
has become an intense scholar

and practitioner.

I should mention that multiple
times throughout today's

discussion you will
hear curse words.

Now David and I both
acknowledge that cursing

isn't for everybody
and that cursing

itself is different than
cursing at somebody.

Nonetheless, we do realize
that many people, parents

perhaps especially, might
not want to hear cursing.

If you don't want
to hear cursing,

well, then this podcast episode
is probably not for you.

However, if you are
comfortable with cursing

or if you can tolerate
it, I assure you

today's discussion
is highly worthwhile.

Before we begin, I'd
like to emphasize

that this podcast is separate
from my teaching and research

roles at Stanford.

It is, however, part
of my desire and effort

to bring zero cost to
consumer information

about science and
science-related tools

to the general public.

In keeping with
that theme, I'd like

to thank the sponsors
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And now for my discussion
with David Goggins.

David Goggins, welcome.

DAVID GOGGINS: My man.

Good to see you again, man.

ANDREW HUBERMAN:
Great to see you.

It was late 2016,
early 2017, I believe,

when you were in
my lab at Stanford.

DAVID GOGGINS: Yes sir.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: We did a
little work later that day

down in San Jose.

And, gosh, see you everywhere,
but it's not enough.

So great to have you here.

DAVID GOGGINS: Thanks for
having me on, brother.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Yeah.

You embody discipline
and doing hard things.

I think we should just
start right off with--

DAVID GOGGINS: Yeah.

Let's just go there.

ANDREW HUBERMAN:
--the bold truth.

But right before
we went hot mics,

we were talking about learning.

Right now, you're spending some
time learning and doing things

that I think most people
probably don't typically

associate David Goggins with.

DAVID GOGGINS: Right.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Why don't
you tell us about that?

DAVID GOGGINS: Well,
most people just

look at me as the guy that
runs and yells as he's running.

While I do that to
motivate people,

but people don't understand
that my day is broken up

into segments.

I work out.

I eat.

I sleep, but I spend
most of my time studying.

So like I'm in
the medical world.

I'm a paramedic in Canada.

But I spend a lot
of my time trying

to nuke every single thing
about it because I'm not

trying to just be a
paramedic, learn about veins,

and arteries, and how the heart
pumps, and stuff like that.

I'm trying to learn
to the point where

I can save someone's life.

And even though paramedics are
doing that all over the world,

I'm trying to be that
paramedic that can really

dissect exactly what's going on
and figure out what medication

goes where, just trying to
learn the algorithm of what's

going on, man.

So I spent a lot
of time with it.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: I
love the word algorithm

because when I teach
biology or try and learn

anything that's related
to biology and especially

the human body, I need
to know the nouns.

But it's the verbs that matter.

And that's really what
you're talking about.

Just saying that sits there,
that brain part there,

doesn't tell you how
it all works together.

So what does your process
for studying look like?

If we dropped a
camera in the room,

brought a microphone into
your inner dialogue--

gosh, wouldn't we all love that.

But if we dropped a microphone
into your inner dialogue,

are you waking up looking
at the books and going,

yeah, fresh day, let's learn or
is some of the same resistance

that you've talked about
coming up around physical work,

is that coming up
from time to time?

DAVID GOGGINS: You know
what, I was nervous at first.

I'm going to keep it real.

I'm going to keep it real.

So I'm not a real smart guy.

And what I mean by that is
I was born with ADD, ADHD.

Like my brain cannot
retain information.

I'm not some genetic freak
when it comes to running,

when it comes to
lifting weights.

I am absolutely the
bottom of the barrel.

And people will
never believe me.

And they can just whatever.

Believe what you
want to believe.

So when you ask me this question
about what does studying look

like for me, I have to go over
the same page over, and over,

and over, and over again, while
Jennifer can look at that page

while she's quizzing me,
she'll learn it right then

as she's-- she didn't
know anything about it.

She will quiz herself
or quiz me and learn it

as she's quizzing me.

It's the most frustrating
thing in the world

how my brain works.

So what I do is I literally
sit there with a pen and paper.

And I have my books.

And I go through and
have to write everything

down every single day.

I will study the
same page until it's

photographic memory from
writing the same thing down.

And then from there, I'll go
back through and relearn it

again.

So I'll learn the bulk of it.

But then I'll go through
and learn the small things

within that.

So if it's a medication, I'll
learn what the medication does.

First, I'll learn
how to even say

the medication because
these medications aren't

like albuterol.

No, it's very big words.

So I'll go through, learn
how to say the name.

Then I'll go through
learn what the dose is.

Then I'll go through-- and
this is like every single day.

So it's not like, oh, I got it.

Let's just go through--
no, nothing is I got it.

Every single thing--
so I can't wait

to get in this conversation
because everything

I do in life, it sucks.

Everything I do
in life, it sucks.

That's why when I was 300
pounds and 24 years old,

it wasn't like I had some
big epiphany of let's just

go be a Navy SEAL, and
let's lose some weight.

No, I knew my entire
life was going

to be a struggle, which
is why I just ignored it.

And I said, I'm not even trying
to jump off any of this shit

and learn how to read, how
to write, how to memorize,

how to become
something I am not.

But through that process,
something happened to me.

And I realized-- this is
why I feel sorry for no one.

In this podcast, they're
going to really not like me

because people
are going to think

that I am maybe lying or
maybe fibbing or exaggerating.

No, I am literally--

I was the lowest form on Earth,
no talent, no ability to learn.

And I literally know what
it is to be rock bottom

and to build that up.

So that question about
learning is the pain in my ass.

And I don't have to do it.

Just think about it.

I'm 49 years old, and
I'm a multi-millionaire.

I don't have to do anything.

So all I thought about
when I was growing up

is, man, I can't wait to
one day get to the point

where I no longer
have to do this stuff.

But what happened
as I got older,

it became a way of living.

So how I do every day
is how I do every day.

It's a discipline.

It's a regimen.

It was a choice I made.

And the choice I made was what
are you willing to sacrifice,

and what are you willing to
give up to find every bit of who

you are as a human being?

And I was willing to give
up everything to do that.

So studying is no joke.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: I love
that you're studying.

I recall a few years ago, I
heard some interview or podcast

with you.

And you just threw out like I
don't know what I'll do next.

Maybe I'll be a scientist.

And I went yeah.

Because I knew-- because
I know you a bit.

And I see your work
out there, but we

had met before,
that if you decided

that you were going to do it--

and learning medicine,
which is what you're doing,

learning human physiology
is so detailed.

DAVID GOGGINS: Very.

ANDREW HUBERMAN:
And people out there

have to understand when
you look at a textbook

and you see the veins and the
capillaries different colors,

when the body is open,
they're not different colors.

DAVID GOGGINS:
Right, right, right.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: So
I mean, some things

have different color
contrasts, but it's not

like it's all labeled
when you pop it open.

DAVID GOGGINS: Exactly.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: And so the
process of writing things down

by hand is important for you.

So you go back and
read those notes.

Do you think about
that stuff on your runs

too or are you
segmenting your day

like when you're done studying,
are you heading out for a run

and thinking about other things?

Or are you still rehearsing
the material in your head?

DAVID GOGGINS: So when I write
it down, I write it down,

and I'm able to--

I'm actually looking
down at this table

right now because
I'm back to writing.

So I'm actually there right
now as I'm speaking to you.

I write it down in a way
that I'm memorizing page 69.

So I'm writing it down.

So then writing it down and that
page sync together in my brain.

So I'm looking at the book
in my brain right now.

That's just how it works for me.

And I have to do it
over and over again.

So that page is
stuck in my mind.

So I'm literally
flipping through pages

as I'm taking these tests.

And I'm taking these national
tests to become a paramedic

or become an advanced
EMT or whatever.

I'm literally as I'm taking
that test I'm going through.

And I'm like-- now I'm
flipping pages in my head

where that page was.

And how I do that is
just from how I write it

and how it's on the page.

When I run, I can't
recall any of it.

I cannot bring any of
that because I'm running.

How my mind is wired now is that
everything I do is what I do.

Because the focus it takes for
me to-- right now, I'm running.

I'm not like a great runner.

I'm not like injury free.

So like my first 20 minutes
of the run I'm limping.

I'm literally
limping because I've

had several knee surgeries.

And my body was twisted.

And so now it's untwisting.

So people look at me, oh, looks,
like he's limping when he runs.

I am limping when I run.

My body is jacked
up so I'm focusing

on how to get the best
out of a broken body.

So everything I do
is a total focus

on what I'm doing at
that point in my life.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: So it
seems like you've really

trained away or somehow
gotten away from the ADD

that you mentioned
because what you described

is like a deep trench.

It's like a V shaped trench.

I'm imagining like
there's a ball bearing,

and it's like, phewp, and it can
only go forward in that trench

or back.

And it goes forward.

It's not like sliding around
at the concave at the bottom,

zip-zip-zip, like a tension.

So it's like you
trained that up.

Is there a similar
feeling when you're

in the full focus of running
versus full focus of studying?

Does it kind of
feel like, oh yeah,

that's the same groove but
different thing or is it

just completely different world?

DAVID GOGGINS: It's a
completely different world.

Both of them for
me is suffering,

but it's suffering a
whole different way.

Like when I was going through
school, I never forget--

I think I was in third grade.

And back then, ADD, ADHD,
wasn't like here's this medicine

or here's this thing.

They want to put you
in a special school.

So for me, I was so
far behind in learning

that their big thing
was let's just put him

in a special school
because he'll never learn.

And through that
process of like I

don't want to be in
a special school,

I don't want to be treated
any differently, it really--

like I never took medication.

I've never taken
medication for this.

That's why right now you see
me looking right in your eyes.

What the hell is Huberman
saying right now.

And that's why I don't feel
bad for people who have ADHD,

who have learning disabilities.

And some are impossible
because you just can't.

But a lot of them you can.

But people don't want to go
through the process of focus,

of teaching yourself
how to truly focus.

This is where my
message gets lost.

It gets lost because I may
say MF or F because that's

the passion that
comes out of me.

It takes everything for
me to learn a sentence.

So when I speak
about David Goggins,

I can't speak about David
Goggins in a way that's

just calm and cool.

Because when I wake
up, I know the journey

that it takes for me
to find my greatness.

And it's hard.

Nothing is easy.

Nothing just like, oh, I
wake up, and I just do this

or I do that or it just--
no, I watch people every day

go through life,
and it's so easy.

For me to be where I'm at
today, it takes every bit of me.

So when I speak about it,
and as I get going here,

you'll start seeing me--
the tempo will rise.

The passion will come out
because I'm back there.

I'm doing what I do every
day to become a human being.

And so nothing is easy.

Like running is running.

It sucks.

But you have a choice to make.

Do you want to sit down and go
back to that guy you once were?

No.

So this is what it takes.

It takes that
misunderstanding of people.

And they'll never get it because
they were never David Goggins.

So that is what it takes
for me to do what I do.

It may take you
something differently.

So for me, everything
has to be in the study.

Everything has to be into this.

Everything has to
be in-- everywhere

I am it has to be there,
me, focused where I am.

That's why you're
my second podcast

I've done since Rogan,
since the book came out.

I don't have time for that shit
because if I want to be great,

I'm not trying to maximize money
or maximize people knowing me.

I do these things because
maybe someone out there will

understand me and get it and
say, I can grow from this guy,

and others just won't.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Sounds
like friction is something

you're very familiar with.

It's a word just I feel
like is like cast above us

right now in bold face,
highlighted, underlined

letters.

DAVID GOGGINS:
Friction is growth.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Friction,
like you're up in the morning.

And I imagine David Goggins
going to the coffee maker,

stretching out, good
morning, sunshine.

And you're telling me from
eyelids open there's friction.

DAVID GOGGINS: Yes, and that
is the thing that people

don't-- they don't fucking get.

The biggest misunderstanding
about David Goggins

of all time--

it's like whether you
believe in God or not--

I do-- he put this lab rat,
which is me, on this planet

and said let me fucking
see what a beat up,

abused kid who can barely
learn, barely learn,

who has a twisted body, messed
up genetics, sickle cell, this

and that, let me
give him everything

that pretty much disqualifies
you from the military.

But back then, it wasn't as--
and let's put him in this

and see what comes out of it.

So to do that, friction--

you don't wake up
in the morning time

and go to the coffee maker.

Matter of fact, sometimes
you don't even sleep.

What it requires
is when I'm at--

2 o'clock-- it's 2
o'clock in the morning.

And my brain is thinking
about a fucking drug.

And I got to get up
and look in my book

to see what that drug
is, how I remember it.

And this is every day
of my fucking life.

That's why when I train a
fighter or I train someone,

I'm like, you have no fucking
idea how great you really

are because you are
using such minimal,

minimal of what you have.

And if people can learn to
focus, this is what's possible.

While it may not
be pretty-- like

people want to do a
documentary on me.

I go no.

I don't want to do
a documentary on me

because I will have normal
everyday people picking me

apart.

Oh, his life is miserable.

Who wants to live like that?

It's crazy how he-- it's
almost like he's sick.

He's psychotic.

The most frustrating
thing in the world for me

is when normal people
judge a man like myself

on what it really takes to
extract greatness from nothing.

It takes every bit of who you
are if you choose that route.

If you don't, Merry Christmas,
do what you got to do.

But, yeah, all these
things for me--

like I told you, man, I'm
going to keep it real.

I'm not coming here to talk
about perform without purpose

because I go through--

when I write these
books, I go through,

I try to dumb down
David Goggins.

How can I give normal
people-- and I'm normal.

But I found something that
most don't want to find.

How can I speak to
people and give them

something from this crazy
psychotic brain that I've

developed?

How can I give them that?

So I sit down with
Jennifer for years

and write down perform
without purpose,

callus your mind, armor
your mind, the cookie jar,

the accountability mirror, shit
that people can fucking use

in their lives.

No, no, I'm glad it helps you.

But the barbaric life that I
live that you have to live,

the almost obsession that
you must have to be great,

you can't put that shit
in a fucking book, bro.

You can't put in a book.

You can't.

You can't write about it.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: It
has to be experienced.

DAVID GOGGINS: It has
to be experienced.

And you can't even--

after you experience it,
to write it in the book,

it would seem like he
needs to be locked up.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Too gory.

DAVID GOGGINS: It's too gory.

Doesn't make sense for
a guy that everything,

every second of the
day he is trying

to extract more from something.

He's constantly thinking.

He's constantly,
constantly disciplined,

never going off the path.

Whatever is injured on
him, he figures away.

It's a conquerors mindset.

And very few people, if any, can
really understand what that is.

Like I'm almost 50.

And I've been this way
for almost 30 years.

Like what do you do for fun?

These questions,
I don't get them.

I don't understand them.

I don't-- so yeah.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: I get
asked that sometimes,

what do you do for fun.

I start listing off all this
stuff like podcasting, reading,

working out.

So some of that resonates.

But I think what's so
truly unusual about what

you're describing, your process
is that from go it's hard.

And I have to ask was being 300
pounds, having essentially--

I'm using the words
you've described.

DAVID GOGGINS: No, do it.

ANDREW HUBERMAN:
You've said it before.

You had a tendency at one
point in your life early

on tell lies, try and
get people's approval.

DAVID GOGGINS: Lied my ass off.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Crazy
haircuts, attention seeking,

and yet all of that
triggered something

that now is extraordinary.

Do you think those
hardships were

necessary to flip the switch?

DAVID GOGGINS: I don't know
if they were necessary,

but it was something
that made me feel--

I didn't feel good.

It was easy.

The brain that I was
given as a child,

it was easy to go
home and think about,

how do I want to
be a freak today?

How do I want to show up to
school today and be a freak?

It didn't require me going home
and opening a book up saying,

it's going to take me all year
to learn this fucking page.

So instead of
learning that page,

I learned how to
become a character.

And maybe that character
that I created,

that 300 pound,
insecure guy that

used to fake it till
I make it type of guy,

let me become your
friend, let me lie to you

until you like me type of guy--

when you have any manhood,
womanhood, a human being,

a soul, a spirit, any--

I must have just this much
pride because that's exactly

what opened the door for me.

Because every day,
you were a character.

Every day, you were a clown.

Every day, you opened that
Spanish book or that science

book or English book,
and you looked at it.

It looked like a
foreign language.

And you're saying,
where do I start?

Where do I start?

And, obviously,
it was necessary.

The more I talk about it, it
was necessary because what

happened is I became
haunted by the mere fact

that this is my existence.

And you got to live with that.

And I lived with it
for a lot of years.

And so I sat back and
said, OK, all right,

I know what this takes.

And when you sit back,
as fucked up as I was--

and I had a laundry
list, a table

like this of what I
have to do to become

just a human being that
can make ends meet,

that can make $1,000 a month.

Just to get there was like,
oh my god, dude, like how--

I'm 16, 17, I can't read.

I can't write.

Oh my god, I'm so
behind the power curve.

And my brain is about
being depressed.

And my dad beat--
my mom's not home.

And kids are calling
me nigger at school.

And I'm like, oh my god,
man, what the fuck do I do?

And it wasn't like someone
came around and said,

hey, man, you can do this.

This is all me.

Some people want to know where
does this cold man come from.

I'm not trying to be cold.

It's the reality of my life.

It's the reality of a
lot of people's lives.

And so, yeah, that had to
happen for me to be haunted,

to be haunted, to
pull out, to extract

the guy that I am today.

That haunting is something
that's still there today

because no matter
how much you improve,

no matter how much you
change who you are,

it's not permanent.

You don't just wake up
and say, oh my god, man,

you're David Goggins.

You break records.

You do this.

You do that.

People want to know, how are
you able to just be so hard?

Because I never turn
the fucking thing off.

Because once it turns
off, I go right back

to the David Goggins that is.

And that's the guy that I'm
constantly fighting every day.

And it's a choice.

And that choice makes
you misunderstood.

It makes you crazy.

That's why I hate
fucking social media.

In 2013, people wanted
me to write my book.

I did it in 2018.

Took five years.

And the reason why
I didn't do it--

I sat at the table,
and Jennifer was there.

This was before she
started working for me,

I started dating
her or whatever.

And all these people were there.

And they're like, man, you
got to go on social media.

And I was like, fuck you, man.

It's poison.

It's poison because I knew
what I did to get where I am.

And I'm going to
have these people,

these normal, everyday
people, fat, lazy,

exactly who I was judging me.

Because I know it
because I was once them.

All my hard work,
all my dedication,

I'm going to have
some normal dude get

his little brownie, his little
Ding Dong, Ho Ho, Twinkie,

sit there with his
coffee picking me apart.

Oh, he must be unhappy.

Do you know how hard it
is to put these shoes

on every damn morning?

And I'm gonna have
you pick me apart?

So, yeah, there's so
much that goes into this

that I was like fuck this.

I never wanted
anything to do with it.

So anyway.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: I'm
not a psychologist.

But knowing your story
from what you've written,

what you've said
on social media,

and elsewhere, podcasts and
here now especially, it's

amazing to me, and,
frankly, it pulls

at my heartstrings
a little bit I

realize that's not what
you're trying to do

but that in the course of your
childhood and in your young

adulthood that no one ever
got between you and the world.

I forget where I heard it
that if a kid has just one

person that believes in them--

and I had my trials
and tribulations.

But I had great
coaches, great mentors.

I attached to them.

I found them if they
didn't necessarily find me.

But I'm realizing that your
situation was no one's ever

said, hey, I'm going to
stand here next to you

or get in front of
you, put a shield up.

And so it's almost like
you've got these different--

it's all you, but there's
versions of yourself--

that like you knew social
media-- like I don't know

that I have the wherewithal
in 2013 '14, '15, '16,

'17 to get in front
of myself while doing

all this because I've already
got so much going on in here.

Is that about right?

DAVID GOGGINS: That is right.

But I had developed
a lot of anger.

And I still have it.

And it will never go away
for the normal human beings

of this world because when
you put yourself in the sewer

like I was in-- and please,
if someone saved me,

come out and announce
it to the world.

There was no one.

There's no one.

So when you know that--

and then I'm
sitting at the table

with all these smart
people who are telling

me what to do and shit and
guiding me through my life

now when I'm 40
fucking years old.

It's 2000-- I don't know
40-something years old.

Now I'm 49.

And I'm looking at them all.

And they're now
trying to guide me

on what's right on this poison.

And so, yeah, what
you say is right.

But for me, it was
more of I know now.

I don't need you
to guide my future.

I know what's good for
me and what's bad for me.

And for me, it took every
bit of focus I could.

And I know social media--

that's why people love to go on
there because they want to show

you the good side of life.

I'm not teaching
good side of life.

So I had to figure
out a way when

I came on 2016 of teaching
you what life really is

for the majority of us is hell.

And so while people love to show
you the cars, and the house,

and the vacations and
shit, all that's good.

All that's happy.

I'm going to show you the
side that I know most of you

are going through.

And people hide very well.

I don't want to hide anymore.

I hid it for 24 fucking years.

So that's why now
when I told you

we can talk about
whatever you want

because as human beings, the
first thing we have to learn--

I also stuttered
real bad growing up.

So if you hear me stutter
every now and then,

it's because that was
part of my life also.

So it's funny.

Human beings want to
show you the best side.

And they want to
hide the worst side.

For me, I'm going
to teach you how

to be vulnerable because that's
the only way you fix yourself.

You don't fix yourself
by coming out here

and me selling you
some fucking books.

That's why I don't have them.

I forgot them.

I'm glad people got
something from the book.

I want you to learn that
the only way you grow

is how to look at
yourself and say, OK,

like I did, table longer than
this, what the fuck I have

to do to get somewhere?

There was nothing good
on there, nothing.

Yeah, I loved
playing basketball.

I left that out.

That's something I love to do.

I don't care about that.

That didn't make
the fucking list

because the list
that I had to live by

was the very list that was
going to get me at this table

with you to talk to you to
the normal human beings, which

I once was, about how you can
get somewhere and how it looks.

It looks very ugly.

There's no fucking passion.

There's no fucking motivation.

There's no, oh my
god, man, I fucking--

no, it's every day of
your life just doing,

no passion, no discipline, no
motivation, all these words.

I hate that so many people
fucking use these words now

because it's watered.

Someone sitting in
the room by themselves

and they figure themselves
out and say, god, this

is going to fucking suck.

Where's passion when
you're 300 pounds?

Where's the motivation when
you can't read and write?

Where is it?

So how did this happen?

I just fucking did.

I just did.

I said maybe at the
end of this journey,

there will be
something there for me.

If not, I can read.

If not, I'm 185 fucking pounds.

There was no magic potion.

There was no, oh, let me wake
up and look at some shit.

No.

All those words are overused.

They're bullshit.

It's all bullshit.

Just do.

You're living.

How do you want to live?

How do you want to die?

How do you want to
fucking be remembered?

That's it.

That's it.

Period.

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The word haunted is
ringing in my head.

DAVID GOGGINS: Yep.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: I think
it's such a powerful word.

DAVID GOGGINS: Yep.

ANDREW HUBERMAN:
Because I was about to m

it seems like a huge part
of your process, maybe

the entire process, is
it's all stick no carrot,

you talk about the carrot,
the positive thing.

And then there's the stick, the
thing you're trying to avoid.

I feel like it's-- the way
it's landing for me is it's all

stick and gas pedal.

DAVID GOGGINS: That's it.

ANDREW HUBERMAN:
There's no carrot.

You're not imagining, oh,
when I'm a paramedic, when

the book is published.

And, obviously, you
set those goals,

and you make those targets.

But it's all stick.

DAVID GOGGINS: All stick.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: No carrot.

DAVID GOGGINS: Think about that.

I'm waking up
right now studying.

Like I have a test tomorrow.

I already passed
the fucking test.

Think about that.

Every day in my life,
that's what I must do just

to retain what I learned.

Four hours plus a day, I
go through and do that.

There's no stick.

Or there's only a stick.

There's never been
a carrot, which

is why when I speak to
people, I have to figure out

a way to resonate with them.

Because all I want
to say to them

is let me teach you the
real life, how it really is.

The reason why you're a loser
and the reason why you're not

fucking making it and
the reason why you're

trying to go to all these--

I go to all these
fucking conventions,

speak all the fucking time.

I look in the fucking audience.

And these people
sign up, sign up,

sign up fucking every
year go to a convention,

thinking they're going to learn
something fucking different.

No, you're lazy.

You know exactly what to
do, exactly what to do.

Because even me in my state
of I can't read and write,

I knew exactly what to do.

It just sucks doing it.

It sucks to do it.

It sucks to wake up every
morning of your life

and say, god, man,
I'm not smart.

So guess what I got to do.

I got to study the same shit
that I got one of the highest

scores in the nation on and
do it again, and do it again,

and do it again.

It's not just there.

It's not just there
permanently for me.

So, yeah, it's all stick.

It's all stick.

The only carrot you have
is like maybe, maybe.

Because whenever I take these
tests that are real hard,

the back of my brain
is like a good chance

you're not going to
make it, Goggins.

This ain't you, bro.

This ain't you.

You weren't born like this.

This ain't you.

The real you, bro--

study all you want to.

But the second that
fucking computer

comes on with 150 questions,
this ain't you, man.

And somehow, comes back.

I passed.

I passed again, passed again.

But that real me back
here every fucking time

is saying that ain't you, bro.

That ain't you.

And I have to
outwork that voice.

When I'm taking
that test and I get

to a question I don't
fucking know the answer,

I'm like fuck, man.

And then say, see
I told you, man.

That ain't you.

You're 300 pounds, man.

You sit at home.

You figure out how
to do your hair.

That's what you do,
how to come to school

with the reverse
baldness when you're 16.

That's you.

So there is no get
out of jail free card.

This is why I say stay hard.

Because when you
weren't given the gifts,

the only thing you can
do in life is stay hard.

And I know people
cannot stand me.

They can't stand this talk.

This is all you can do.

There's no magic pill
or a magic potion.

All you can do is
outwork the man

that God created
or woman in you.

And what that looks
like is unfun.

That's why I said, do not
do a documentary on me

because people will
not see the truth.

They will see what
they want to see is

I don't want to live like that.

Good, good.

And you will live
exactly the way

you live now,
questioning who you are,

wondering what is
possible, wondering

what you are capable of doing.

That's how that looks or you
can be me, which am I happy?

I don't know.

Never really thought about it.

Don't really care about
it because all I really

cared about was when I looked
in that fucking mirror,

I saw a piece of shit.

Happiness wasn't on the mirror
at 16 or when I was 300 pounds.

It wasn't like, I'm
looking for happiness.

No, I'm looking at myself in
the mirror and say, all right,

motherfucker, you
did it again today.

You're a bad boy
because that shit sucks.

I have about a couple of minutes
of that that I got the carrot.

The second I lay down and
go to bed, the carrots gone

because I'm waking up all
through the night to check

the work I did that day.

Did I get this drug right?

Did I get this right?

Did I get that right?

What did I do?

Oh my god, fuck, I'm
already losing it.

Stick.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: That
stick's haunting you.

DAVID GOGGINS: Haunting me.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: It's
following you around.

So no picture of
Jordan on the wall.

You're not listening to
YouTube inspiration video.

DAVID GOGGINS: No.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Those would
be all your voice anyway.

[LAUGHTER]

You're not listening to
your top 10 favorite songs

just to get rolling and then
lace the shoes, hit the books.

It's all in here.

DAVID GOGGINS: All in there.

I used to do that
when I was fat.

Rocky, I mean,
that was my thing.

Round 14 was my thing.

And as I got older and older and
older, that started to go away.

And I started to create--

I had all these people
that I used to watch.

Rocky was one, Barnes,
Elias from "Platoon,"

Jack from "A Few Good Men" when
he's on the stand going crazy.

I saw a lot of these
characters that I looked at

and I was like, man, I
ain't got none of that.

But they were characters.

After a while, I lived
a life so disciplined

that every body
that I once looked

to, these fake characters,
I built that as a man.

And when I was younger, I
had this image in my mind

of what does a man
look like to me?

And I got all these people
who are badasses, characters.

And in my mind, I became that.

And that's what kept
me going a lot was

I had this pipe dream of
becoming a little bit of this

and a little bit of
that because when

you have no parents
raising you and you

have no role models growing
up, it's not daydreaming.

You start to create a reality
like, mm, maybe I can be that.

And after becoming
this guy, that

is the biggest thing I
can ever do in my life is

I became that guy.

That I once looked at
all these, guys and now

I look at myself like, god,
who the fuck can do that?

I can.

But what it takes
is a discipline

that no one can ever even--

they don't understand it.

They don't understand it.

But everybody has
the ability to do it,

but they just don't want to.

They want to keep
asking questions

and keep going to seminars.

And the greatness
is right in you.

And that's why once again--

I say this a million times here,
I do not feel sorry for you.

I will not sugarcoat
what I'm going

to say to you because
all of you know

what I'm saying is the truth.

Everybody knows it's the truth.

This is what it looks like.

And you know it too.

You know it too.

If you ain't got nothing, I hate
to tell you what it looks like.

It's ugly.

It's not a documentary.

It's not an HBO special.

You ain't going to
watch me like, hey, man,

you guys gotta watch this.

No, it's like, oh, god, this
looks like a train wreck.

It's like a nightmare.

This looks like this guy's got--
no, that's what it looks like.

Hard work looks horrible.

It's not motivating.

It's not motivating at all.

It ain't like Rocky round 14
where he gets knocked down

and goes like this
to Apollo Creed.

Looks like a man being
stuck in a fucking dungeon.

And there's no fucking way out.

But you have the fucking key.

But you refuse to use it.

And that's nothing
motivating about that.

So, yes, no documentary
on David Goggins.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: The real life--

DAVID GOGGINS: The real life.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: --David
Goggins is the documentary.

It's already being written.

You're it.

DAVID GOGGINS: Right.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Yeah, I'm going
to share a little neuroscience

tidbit.

DAVID GOGGINS: Love it.

ANDREW HUBERMAN:
But I think it's one

that you'll appreciate.

Most people don't
know this, but there's

a brain structure called the
anterior mid-cingulate cortex.

As we pointed out
before, that's a noun.

It's a name.

It doesn't mean anything.

We could call it
the Cookie Monster.

But what's interesting
about this brain

area is there are
now a lot of data

in humans, not some mouse study,
showing that when people do

something they don't
want to do like add three

hours of exercise
per day or per week

or when people who are trying
to diet and lose weight

resist eating something,
when people do anything

that they, and this
is the important part,

that they don't want to do,
it's not about adding more work.

It's about adding more work
that you don't want to do.

This brain area gets bigger.

Now here's what's especially
interesting about this brain

area to me.

And by the way, I'm
only learning this

recently because it's new data.

But there's a lot of it.

The anterior
mid-cingulate cortex

is smaller in obese people.

It gets bigger when they diet.

It's larger in athletes.

It's especially
large or grows larger

in people that see
themselves as challenged

and overcome some challenge.

And in people that
live a very long time,

this area keeps its size.

In many ways,
scientists are starting

to think of the anterior
mid-cingulate cortex not just

as one of the seats of
willpower but perhaps actually

the seat of the will to live.

DAVID GOGGINS: See,
now we're talking.

ANDREW HUBERMAN:
And when I learned

about the anterior
mid-cingulate cortex,

I was like almost
out of my seat.

And I've been in the
neuroscience game

since I was 20.

DAVID GOGGINS:
Now we're talking.

ANDREW HUBERMAN:
We're the same age.

And I was so pumped because I've
heard of the amygdala, fear,

prefrontal cortex.

It's planning an action.

I could tell you every
brain area and every--

I teach neuroanatomy
to medical students.

But when I started
seeing the data

on the anterior mid-cingulate
cortex, I was like, whoa,

this is interesting.

And all the data
point to the fact

that we can build this area up.

But that as quickly
as we build it up,

if we don't continue to invest
in things that are hard for us,

that we don't want to
do-- that's the part that

feels so Goggin-esque to me,
that we don't want to do.

Like if you love the ice bath--
yeah, I love the ice bath--

and you go from 1
minute to 10 minutes,

guess what, your anterior
mid-cingulate cortex did not

grow.

DAVID GOGGINS: None.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: But if
you hate the cold water,

if you're afraid of drowning
and you get into water

and put your head
under and survive,

then the anterior mid-cingulate
cortex gets bigger.

But if you don't do it the next
day or if you do it the next

day and you enjoy it because,
hey, hey, I did it yesterday,

woo-hoo, happy me, Merry
Christmas as you would say--

DAVID GOGGINS: Right.

Merry Christmas.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: --guess
what, the anterior

mid-cingulate cortex
shrinks again.

To me, this is one of the
most important discoveries

that neuroscience has
ever made because it's

that I don't want to do
something but do it anyway

that grows this area.

And it's almost like--

I have a friend.

He's been sober 30
years from alcohol.

And he always says, the
amazing thing about addiction

is there's a cure.

The problem is it only
works one day at a time.

And so you have to
renew it every day.

DAVID GOGGINS: That's right.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: So the anterior
mid-cingulate cortex to me--

when I learned about it, two
things went off in my head.

Whoa, this is super interesting.

And, two, I got to tell
David Goggins about this.

And I waited until now--

DAVID GOGGINS: I'm glad.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: --to tell
you because I felt like, well,

for obvious reasons
I wanted to tell you

and I wanted to tell you here.

DAVID GOGGINS: Well, I
love that because that's

how I've lived my entire life.

I don't know
anything about that.

But people go, man, you
have such a strong will.

It's something that you build.

Like I never forget I was
on a podcast one time.

And this dude goes you were
blessed with a strong mind.

Like the hell are
you talking about I

was blessed with a strong mind?

That's something that
you have to develop.

You develop that over
years, decades of suffering

and going back into the suffer.

That's why a lot of people who
graduate Navy SEAL training,

they want to know--

I talk about it very
openly all the time.

A lot of guys don't want
to go back into that water,

don't want to go back
into the hard stuff.

And maybe not-- anything
hard, anything hard

in life, once you get through
it, it's like you become a POW.

Like how many POWs you know
want to go back to POW camp?

None.

When something sucks
so bad in life--

this is on this that
we're talking about now--

very few people want to go back.

They're happy they graduated.

I realized I'm the same way.

I don't want to go back.

I have to go back.

I must go back because that is
exactly where all the knowledge

of my life exists was back
there in what you're exactly

what you're talking about.

Well, I didn't know
anything about this.

But how I grew a will was
constantly doing these things

to now it's just life.

I wake up.

While it still sucks,
it's just life.

You don't sit back
and like, oh my god.

Like I have days I
don't want to do.

But I know I'm going to do it.

I know from years
of just doing it.

So that's beautiful.

And this is why I came
on here with you today.

And I'm glad that you're talking
about this because human beings

need to hear this.

They need to stop hearing
these hacks on this and that.

There's no fucking hack, bro.

There's no fucking hack.

Yeah, you may this and that
and saunas and all this shit

that they-- yeah, it's great.

There is no fucking life hack.

To grow that thing--
how do you grow it?

Do it, and do it,
and do it, and do it.

That's the hack.

The hack is going
to fucking suck.

And that's what I realized.

That's what I realized.

That's why I wanted
to come on here today.

I didn't want to
come on here and talk

about no fucking
passion and purpose

and how to get the
fuck out of bed

and how to hit a
fucking alarm clock,

all this catchphrase bullshit
because that wasn't how

I lived, wasn't how I lived.

I lived, I woke up like
every human being does

and goes fuck, man.

I'm a fucking piece
of shit today.

How the hell is this
going to work out for me?

And you fight that.

And you fight that.

You don't override it.

There's no override button.

It's the conversation
in your head.

So how do you do that?

We don't have enough
of these conversations

about the real conversation that
every human being is having.

And they have no idea
how to get out of it.

But they do is that
shit right there, man.

You got to build your will.

How you build your will?

Exactly what you said, man.

Exactly what you said.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Well,
I feel like knowing

the name of something,
anterior mid-cingulate cortex,

doesn't fundamentally change us.

But one thing I
like about biology

is that willpower, if somebody
feels they don't have it,

feels like this thing
that other people have.

But everybody, unless
they're brain-damaged,

like a hole through their
head, has two anterior

mid-cingulate cortex, one
on each side of their brain.

Everyone has one.

They have two.

So I feel like it's just a
question of opening the portal.

And the portal-- again,
I'm going to say 10 times,

and forgive me--
is I think people

go, oh, I do hard things.

I do sets to failure.

And then I do forced reps.

I love training with weights.

I love doing sets to failure.

I even like forced reps.

But guess what?

I like forced reps.

So I'll tell you,
they don't build

my anterior mid-cingulate
cortex because I like to do it.

Anything you like
to do is not going

to enhance this
aspect of willpower.

And it seems so obvious
once you hear it.

You kind of go, oh
yeah, of course.

But I think you really
close that loop for people

when you share what
you're sharing today

and what you've shared
elsewhere before as well.

When you're trying to
explain the friction

is the critical ingredient.

And I think people think,
oh, if it's effort, well,

then I'm getting better.

That's part of it, necessary,
but not sufficient,

as we say in science.

But the suck part, the haunt,
being haunted, the stick,

they're really unpleasant terms.

These are probably the most
unpleasant terms we've ever

used on this podcast.

Those are the--
those are the levers.

Those are the gears.

And without those, this thing
that you're talking about,

David Goggins, as a verb--

I sometimes make the
joke, but it's not a joke.

Goggins is a name,
and it's a verb.

People go, I'm on
to Goggins that.

But that's, I think--

again, I'm not a psychologist.

But I think that's what
you're talking about,

the stick, the
friction, being haunted.

It's the suck part that grows
this anterior mid-cingulate

cortex.

DAVID GOGGINS: So
now you know why

there's so many people
that fail in this world

to figure out their purpose,
their purpose in life.

Where do I go?

Because to grow that, now,
you may not look like me,

how my daily life looks.

It don't look fun.

Don't look fun.

So it's a choice that
people have to make in life.

But what's so funny about it
is even the richest of rich,

who have everything, they
always ask me this question.

I feel like I'm
missing something.

I don't feel like
I'm missing shit.

I don't have what you all have.

But you will never in
my life hear me tell you

I'm missing something.

And everybody is.

They're missing this feeling.

I found it a long time ago.

And I found it right there
in that willpower thing.

When you're nothing,
nothing, and change yourself

into something, like me, you
call it happiness, peace,

whatever the fuck
you want to call it,

people are missing exactly what
went on with David Goggins.

Why don't you smile?

I do.

I do.

But I figured something out.

That's why I am never--

you never hear me say,
I'm missing something.

I found it years ago.

You find it in the suck.

You find it in the suck.

And you find it repeatedly
in the suck to the point

where you know
exactly who you are.

Most people are
missing something

because they don't
know who they are.

They never examined themselves.

They've never done this
experiment on themselves.

The lab rat.

We're all lab rats.

But you're also the scientist.

You create your own self.

Most people are
missing something

because there's so
much trapped in there.

I don't even want
to say potential.

I think that's a word--
it's used out too much too.

There's so much in you that
God or whoever the hell

you believe in or if
you're an atheist in you

that you have not unlocked,
that you walk around

with this gorgeous wife or great
husband and all this money.

You're like, god, I feel
like I'm missing something.

Yeah, because it's
about 75% of you

is still fucking in there, still
chained up because you just

didn't want to find
your willpower,

didn't want to find your
soul, your will, your heart,

your determination,
your guts, your courage.

And what that looks
like, it looks scary,

like you're little
scary lab that went in.

Scary to wake up every
day and say, I'm stupid,

but I'm going to
figure out a way

to be smarter versus saying,
man, I just can't do that.

So you limit this box.

So your box becomes so
small of things you can do.

My box wasn't even a box.

It was a fucking little pinhole.

And then through
examining myself,

getting some willpower,
some courage,

it became bigger
than this table.

But that's what we all do.

That's why I wanted to
come here today and talk

to you about real shit,
not no fucking hacks.

There's no hacks, bro.

It's you against you.

You against you.

And if you
misunderstand that, you

have a real problem,
real problem.

I can understand
you misunderstand

me, running down the street,
shirt off, fuck this, no.

Yeah.

I can get it.

I get it.

If you misunderstand what
I'm saying right now today,

the problem is you.

And you don't want to fix it.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Well, the
children of wealthy people

are a case study in how
not having enough friction

can destroy a life.

DAVID GOGGINS: True statement.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: I
mean, I could list off

prominent names in the press.

But those are actually
the least interesting.

What's probably more
interesting, as an example,

is all the ones we don't
hear about because we never

hear about them.

They just dwindle and wither.

Or I think there's this
big category of people,

I'm realizing, as we have this
conversation today that they're

not super successful.

They're not struggling.

They're successful enough
that they never have to--

you can get to the
point where you

don't have to impose friction.

You even said it.

Your bank account is in a
place where you don't really

need to do all
the things you do,

probably not even a
small fraction of them.

DAVID GOGGINS: Do nothing.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Right.

But you realize the
stick and being haunted

is the fuel and the engine.

And you'd be a-- you'd be
truly crazy to give that up

because you've
internalized all that.

But most people, they're
good enough for them.

And so they don't actually
want to be better badly enough

in order to start
going rung after rung.

DAVID GOGGINS: Well, think
about when you build willpower.

And think about how
much I've built.

Now that you know about this--

I didn't know about this.

But think about how
much I've built.

Everything I've ever done in
my life, I didn't want to do.

Everything every day.

I'm a lazy piece of shit.

And I'm one of the hardest
working people to ever step

foot on this planet Earth.

And I'm saying that very proudly
because I know what I do.

It's not cocky.

I'll tell you I'm stupid.

And I'll also tell you the exact
opposite of what I've done.

It's the truth.

It is the truth.

So imagine how much I've
developed in that time frame.

But this is the scary thing.

Why most people don't want to
do that and build that willpower

is because it is scary.

It unlocks a whole bunch
of things about who you are

and who you're not.

And a lot of people don't
want to go down that journey

to discover who they
are and who they're not

because it's not
a pretty journey.

I mean, I've gone down it.

It's not like I
went down it once.

I go down it all the time.

And when you unlock that-- and
you can't just turn it off.

Like, people say, hey, how
come you haven't retired yet?

I built all this willpower.

Do you think it's
going to let me just

retire because my knees hurt?

It is telling me every morning--

I wake up, and I'm like,
man, my knees hurt.

My legs hurt.

My body hurts.

But you can still run.

So why aren't you running?

If you can still run--

there will be a time when you
can't lace them up anymore.

But you can still run.

So I still run.

When the time comes I can't
run, the body will say,

you just can't run.

But if I can still
do something, that

willpower that I
have created, it

makes me do it
every fucking day.

And that's what they don't get.

What builds a human being is you
start with the small building

blocks.

And before you know it,
man, you become something

that it doesn't even
make sense to most people

because it's just
who you are now.

That's why I can still
run at 50 with broke--

at 49 with broke down
knees and broke down body

because my body
knows you still can.

Therefore, I do.

Second you stop, the
willpower is gone.

And that's beautiful.

I'm so glad you brought that to
me because I always wondered,

what's this
separation thing now?

At 24 years old, I
started building something

that I didn't even
know was going

to be what it is now at 49.

And that's all it was.

It was just that.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: This structure,
anterior mid-cingulate cortex,

has inputs and outputs
from a bunch of places.

But you'll probably not
be surprised to learn

that it's strongly activated
when we move our body when

we don't want to move our body.

I feel like it's like the
David Goggins structure.

DAVID GOGGINS: It really is.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: It is.

And it also has
strong connections

to the dopamine reward pathway.

And everyone goes,
yay, dopamine.

Everyone loves dopamine.

I'm partially responsible
for people knowing a bit more

about dopamine.

But dopamine's badly understood.

Everyone thinks
dopamine, dopamine hits.

It's about reward.

It's about motivation and drive.

And there are pain inputs to the
dopamine centers of the brain.

No one talks about that.

Everyone's like, oh, you want
the chocolate, chocolate, sex,

cocaine.

Yeah, that's all true.

It'll release dopamine.

Pain releases dopamine.

The anterior
mid-cingulate cortex

can trigger the release
of dopamine in response

to this thing that
we're calling friction.

And that's a learned thing.

That's something that
no animal or human being

comes into the world learning.

We all are averse to pain.

And like pleasure,
like sugar, fat.

Don't like hot surfaces.

But this is a
structure that learns.

It has neuroplasticity,
the ability

to change throughout
the entire life span.

And here's the
part that I think,

again, is just neuro nerd
speak for what you already know

and have done and exemplify,
is that people say,

oh, it has plasticity.

You can change it.

But guess what?

It has plasticity
in both directions.

It can grow.

But just as easily as it can
grow, it's like Silly Putty,

it can shrink.

So it requires constant upkeep.

And that answer isn't one
that people are going to like.

They're like, give
me the energy drink.

Give me the supplement.

Give me the-- give me
the sauna protocol that's

going to make my anterior
mid-cingulate cortex-- there's

someone out there
right now who's going,

wait, if I took transcranial
magnetic stimulation

and I stimulate-- yeah, you'd
probably-- actually, they've

done that.

They stuck a little
wire during neurosurgery

into this structure.

This was actually
discovered by a colleague

of mine, Joe Parvizi.

Stimulate.

And the patients go, I feel
like there's a storm coming.

And they go, oh, is it scary?

And they go, no, I
want to go through it.

They come off the stimulation,
and people are like--

this is the seat of what
we're talking about.

DAVID GOGGINS: Right.

Exactly.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: And it learns.

So the fact that you've
kept this brain structure--

I'm convinced if we imaged
your brain, it'd be large,

and it would be larger
in two years, in a year.

But this is the no days off
rationale because it can grow,

and it can shrink.

DAVID GOGGINS: I know.

What you're saying right now,
I didn't know any of this.

And I never-- and I
always talk to you.

But I wish I could
just put this on paper.

And you're saying it in a way
that people can understand.

I can never put it into
words on what I built

and the power that
is within all of us.

But you put it so
in a scientific way.

Most people, for
me, he's just crazy.

That's why I don't like
talking about it, man.

I know I'm not crazy.

I know what I had to do
to get where I had to go.

People look at it as crazy
because there are people

that just--

if you can't imagine
yourself doing something,

if you can't imagine
yourself doing something,

the person that's
doing it is crazy

because in your mind, the logic
behind it, it doesn't compute.

Therefore, you have to
give somebody a title.

And the title for me
is usually he's crazy

or he's this, he's that.

No.

No.

For some reason, me
wanting to be somebody

so fucking bad in my
life, I created that.

And I've been
trying to figure out

years of my life trying
to explain to people.

But even though you're
explaining it now,

this is the easy fucking part.

Them listening to this shit
is the easy fucking part.

The part that why they're
always be the ones of ones

is because putting
that practice,

putting that into
actual work, no, man.

No.

No.

That's where the demons come in.

That's where you're like,
I don't want to be better.

I don't want to be better.

If this is what it
takes to be better,

I don't want to be better.

So everybody's-- that's why
there's a lot of average.

And it makes me so fucking mad.

Every day I walk this
Earth, and I see average

all over the fucking place.

And they want to ask
me, how did you do it?

I can't tell you how because
you're not going to fucking--

you're not going to do it.

You're not going to do it you.

You're just going to--

You're going to continue
being like this every day

you wake up.

Like you said, it's
like, get the coffee.

Make the pancakes.

Kiss the girl.

Kiss the kids.

You wake up, right to work.

Immediate, your
mind is in action.

No one wants to do that.

No one.

And I don't blame them.

But don't be mad when
you're laying there

in your fucking bed, and
you're in the fucking hospital,

and you're 70, 80, 90 years old.

And you're thinking,
man, I feel like I

didn't fucking do something.

Because you did.

You didn't do it.

You didn't do shit.

You may have lived
a great life, man,

but you're always going
to feel empty inside.

I don't feel empty.

So call me what you want.

There's not one empty
bone in my fucking body

because I have figured
out that really--

the magic potion,
at least to my life.

And it's very rewarding.

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People like to talk about what
they used to be able to do.

I hear this a lot.

You should have seen
me in high school.

I always laugh.

Like, yeah, OK.

Got it.

And it's not just guys.

You should have seen me
working out in high school.

I was super fit.

People will look
back to a time where

they felt like they were
capable of something.

And now they're not.

And you kind of want to
just grab them and go, wait.

That was you then.

It's you now.

And but people tend
to think about how

the conditions that
were around success

must have been part of it.

And you can understand why.

It's very rational.

I was in that situation.

I was successful.

I'm in this situation.

I'm not.

That was the past.

This is the present.

Ergo, capable.

You see how people
get into these loops.

And as you mentioned, you spent
the first 20 years of your life

in extremely challenged
circumstances.

And then you can see how
people get to a point

where everything feels hard.

Like, when you're 300 pounds--

I haven't ever been 300 pounds.

But I can't imagine it feels
good to get up and move around.

DAVID GOGGINS: It's defeating.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: I got a friend.

He's in excess of 300 pounds.

We've been trying
on him for years.

But no win.

And he's got crazy psoriasis
on the back of his calves.

And he actually
smells bad sometimes

because he can't wash
as well as he would.

He's big, big.

And it pulls all my sympathy.

But life is very hard for
him and getting worse.

He's a young guy with
a lot of medical issues

now, for obvious reasons.

And so I think people like that
think, well, it's already hard.

Why would I make it harder?

Your message is a
little different.

And you have the
life experience.

DAVID GOGGINS: It's
a lot different.

ANDREW HUBERMAN:
You've been there.

So for me, saying, oh
yeah, lose weight--

I was a skinny guy who got
to be a less skinny guy.

So I don't really have
a foot to stand on.

What do you say to those
people who are like,

listen, getting up in
the morning is hard.

Trying to not dissolve into
a puddle of my own tears

and my own misery is hard.

DAVID GOGGINS: You know why
people connect with my books

so well?

For some reason, God put me
in almost every fucked up

situation on the planet Earth.

So when I talk to people,
it's not sugar-coated

because I'm not saying it from I
was a 175 pounds my whole life.

I don't say much
to those people.

Maybe you're a piece of shit.

Maybe you want to be nobody.

Maybe you're happy exactly
where you are in life

because obviously, you are.

Maybe you don't have
the determination

to be somebody better
than who you are.

And if you want to live with
that, I'll support you in that.

If you're good with being who
you are, that every day you

wake up, and every day, you
smell like shit because you

can't wash your body well,
and your skin is messed up

because your health's
so bad, and you

can't put your clothes on
right, you need help with that.

You need help like--
when I was 300 pounds,

I needed help wiping my ass.

That makes you feel good?

Nothing I can say to you.

If every day you wake up with
this-- see, people are haunted.

But they obviously
like horror films

because they keep watching
the same fucking movie.

I don't like horror films.

A lot of people
like horror films.

So I don't say much to them.

I say exactly what I
said to you right there

because I was once you.

I didn't like horror
films, so I changed it.

Some people are just--

they become-- like you
said, it gets real small

when you're lazy and
you're fat, your will.

Their will is so small
that they don't have any.

And you can't give it to them.

There has to be
something-- this is

what I'm talking about now
because this isn't a hack.

This has to be in you.

Something in you has to wake up.

And usually, the only person
that can wake it up is you.

Sometimes you can read
a David Goggins book

because I was all this shit and
then a lot more of fucked up.

But if you don't have a
little flame, just barely--

you're done.

I can't light it for you.

And that's the harsh
reality of this life

that I want to get
across so fucking bad.

You can watch me.

You can watch you.

You can watch fucking
Rogan and Cameron

Hanes, all these motherfuckers.

You can go to Tony
Robbins's fucking bullshit,

all this shit.

You can do all this shit.

You're going to keep
going back and keep

spending money and
spending money and spending

money with no results.

You're going to wonder, wow.

Maybe let me go try
out David Goggins.

He ain't going to
fucking help you.

You have to explore, examine
the insides of yourself.

And what do you really
want out of life?

Your friend and a lot
of people out here

just don't fucking want it.

So guess what?

Have fun with your life.

Go from 300 to 350
to 400 to 450 to 500

because you don't want it.

And that's the harsh reality.

I can't give you shit.

You can't give them shit.

We can give you ideas.

But end of the day, when
I was losing the weight,

I had to miserably wake up
every morning in the cold

because it was Indiana,
November, when it started.

I was miserable.

This is your new life.

Take it or leave it.

There's no happiness about it.

There's no peace behind it.

It sucks.

It just fucking sucks.

And that's the one thing, if I
could teach anybody anything,

it just fucking sucks.

And it's going to
continue to suck.

And then one day, you'll get
to a special part in your life

that it might get a
little bit better.

But to lose the weight you
have to lose, my friend, sorry.

It's going to suck every
fucking day because then when

you're 300 pounds, you're
going to go out to lose weight,

you could probably get injured.

So then you got to
work on the injury.

And then you get
even more depressed.

This is what I went through.

And then you're hungry
because now you're depressed.

It's just a vicious cycle.

And if you're not
strong mentally

and you have no
willpower, you're

going to continue
falling back in this hole

versus the man that
sits back and goes,

all right, motherfucker.

This is why I cuss because
this is what is in me.

This is what it took
for me to be me.

Sorry.

It didn't take, hey, OK,
we're going to do this today.

No.

This fucking really sucks.

This is real, dude.

This is real.

And every day, I'm set back.

I'm set back.

I'm set back.

I'm set back.

So this is what I
would tell your boy.

This is exactly
what I'd tell him.

Every day you wake up,
you're going to probably

be set back for the
first four weeks

before you lose significant
weight because the mind is

going to be fucking
with you the whole time.

There's no dopamine.

There's no dopamine in
there at 300 pounds.

You got nothing.

Your hormones are shot.

You have to envision something
that is more powerful than you.

Something has to
get you out of bed.

And you have to create it.

It has to be false
because you're not it.

You're a fat piece of shit.

And that's the reality of it.

So you have to create a false
reality, to live in that

just to get to work on yourself.

That's the reality.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: He'll
see this, and he'll

appreciate that message.

We'll see what he does.

DAVID GOGGINS: We'll see.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: So far, last
13 years, it's been no movement.

But I have had other
friends who were

drug and alcohol addicts who
quit after one conversation.

Never went back.

DAVID GOGGINS: That's awesome.

That means they want it.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Yeah, just
one guy, I won't out him,

but walked up to me at a
party in 2019, July 4th party,

and said, I'm a pile.

And I go, what?

And he goes, I'm a pile.

Look at me.

I'm 60 pounds overweight.

And I go, do you drink?

He goes, every day.

I go, how much?

He goes, a case.

He goes, I smoke a lot of weed.

But he's successful in
other areas of his life.

And so I said, well,
here's what I know.

Quit alcohol and weed for you.

I'm not telling
people what to do.

Don't eat until 2:00 PM.

Get on an exercise
bike, and pedal

in the morning like someone's
chasing you with a poison dart

until you want to puke.

And I was kind of half-joking.

And then two months
later, he was, like,

I haven't had a drink.

I lost 30 pounds.

He lost those 60 pounds.

He never went back.

Now, he's super fit.

It's amazing.

So some people flip the switch.

He is very
self-critical by nature.

DAVID GOGGINS:
That's what flips--

ANDREW HUBERMAN: He's
super self-critical.

DAVID GOGGINS: Yep.

That's what flips the switch.

Think about it, man.

We know what to do.

We don't need Andrew Huberman
to tell us what to do.

We know what to do,
every one of us.

That's why he flipped it so
fast because he knew what to do.

He didn't go by
your exact protocol.

He didn't go by the exact--

no.

He knew exactly what to do.

And you just saying some shit
to him, it woke something up.

He knew what to do.

And that's the thing that
people need to get that.

You know what to do.

Why aren't you doing it?

ANDREW HUBERMAN: And I'm
talking about myself now.

Those modes of just kind
of passive consumption,

they're so easy to wash over us.

I used to have this thing,
and I'm fighting this

now because I knew we were
going to have this conversation

today, where I like
to start things

on the hour or the half hour.

Worst practice in
the world for me

because if I miss that half
hour, I'm like, oh, it's 12:33.

I'll start at 12:45.

Ah, it's 12:45.

I'll start at 1:00.

I just lost time.

And so this is so stupid.

And the other day,
I was like, man, I

got to tell David about this
because my new thing is I start

no matter what time it is.

If I wake up in the
middle of the night--

I got a friend.

He paints in the
middle of the night.

I'm like, you're an insomniac?

He's like, I don't know.

I just do it.

Then sometimes he
goes back to sleep.

Sometimes he doesn't.

Everyone's got their thing.

But I thought about this.

I'm like, no more am I
going to say I'm starting

at 1:00 because I know me.

If I miss the 1:00 ding and then
my pen's not hitting the paper

or I'm not typing
on the keyboard,

I'm not going to do it.

But That's a
self-admitted weakness.

DAVID GOGGINS: I love it, man.

I had that for a lot of years.

I know I'm going to do it.

That's the haunting part is
that it's going to happen.

It has to happen.

And that's a fact.

Like, there's no get out
of jail free card, bro.

None.

Like, that is a life
that I don't know.

I don't have that ability.

Or I have the ability.

I don't have the--

I'm not good enough,
smart enough.

I'm not talented
enough to do that.

Some people are.

Some people can start at 1:00.

Some people don't
have to start at all.

If you lack talent, you
can't sit back and say,

I'll start in half an hour.

I can't do that.

I got to start now.

And after I get back from
starting, I got to start again.

And then when I get done with
that run or that study session,

if it wasn't good enough,
I got to go back again

because repetition is
what taught me everything.

So you can honestly
outwork anything.

But it's that you, obviously,
are a very talented man.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Well, I have
worked hard at certain things

and built up some
things that I've

been good at most of my life.

DAVID GOGGINS: You're amazing.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Gathering,
organizing, and disseminating

information's
something I've been

doing since I was a little kid.

I used to give lectures at
school on Monday about stuff

I learned over the weekend.

DAVID GOGGINS: See,
check that out.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: But they
took me to a psychiatrist.

We're the same age.

Back then, if you got
sent to a psychiatrist,

people thought you were crazy.

DAVID GOGGINS: I was one.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Yeah, exactly.

DAVID GOGGINS: I was one.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Exactly.

So I remember
feeling like a freak.

Also, I didn't have a stutter,
but I had a grunting tic.

It comes back when I'm tired.

And the only thing that
helped that was hitting

my head on something,
shaking my head,

which is why skateboarding
was good because I'd slam,

and I'd feel like, oh.

I feel good.

But that's not healthy.

That's not good.

Or just work.

Work is what gets it out.

It's like an-- it's
like an RPM or high.

[REVVING SOUND]
Anyway, that's me.

But yeah, I think
certain things over time,

I feel like talent or gifts or
whatever you want to call them,

but there are many
things that are

exceedingly difficult for me.

And I have learned
from your example.

I know that you are very
both humble and very clear

that you don't have--
you say, you're

not going to get it
by examining you.

But I think the way
you're sharing today

and the way you've shared
it on other podcasts before,

there are pieces
that really help

people feel into
the process of what

you're talking about today.

We're elaborating on it, I
think, a lot, this notion

of being haunted and the stick.

I mean, of course, of course,
now it makes so much sense why

you don't want to talk about
sleep or rest or recovery

because that's--

sure, that's important.

I've heard you say,
yes, you sleep.

Yes, you eat.

Yes, you hydrate.

Yes, you will stretch
your psoas or whatever.

But it's funny how that
becomes the viral message.

DAVID GOGGINS: That's why
I said fuck that today.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: But
that's not the unique--

that's not the unique
message that you carry.

Like, anyone can
talk about that.

So do I have that right?

That you're acknowledging
sleep is important.

Recovery is important.

DAVID GOGGINS: Yes.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: But that's
not what you're about.

DAVID GOGGINS: You have
to forego something.

Yes.

Ice baths.

Saunas.

Sleep.

Nutrition.

All this shit's so
fucking important, dude.

I don't have time
for some of it.

To extract what I had to
extract, something had to give.

Like, you talk about you
when you were younger.

You would give these
speeches and stuff.

The same age you
were giving speeches,

I was trying to figure out how
to say the without stuttering.

And I realized, as I got older,
that all these things are

important.

But for me to stop
stuttering, I got

to build fucking confidence.

And speech therapy
didn't help that.

Nothing helped that.

I have to forgo a lot of
shit to be as fucked up

as I am to build
confidence, for me

to stand in a fucking room of
10,000-- of one person, and not

[STUTTERING SOUNDS] and be
like, oh, and put my head down.

Let me look around.

Let me read these
paragraphs first.

And then before I
read the paragraphs,

because they're
calling me next, let

me just leave the room
because I'm going to stutter.

That's a miserable life.

And that's one of many
things I did besides lying,

besides being insecure,
besides being immature,

besides being fat, besides
being one of the only Black kids

in my school.

There's a lot of things I had
to overcome to gain confidence.

And in doing so, a
lot of that had to go.

A lot of it.

So I became the guy that became,
once again, misunderstood.

You only sleep four hours
a day, two hours a day?

Sometimes you
don't sleep at all?

Like, what's this, and
what's this, and what's this?

I know it's all important.

I can't.

Something's got to go.

For me to get confidence,
because confidence

is the building block of
where I'm trying to go,

for me to gain
confidence in myself,

this fucked up kid has got
to do a lot of fucked up shit

to gain confidence.

And along the way,
the stutter went away.

And I gained confidence.

And now, my life is
a little bit more--

there is no balance.

There is no balance.

It's a little bit more what it
should be for a lot of people.

But there'll never be balance
because confidence is something

that you're constantly--

confidence and belief
you're building every day.

And so something's got to give.

And I'm willing to
forego a lot of things

to have that because
I know if you

want to give
somebody kryptonite,

take that shit away from them.

So yeah, I don't
sleep sometimes.

And sometimes I don't
eat the right way.

And sometimes I don't do this
and do that and whatever, man.

But you put me in a room
of 10,000 people any time

of the day, and I'll
walk in there thinking

I'm the baddest
motherfucker in here

because I know what it
took to be on this stage.

And a lot of people
would not do that.

So that's what it takes.

ANDREW HUBERMAN:
There's a question

I've been wanting to ask
you since we started.

And I thought about
coming in here.

And I've been thinking about
in the weeks ahead of this.

And I'm going to just come
clean and say I don't exactly

know how to ask the question.

DAVID GOGGINS: Just ask it.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: It's
about relationships.

DAVID GOGGINS: Oh, do it, man.

ANDREW HUBERMAN:
So I know in myself

that my discipline is much
higher when it's just me.

But that's because I had
certain things early on.

But then I was a
terrible student.

Barely finished high school.

But then when I got
serious, I got serious.

But I did that by staying
away from everybody.

And anyone's who's ever had
a relationship of any kind,

but in particular,
romantic relationships,

knows that, yes, you can derive
tremendous support from those.

Like, you got this, baby.

You can go.

And you're like, yeah.

I got this.

She said I got this.

Feels great to finish something
and share with someone,

share a meal, get the hug.

But there's another
side to all of that

that I'd like to learn
more about from you,

which is there's a
warm body next to you

in bed in the morning.

You don't want to get up.

They also have needs.

You've got your mission
that people sometimes

need things from us.

But also, oftentimes,
the people that

love us most, that truly love
us and that want to support us,

don't understand this thing.

And they're the first people
to tell us, like, listen.

Take a day off.

And then this whole cycle,
at least in my head,

goes off, like, you
just want a vacation.

And then it's almost
like a paranoia.

I'm not saying anything
nice about myself right now.

DAVID GOGGINS: All good, man.

ANDREW HUBERMAN:
Former girlfriends

are going to be like, yeah.

Like, they remember that.

And so support of people
close to you is critical.

This could be friends.

Could be romantic partners.

Whatever.

But they're also-- the
knife cuts both ways.

It can be the thing
that can really

undermine this thing that you're
talking about because people

that care about us also
want to see us comfortable.

They want to see us happy.

They want to see us peaceful.

They want to see us wake up
from a great night's sleep.

And they want things too.

So how do you untangle
that whole bit?

DAVID GOGGINS: Well,
it's funny, man.

I'm unbalanced, but
I'm mostly unbalanced

towards the family side, which
people don't get about me.

I'll start being unbalanced.

I get all my stuff in.

But what I do is I make sure
that my family has everything

they need, everything
they need, those who

want to be part of my family.

Some don't.

Some family members don't want
to be part of David Goggins.

I get it.

I got it.

That's life.

Those who are part
of my family, I

give them everything
they need so they

can leave me the fuck alone.

I make sure you're happy as fuck
because I got to go to work.

And I don't mean smokejumping.

I don't mean running.

I mean all of it.

It takes every--

I can't have you
in my fucking shit.

I can't.

So I know for me
to have a family,

I gotta make sure that you
realize I'm going to give you

everything you need.

So when you start
bitching at me,

I'm going to say, look, hang on.

I dedicated my life to give
you everything you need.

I need this time
right here for me

to be the best I can be
because this journey started

without anybody.

And I make sure everybody knows
that who comes in my life.

I've been left-- think about it.

I was left alone at a young
age to figure this shit out.

I figured it out for myself
and have been very successful

for myself.

No one's going to come in
here and fuck with my shit.

That's why I make sure I will
take care of whatever you need.

Whatever you need
from me, you got it.

Money, house, my
love, my support,

I'm going to give you
everything you need.

That said, I do it the
highest level possible.

And I'm saying that with
Jennifer in the next room.

So please come here
and say something

if it's wrong, Jennifer.

I don't give a fuck.

Say what you got to say.

So then when it's time
for me to go to work,

I expect you to
do the same for me

because it takes every bit of
me to do what I have to do.

So I make sure that I'm very
unbalanced from my family

so I can be exactly that
unbalanced for myself.

And that's how I do it.

I let people know
right up front,

I'm not what you want in a man.

I guarantee that.

There's going to be
a lot of late nights,

a lot of early
mornings, a lot of times

where I got to be by myself
thinking about the process that

is next in my mind.

I can't have aggravation.

I can't have this.

Can't have that.

There's a lot of things.

But I let them know up front.

I'm very vocal about that.

Sometimes relationships
work for me.

Sometimes they didn't.

But that's who I am.

One thing I did wrong in my life
was I tried for so many years

to please people.

And I did it at the
expense of myself.

I was leaving a lot in the tank.

And when you do that,
you stop living.

But the person in your
life is happy as fuck

because you're giving
them everything they want.

They have their--
their life is full.

But you feel empty.

And that's not a
relationship to me.

So for me, it's
important that you

know exactly who I am because
this is what life made.

And I'm not trying to change it
because I just figured it out.

So I'm not trying to
compromise David Goggins.

I would never, ever
compromise David Goggins.

That doesn't mean I won't
give you what you need

and what you want
and what you desire.

But I don't need money.

I don't need fame.

I don't need shit.

So I give it all away.

What I do need is to make sure
that that willpower is worked

on every fucking day and every
night for the rest of my life

because that's the
one thing that's

going to keep me feeding you,
keeping you where you need

to be, because once
that willpower is gone,

300-pound David Goggins,
he may not look like it,

but I will walk around with it.

So the things that are
important to you in life,

you must do always.

Or you're nobody.

And that's how I
handle relationships.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Amen to that.

Something I could
personally work on

is that upfront,
clear communication

because it resonates that
feeling of there's something

inside that's not getting worked
out that, when I'm on my own,

it's a lot easier.

But then, of course, wanting
relationships and family,

I think that's a healthy
part of being human too.

And obviously,
you've worked it out.

So I appreciate
you sharing that.

I don't think I've
ever heard you

talk about it that way before.

DAVID GOGGINS: People are
scared of that conversation

with their wife, husband,
girlfriend, boyfriend.

But why are you scared of it?

Why are you scared to tell
a motherfucker, your wife,

your husband, who you are, who
you are, exactly who you are?

And that was the problem
I had-- that's a problem

that a lot of us have in life.

No one knows who you really are.

No one knew who I really was.

I went to a school where there
were a lot of Black kids.

A lot of Black kids didn't
want to be in special ops.

I never talked about
special ops to Black kids.

Why?

I was wondering what--

I'm not going to fit in.

That's not what they do.

A lot of Black kids don't
do that kind of shit.

So whatever I wanted
to do, no one really

knew the real me growing up
because I never wanted anybody

to know the real me.

I was always afraid
of what you might say

or how you're going
to feel or whatever.

You got feelings.

You have a life that
you have to live.

So it's important that
whatever's on your mind,

you let that person know.

Therefore, you're
giving them the option

to be with you or not.

This is who I am.

If you don't like
it, that's good, man.

I got it.

But this is David Goggins.

So that honest conversation
is very important, man,

so everybody knows
where they stand.

That person may not be for you.

And that's all good.

ANDREW HUBERMAN:
This world could

use a lot more of that upfront,
completely honest conversation.

I feel like so much of
the world's problems

are because everyone's
dancing around these issues.

DAVID GOGGINS: It takes a lot.

ANDREW HUBERMAN:
Recently in the news,

seeing people losing
their job because they

won't say something publicly.

You can tell they
kind of what it.

It's like, people just,
I think, deep down really

crave the direct message.

Like, what are you about?

What are you not about?

But I think now, everyone's
afraid of getting canceled.

It's a big deal, getting
canceled, that people think,

oh, I can't work
if I am who I am.

Or if I'm not pretending
to be somebody else,

then silence is
considered agreement.

There's all sorts of
complicated stuff.

And I do feel for the
generation coming up

because we didn't have
social media and all of that.

Again, just walled
off from that.

There's a real benefit from
just not paying attention.

DAVID GOGGINS:
People love to lie.

People love to lie.

You know, I thought
I was only a person--

when I was growing
up, I thought I

was the only person that lied
because I lived in a bubble.

And people love to lie
about who they're not.

They love to lie about
who they're not, dude.

And that's, for me, the
reason why I'm so vulnerable,

and I'm so real and honest.

Find somebody to
come out and tell me

I'm lying about my fucking life.

And for me to come
where I came from

and have the resume
I have now, you

know the confidence you get?

How I don't care who--
you're going to-- you're

going to judge me?

You're going to judge me?

What have you done in your life?

So me, being so honest and
so upfront and so truthful,

that came with me finally
figuring out who I was,

but also conquering David
Goggins, the demons of David

Goggins.

Therefore, now, you're
just an open book.

You look at somebody, look
them right in the eye.

Tell me exactly who
the fuck you are.

You walk away.

I'm good, bro, because I know
exactly what this journey took

to get here.

And that gives you a fire
and a passion that people

can call you nigger,
they can call you--

if you're a lesbian or
gay or bise-- call me

whatever the fuck you want.

If you put yourself in
the fire and you come out

every fucking day like this,
brush it off, not scared

to go back in there
again, come on, man.

Your truth is real.

You come out every
day, man, with a way

of talking to people that people
don't have because there's

no truth behind them.

And the truth is
the starting line.

When you sit down the ugly
mirror and say, I'm this,

I'm this, I'm this and this,
you finally started your life.

Maybe 40 years old.

Maybe 40 years old,
five, six kids, wife.

But the second you look in that
mirror and you say, I'm this,

I'm this, I'm this, I'm this,
I'm this, well, basically,

I'm not this, I'm not this,
I'm not this, I can't do this,

I can't do this, I'm
all these insecurities,

your life finally started.

And once you start that
life, man, the truth

comes out big time because
you no longer care.

So that's the problem.

Most people just don't want
to have that conversation

to the point where they can go
on stage and a million people

and say, I'm all of this.

And have a good day.

See you.

It's empowering.

It's very empowering.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: I feel like the
way we're educated in school,

but also outside of school, is
we're trained, as human being,

as these young brains,
to try and figure out

how to get positive
feedback from other people.

It's like we're little dogs.

You have a bulldog.

DAVID GOGGINS: That's right.

ANDREW HUBERMAN:
I had a bulldog.

Saw the picture of your bulldog.

She's great.

DAVID GOGGINS: Charlie dog.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: They're
an amazing species.

DAVID GOGGINS: They are.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: I think
of them economy of effort

or amazing breed, excuse me.

They're an amazing breed.

Economy of effort.

They don't do anything
unless it's necessary.

It's the exact opposite of
everything we're talking about.

It's kind of interesting.

And they're kind of hedonists.

Now, it is true that
they'll die to protect you.

DAVID GOGGINS: Oh, yeah.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: And
it's an instinct.

I saw that with Costello.

I'm sure that--

DAVID GOGGINS: I
saw it with Charlie.

Yeah.

ANDREW HUBERMAN:
It's an instinct.

But if they're not
in that position,

if there's no need
to exert effort--

DAVID GOGGINS: They're resting.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Yeah.

So your bulldog's
resting for you.

DAVID GOGGINS: Yes.

Got it.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Exactly.

So you don't need
to rest because--

DAVID GOGGINS: Active
recovery Charlie.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Perfect.

DAVID GOGGINS: That's it.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Perfect.

That's going to be your
answer from now on.

People go, does he sleep?

Does he rest?

Go, no.

He somehow worked it out so
his bulldog does it for him.

DAVID GOGGINS: Right.

ANDREW HUBERMAN:
But we're sort of

indoctrinated into
this way of being

from a time that we're
young, where, of course,

praise feels good.

Someone tells you, hey, I like
that shirt, or good job today,

or nicely done.

Or for me, because growing up
in a big pack of friends growing

up, and I was never the greatest
athlete, wasn't terrible,

wasn't great, et cetera, like,
a fist bump, or, like, feeling

crewed up.

And you're just like, yeah.

But you've talked about
this before in reference

to the SEAL Teams.

We both know a lot of
people in that community.

And the Teams component is a big
part of it for a lot of people.

And it's a wonderful thing.

But there's a danger
to that dopamine hit,

for lack of a better
way to put it,

from we can only derive when
it's coming from the outside.

You're talking about being
able to either say, good job,

but also, just look to one's
own personal history and say,

I've done hard things.

And I can do it again and again
because I do it again and again

and again.

You're talking about parenting
yourself, inspiring yourself,

scaring yourself, all
of that from the inside.

So very different
than the way we're

raised, which is to figure
out how to get the biscuit.

DAVID GOGGINS: It's funny, man.

People want to know how
I'm always motivated.

It's the unseen work, which you
just said is a true statement.

Those are false dopamine
hits that people

are giving you, man.

There's no belief in that.

These are teamwork
dopamine-- like, I'm out

running at 2 o'clock
in the morning, 1

o'clock in the morning in the
gym, long sessions by myself.

That's real.

I'm able to extract dopamine,
the good dopamine whenever

I want.

Man, I've trained
99% of my life alone.

No one patted me on the back.

I did all of the work alone.

And while I'm still hard on
myself, I know what I did.

So whenever times
get bad for me,

people are all this, who's going
to carry the boats and lo--

that's real.

I hate that people
know me for that guy

because that guy is
not every fucking day.

When they see me,
they want that energy.

That's not me every day.

I can extract it
immediately when I need to

because when you train alone--

and I lived alone for so
many years in this misery.

And you're able to
get out by yourself.

I can take myself to such
a level of real passion

and purpose.

And the feeling I
get is something

I can't even explain by mys--

I don't need anyone.

That's why people come
to me to motivate them.

No one can motivate me.

I have a resume full
of fucking motivation

that whenever I'm down, I'm
like, oh hang on, motherfucker.

Oh, you know the truth.

You know the truth.

You know the darkness
of the fucking dungeons

and the fucking demons that fly.

And then from there,
it's like, OK.

You were there.

You know this.

There was no one
there to pick up

the rucksack, to pick
up the boat, to pick up

the log, to go in there.

It was you.

It was you.

There was no pat on the fucking
back at 300, at 275, at 250,

at 220.

No.

That was you.

So those things
that come out of me,

that extract from me
in the darkness, people

are looking for that
pat on the back.

Where is it?

Oh, I don't need it
because what I've done

is in the fucking unseen work.

I built Frankenstein.

So whenever shit gets
nasty, David Goggins

goes, you had nobody
anyway, motherfucker.

So see how I'm talking
to myself right now?

That's me.

That's shit fires
me the fuck up.

That shit makes me fucking nuts.

You had nobody
anyway, motherfucker.

Look around you.

There was no fucking team.

It was you.

There was no weight loss program
or mom and dad waking you up,

saying you can do it, you can be
better, trying to build belief.

You built belief
when you had nothing.

Rock bottom.

You did that.

So as times get hard for
me, the truth comes out.

And my truth is
powerful as fuck.

It's real.

It's tangible.

I feel it.

It comes out of my brain
as I speak about it.

I'm reliving every single dark
moment of my life to be here.

So that is what
people don't get.

That is what motivates David
Goggins is the unseen work.

But everybody needs
that pat on the back.

They need that training partner.

They need that
accountability coach.

I don't need that shit.

And neither do they.

But it's what we've
trained ourselves

to believe that we need.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: It's
almost like there's

this pill on the shelf.

I'm speaking in analogy.

And we take it, and
we get jazzed up.

And we're like, yeah.

But there's this other
medicine cabinet behind there.

And it's in us.

You're saying the real
medicine cabinet is inside.

DAVID GOGGINS: Oh, yes.

When you continue to overcome--

and I had so many
obstacles to overcome.

So it's actually
a benefit to me.

But the benefit, it's not
like a benefit like that.

You have to have the
courage and the patience

to overcome and overcome.

Before you know it, man, you
have a whole medicine cabinet.

But there's no medicine
in the motherfucker.

There's no pre-workout.

I don't take none of that shit.

All I got to do
is flip my brain.

Put my finger in there and
say, OK, that's a good one.

It's all I got to do, man.

I got the Rolodex.

I'm just like, go fuck
yourself, Goggins.

And oh, but you won.

Let's do that one today.

There's nothing I need.

And this is the
thing that people

don't get about David Goggins.

I can't teach it in
a 1-minute video.

We all have this ability to
have our own medicine cabinet.

But unless you go in there
and put the medicine in there,

it's always going to
be fucking empty, man.

You're always going to
need the pre-workout.

You're always
going to need the--

I don't drink coffee.

I don't do ca--

I don't do none of that.

I don't need it.

I can run for 70 hours, and
I have before, no caffeine.

I got all this wonderful shit
that I overcame on my own,

by myself, in the darkness,
that, man, when it's cold,

I'm hot.

When it's hot--

I can feed myself all the time.

That's why when people
say, man, why aren't you

missing anything, I can't
explain it to you, man.

Can't explain it to you.

You'll never understand.

That's why I don't do
all these podcasts, dude.

I love you, man.

That's why you-- my first
book, you did a blurb for me.

That's why I'm here.

I love what you're
doing for people, man.

But I can't explain this.

I can't.

I can't explain this because
people don't want to do this.

They don't want to do this, man.

But I don't know, man.

I get jazzed up even
talking about it,

man, because so many people
think my life is just so, oh

god, his life is horrible.

Don't follow him.

He's crazy.

Really?

ANDREW HUBERMAN: But there
are a good number of people,

I would say, and that's an
under-- that actually do.

I think what I'm hearing today,
and it's really sinking in, is

that a great many people
either partially or completely

misunderstand you.

DAVID GOGGINS: Yes.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: I'll put myself
in the partially category.

DAVID GOGGINS: Big time.

ANDREW HUBERMAN:
Because I thought

it was about just forward
center of mass, carrot, carrot,

carrot, carrot.

But it's the stick.

DAVID GOGGINS: It's the stick.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: And
it's being haunted.

And you know, I do have examples
from my own life, which is not

what today is about,
about being really afraid

and then turning things around.

My biggest fear is
getting comfortable.

I do not have as much of
a stick-oriented approach.

But today's conversation's
changing the way I think.

I'm not going to
step away from this

and think, OK, there are
25 neural circuits that

can explain 10 of the things
that David's talking about.

And what I'm thinking
about is the fact

that everybody has a brain.

They have a mind.

Forget the brain.

The brain's just the
physical structure.

But what that manifests, what
that creates is the mind.

And everybody has that.

So I do believe that
everyone has the capacity

to do what you're talking
about at some level.

I also will be the
first to confess

that I think you
are highly unusual.

Let's just say maybe even n
of 1, as we say in science.

Sample size of one.

Somebody who has created
this process for themselves

and keeps them in
this-- themselves

in this forward center
of mass with the stick

battering the back of
their head all the time.

Highly unusual.

But this internal
medicine cabinet

that you're talking
about building up,

true confidence, not needing
anything from the outside,

I like to think that
people want that.

They want to be known.

They're afraid.

But that they want to be
known for who they really are

and that you're describing
the path to do this.

And I will say I'm immensely
grateful that you're

talking to us this
way today about things

that you've talked about before.

But we're hitting it a little
differently, I like to think.

DAVID GOGGINS: Very differently.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Because
what you're talking about

is a process.

It's verbs.

It's all verbs.

DAVID GOGGINS: All action.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: And
it's not about success.

It's more, actually,
about keeping

that friction dialed to 10.

And no energy drink,
no supplement.

People often misunderstand me.

They think-- like, I'm big
on people getting sunlight

in the morning so they
set their circadian rhythm

and get better sleep and
so they can-- et cetera.

But then people always
think-- they go straight

to the supplements.

What should I take?

And then, of
course, people think

I'm all about supplements.

And supplements are
one piece for me.

But it's like tiny fraction
compared to the doing,

the do's and don'ts.

DAVID GOGGINS:
That's why I didn't

want to talk about that today.

That's why I'm glad
we're talking about this.

This is it.

This is it.

Like, the brain is the most
powerful weapon in the world.

And it's crazy how a kid
that wasn't real smart,

I was forced to
go only internal.

External had to go away.

The external world
had to go away.

In living so deep inside
myself, it was me in this brain

and figuring out how
this thing works.

And so many people are doing
exactly that, the supplements,

the this, the that.

And I agree, it helps.

But once you figure
out your brain,

you become unstoppable
to almost anything.

Yeah, you can't beat death.

You can't whatever, whatever.

Your brain is amazing.

Once you feed it the right
conversation, the right mental

nutrients, the right
mental supplements,

the right internal
dialogue at the right time

with the right hit, with the
right proof of what you've

done in the past, and
you send that right

to the right circuit, dude,
you're a fucking beast.

A beast.

But once again, you just
can't read about it.

You can't sit back
and be a theorist.

You have to be a
fucking practitioner.

And in that practice is where
that becomes proof-positive

of what I'm saying.

It's like, god, David
Goggins is blowing my mind.

What is this?

He's not crazy.

And so many people,
a lot of people,

have listened to
me the right way.

And they come back, and they're
like, I'm totally on board.

It happened.

It happened.

I'm like, it'll keep going,
man, if you keep doing it.

But that is it, man.

There's no sun.

There's no glory.

There's no carrot.

There's no victory.

But there is all of it in one.

I just can't explain it
real well to people, man.

But what you get the
other end is something

that you're always found.

You're never lost anymore.

Doesn't mean the
journey is easy.

Doesn't get any easier.

But you're always found.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: I love that.

I just want to hover
on that for a sec

the same way we hovered
on haunted and the stick.

I think people feel lost.

I've certainly felt lost at
times in my life, many times.

And yeah, there's that thing.

I don't think there's a
neuroscience or a psychology

term for it.

Someone will put it in the
comments and say, oh yeah,

that's what so-and-so said.

But like you said, we're not
trying to be theoretical here.

We're trying to be practical.

The business of finding
yourself and knowing, oh.

But it's sort of like I'm
safe because I'm in danger,

and I've been in danger
before, and I got myself out.

It always seems to
come back to verbs.

Again, I don't have
a language for this.

For once, I'm lost for words.

There's like-- it's about
a process, the algorithm.

And the reason-- here, I'm just
kind of trying to make sure

I'm understanding
things correctly.

One of the reasons why
it must be uncomfortable

for you to be who
you are publicly

is because people want to focus
on the running or the swearing.

And by the way, the
swearing is welcome.

I'll tell you, I came
up through laboratories

where all three people I
worked for swore a lot.

But there was one rule.

I couldn't swear at people.

So my graduate advisor,
brilliant woman,

unfortunately, she died
early, they all died early--

I'm the common denominator.

I had that internalized
for a long time.

Anyway, she said, but if you
swear at people, you're out.

But you can swear
as much as you want.

So that's the rule I have.

It's like, you can swear
as much as you want.

Just don't swear at people.

And if you swear at people,
better be ready to fight.

Definitely not
going to fight you.

So you can swear at
me, get away with it.

But the fact of the
matter is that it must

be frustrating that people--

because I know
people go, oh, it's

all about supplements
and ice baths.

Listen, I like supplements.

I love supplements
and ice baths.

But that's not the full picture.

It's just a gravitational pull.

It's the swearing.

It's the running.

It's his feet that
are all messed up.

It's the fact that
he got a Triton.

He's a SEAL guy.

Talk about that too.

And there's a gravitational
pull for people.

And they're missing-- that's
the tip of the iceberg,

is what I'm realizing.

I'm realizing that
today thanks to the way

you're phrasing things
because the bigger vessel

is all in here.

And as you said, how do
you put that in a book?

DAVID GOGGINS: It's impossible.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Because
it's highly individual.

You do it your way.

And you're saying,
everyone needs

to go figure out how to
do it their way for them.

DAVID GOGGINS: Yes.

And the thing about
being misunderstood,

it's very frustrating, more
than I can even imagine.

I can't even express
how frustrating

it is when the cussing
and everything comes

from a place of real.

I can't explain what
I do without it.

The passion comes out of me.

It's almost like speaking in
tongues because when you put

that much work-- and
people go, oh yeah,

there's been this basketball
player, this football player,

this--

dude.

No.

No.

Everything, everything is work.

Everything.

And people don't believe it.

So when I speak, the
motherfucker and the fuck

and the shit, that is
what it took for me,

what it takes for me, the anger,
the passion, the jaw-dropping--

just it takes that
because I'm not that.

This is how I look at it, man.

What built this guy?

Let's imagine being
in the coldest

water you can possibly take.

I always go back to
Hell Week with this.

I hated that water.

Hated it.

You're sitting there locked
arms, and you're in the water

all the time.

And they're bringing you
in and out of the water,

in and out of the water.

When you have this
dialogue in your head,

and these people are judging me
off a freaking 1-minute video,

and you're constantly
your whole life,

when you figured it out
at 24, that I got to--

I just got to, just
fucking got to,

and this is just going to suck.

Every day it's going to suck.

And live like that to be better.

And I put it this way.

I'm in the water.

The water is going over my
head, the Pacific Ocean.

It's freezing.

February.

Cold as shit.

Been through three Hell Weeks.

For you to constantly
win, win, win,

when this voice over
here, the real you,

is saying get the fuck out
of here, go, you're nobody.

You've always been nobody.

And it's true.

People don't hear that.

That's a true voice.

That's a real reality of
David Goggins at 24 years old.

It's not a false reality.

And then you had to create
another voice over here that

is saying, you're better
than that other voice.

And you're in the
freezing cold water

that both voices don't
want to fucking be in.

But you win.

Then goes from the
water to the studying

to the running to
the losing weight

to how you eat to how
you function as a man.

Every day of your life,
you're winning these battles.

And then I have normal people
who only have one voice.

Never created the second voice.

The winning voice
is the second voice.

They have one voice.

And that's just,
I'm a piece of shit.

And that's all they hear.

And then they judge
people like me

who are out here
trying to be better.

It's something that
I can never really--

it's a frustrating
thing for me because I

know the majority of people.

I know what goes on in the
brain because I studied the mind

more than almost-- more than
you because I'm a practitioner.

So for you to be a piece of
shit and come out of that,

you don't just come out of it.

You spend decades studying
your mind and the human mind

on how it functions in good
environments, bad environments,

stressful environments,
patient environments.

You study it all because
you had to put all this

together to create the
mind to become successful.

So I had to-- it wasn't like
God blessed me with this brain.

I had to create a mind.

And so in doing
so, I figured out

every piece of shit
human being in the world

because that's what I was
going off of for myself.

So I know why you
go on Instagram.

I know why you-- because
you just have the time.

You have the time
because you don't

want to put that time
into bettering oneself.

So I know why I'm misunderstood.

I'm misunderstood by people
who have plenty of time

on their hands to misunderstand
me because they are exactly

where I once was, which is a
low-life, lazy piece of shit.

And it's the harsh reality
of people who troll you,

who go after you.

They have nothing better
to do with their lives.

It's not some after
school special.

It's the truth.

But I once was that way.

I know where it all comes from.

That's why it's
frustrating to me

now because I'm not so
frustrated at the fact

that I'm being trolled.

I'm frustrated by
the fact that you

don't have the
courage, the courage

to try to be somebody
better than what you're not.

And that's the frustrating part.

ANDREW HUBERMAN:
It's interesting

because earlier, we were
talking about relationships.

And you said, in
a very candid way,

and I really appreciate
you sharing that,

that you make sure
that the people close

to you, your family,
has everything they need

and that they also
understand that you're

going to take what you need to
continue to build you period.

DAVID GOGGINS: Period.

ANDREW HUBERMAN:
In some ways, it

seems you've also included the
general public in that family.

You're saying, listen, I'm
going to give you what you need.

I'm going to give you as
much of myself as I can,

except I'm going to
stop right at the line

that if I were to
cross it is going

to prevent me from
continuing to build myself.

And by the way,
this relationship

only exists because I
don't cross that line.

And I think as much as there
are detractors out there

or people that try--

I mean, whatever they're doing
is pretty feeble, in my mind.

I mean, it's like cap
gun fire, it that.

DAVID GOGGINS: Very feeble.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: So many of us,
men and women, old and young,

hear something and feel
something in your message.

Like, yeah, it
seems kind of crazy.

Gosh.

Doesn't he ever just relax?

What about his sleep?

Look at his feet.

He's going to-- he's
going to injure himself.

Listen, I'll be very direct.

I got friends who were in the
Teams who just go, what's he

going to do when he can't run?

And I know the answer
is keep running.

DAVID GOGGINS: That's right.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: But
it's more comfortable

for people, even
high achievers--

DAVID GOGGINS: Especially
high achievers.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: --to
believe that if you

took one thing away, that
it would all go away.

It's absolutely clear that's
not the case with you.

I'm 100% convinced.

I just know that because
we're talking about this.

DAVID GOGGINS: Do you
know how many times

I haven't been able to run?

Two heart surgeries.

Multiple knee surgeries.

And after every knee
surgery, they said,

you're not going to run again.

And I'm fine with that.

There's no running up here, bro.

None.

This was what it was all about.

That's what they lost.

What if you can't run?

Give a fuck.

It was never about running.

Why do you think I run?

It's the worst thing.

I hate doing it
more than anything.

Hence the willpower.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Right.

Your anterior
mid-cingulate cortex

DAVID GOGGINS:
Hence the willpower.

ANDREW HUBERMAN:
--would start to regress

if you loved running.

DAVID GOGGINS: Think about it.

Every day, I wake up.

I don't just run
a mile, two miles.

It's the one thing I
hate the most to do.

And I do it like I love it.

250, 260, 300-mile
runs at one time.

No sleep.

And every step, when I get
to the-- think about this.

I get to the fucking start
line cussing at Jennifer.

Why the fuck am I here?

I hate this shit.

After 70-some hours of
running, every fucking

question I ever had is answered.

Every question I
had is answered.

I capped success.

People go, what do you
mean, you capped success?

For me to be who I am--

so when I go smokejump, I smoke
jump three to four months out

of the year, sometimes five.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Could
you, just for those

that aren't educated
about-- just

give us a brief description
of what smokejumping entails.

DAVID GOGGINS: So basically,
you jump into fires.

Not into them, but you jump by
fires that people can't get to.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: So out
of planes and helicopters.

DAVID GOGGINS:
Right, out of planes.

I parachute.

It's all parachuting.

So you parachute
out of airplanes.

And then you fight the fire, you
and sometimes four other guys

or maybe eight other
guys, guys and gals.

And you're putting
this fire out.

So I lose millions of dollars
every summer to do this.

It blows people's minds.

Why the hell are you doing this?

ANDREW HUBERMAN: And
you're breathing soot.

DAVID GOGGINS: I'm
breathing soot.

Knees are jacked up.

Hitting the ground.

Hurting.

Whatever.

Talking to normal people,
they'll never get it,

so I don't even
explain it to them.

But this is why-- this is
why I call it capped success.

I'm talking financial success.

For me to continue having that
willpower, the second I just

become a speaking
monkey and travel around

and speaking gigs 12
months out of the year,

put camps on, do this, put on
lectures, get supplement lines

and do this and write
more books and shit,

I've ruined the exact thing
I worked on my entire life.

And while I didn't
know it until the day,

but something
always told me, this

is a very, very, very
perishable skill, this willpower

that you have, because I do have
a willpower that I have never

seen in anybody in my life.

It is a haunting force
that just keeps me going.

And I know that
that is my strength.

If you have that-- so that's
worth every dime I've ever

made in my life is the fact
I can look a man in the eye

finally and have a
real conversation

without going like
this because I'm lying,

or I'm a piece of shit.

Or I know-- you
know how a person--

and so many people do this shit.

They're talking to you
on who they want to be.

They're lying to you.

And they walk away--

I've done it so many times.

You walk away like, god, man.

If I could just
tell them the truth.

Why the hell can't I
just tell him the truth?

Know how good it
feels for me now

to look at you in
your eye and every man

I see because women
won't get this.

Women will not get this.

Man to man, that
man shit, when you

look another man
in the eye, and you

know that everything you're
fucking saying is real,

and it comes from a real
working place, something

that you earned, it's the
best feeling in the world.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: You can
say that actually happened.

Like, I know with certainty what
I'm saying actually happened.

DAVID GOGGINS:
Actually happened.

Who I am and who
I say I am, I am.

No more lies.

No more skirting the truth.

No more bullshit.

And that is worth every dime
I've ever made in my life.

And I swear to God on that.

Every dime I've ever made in
my life, building who I built,

so I capped success
because I know

that if I ever go 12
months out of the year

and don't put several--
every day, I'm going at it.

But several months
out of the year,

I go right back to
ground zero, which means

I'm just fucking David Goggins.

No Goggins.

No carry boats,
fucking logs bullshit.

It's just pick up that
fucking Pulaski and dig.

Hey, get that fucking pump.

Walk down a mile.

Put it in the fucking water.

Mosquitoes beating--
you're just David Goggins.

You're nobody because
that's where my growth is.

That's where my
willpower comes from.

And that's where it stays.

That's why when I talk to
you now-- and can't nobody

talk like this, dude.

People don't talk with
this kind of passion

because it ain't there.

It ain't there.

They're regurgitating some
shit from 30 fucking years ago.

I'm regurgitating
shit from an hour ago.

Hour ago.

Come on, man.

It's just be real.

And I can't be on
these podcasts.

I can't talk to anybody
without being real.

I'll go away.

I'll just go away
because I can't give you

what I want to give you.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: You
said perishable skill.

I think that's
another set of words

I want to highlight because
skill implies behavior.

And when we were just
talking a second ago

about the deep, true bedrock
sense of confidence that

comes from looking
someone in the eye

and telling somebody
something that you absolutely

know it's true
because it happened,

you're talking about actions.

Not talking about perceptions.

You're not talking about
what you believe happened.

You know it happened.

And there's something really
concrete about actions.

I mean, that's what's
so interesting is

we're talking about the mind.

But actions are the
manifestation of the mind.

And the stuff that just stays
in here, people die with that.

It doesn't go anywhere.

Long ago, somebody said--

I forget what the context was.

It was a neuroscientist.

He said, most emotions,
they're just emotions.

They're just in there.

You don't have to do
anything with them.

And I think certain emotions
you want to do something with.

But I think people forget this.

They feel miserable,
like they're

going to dissolve into a
puddle of their own tears.

No one ever died
from an emotion.

But they feel-- they overwhelm
us as if it's a tidal wave.

It's going to pull us
under and drown us.

It's so interesting to me
because I think what people--

listen, you have a
gravitational pull.

People can feel the energy.

I think, yes, you're
either completely badly

or partially understood.

There's only one
guy on the planet

that truly understands you.

I think there's one
woman, Jennifer,

who probably understands you
as much as anyone's going to.

And then the rest of us
are kind of grasping,

trying to figure it out.

But you're saying, go inward.

So first, go inward.

And then it's actions.

Inward and actions.

Now, the inward
piece is something

I'd like to just spend a little
bit of time on because there

are a couple of characters
from history, people that

were in concentration camps.

Nelson Mandela.

I mean, I'm not sure he
had Instagram in there.

I'm pretty sure he didn't.

And I don't think there
was anyone coaching him on,

hey, you're going
to get out someday.

And actually, you're going
to lead an entire country.

I'm pretty sure that's
not how it worked.

He had to find it here.

He had to find it
between his ears.

And there are other examples.

But that's an important one.

So the process of going
inward, does it, for you--

and here, I will
ask for suggestions

because I think people want--

there are those of us who
want to build this skill.

Wall yourself off.

Phone off for big portions
of the day, perhaps.

Texting off.

The requests, the
this, the that.

Anyone that knows you
knows that-- we've

communicated a few
texts, but most of it

comes through a filter.

She's great.

She knows you.

And she knows how to
protect your time.

DAVID GOGGINS: And that
hurts people's feelings.

People get mad about that.

ANDREW HUBERMAN:
Hey, God bless--

God bless you, Jennifer.

Cutting oneself off,
when you're in there,

you say it's just you.

And the voices that come
up are not pleasant.

And then at some point,
it converts to action.

OK.

What is the process
of picking the action?

That's the piece that
I feel like there's,

like, a bridge to build here,
if you can, if you would.

DAVID GOGGINS: So the action
being, like, what's next?

ANDREW HUBERMAN:
Yeah, so when you

go to sleep at night,
when that happens,

you know what you're
going to do the next day?

It's pre-planned?

DAVID GOGGINS: Yes.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: OK.

DAVID GOGGINS: Yes.

It's always the same thing.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: You're
not building it on the fly.

DAVID GOGGINS: No.

Nothing's on the fly.

So how it works
internally for me is I'll

put it exactly how it is.

I'm an artist.

And every day, I'm
painting Mona Lisa.

Every day.

And but it's a different one.

It's not the same painting.

So every day I wake up, even
though I'll do the same thing,

it takes a different
way to get there.

So every day, in my mind,
I'm going through my mind.

I'm just like-- and a good
painter will not just paint.

He needs to create.

And you can't create with
phones and everything

going around you.

So you got to
block yourself off.

You only do two
podcasts in a year.

You block yourself off.

And you're painting
this thing inside.

And you're going through
all these different colors

of paint and everything else.

And you can only figure
out the right painting

if you spend the correct
amount of time in your brain.

So every single
day, I'm literally

going through my mind,
and I'm painting.

I'm creating this masterpiece.

And the masterpiece
is always myself.

And but to do that, you
cannot have any distractions

because if you're talking to an
artist and he's trying to think

about the next
painting, he can't.

It's impossible to
listen to you and listen

to what your mind and body
are telling you we must do.

Because people
don't do enough of.

They don't do any of it.

They don't have passion.

They lack passion,
drive, determination

because you haven't
spent time with yourself.

Your mind will tell
you what is next.

But you haven't
spent the time to go,

all right, let me
just figure this out.

You're looking for let me Google
this, and let me Google that,

and let me-- you're not
going to find it there

because there's billions
of people in this world.

And they're all supposed
to be individuals.

But we have a pack mentality.

That's why you're
so fucking lost.

Why am I so unique?

I'm being exactly what the
fuck I was supposed to be.

I ain't follow shit.

And when I did follow shit,
I was like everybody else.

The second I said, OK, man, hang
on, dude, you don't like this,

you don't like this, you
don't like this, who are you,

David Goggins?

Who are you supposed to be?

Miraculously, all
these things just--

I couldn't even-- the list of
shit I had to do, just, wham.

It's like, fuck.

OK.

Wow.

Once you sit down with
yourself and say, OK, I

don't want to be like
Michael Jordan or Jim Brown--

they're both born
on my birthday.

So I looked at their birthday.

I said, oh, maybe I
can be one of the--

I can't.

I'm going to be David
fucking Goggins.

And that looks like this.

It just came.

Everything flooded.

So every single day
of my life, there's

a different thing that
comes up that I have to do.

But no one knows what to do
because everybody else is

following steps.

Like the Republican
and Democratic parties.

I'm not political--

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Neither am I.

DAVID GOGGINS: --at
all for this reason.

Republicans are going
to vote Republican.

Democrats are going
to vote Democrat.

You're not even a human
fucking being, bro.

No way all you fuckers agree
with all the same fucking shit.

And I know I don't.

So once you figure out
yourself and who you are,

all the answers come.

So every night, a different
painting is being painted.

And it's a beautiful
painting for myself.

I'm like, OK.

That's it.

It may look the same
to most motherfuckers.

But the end result is
very fucking different.

That's why my-- if you look
at what I've done in 49 years,

it's more than most people
will ever do in their life

because they were
a race car driver.

And that's what they did.

They drove a fucking car.

It's great.

I was all kind of shit
because that's exactly what

the painting was saying to do.

It's what the mind
was saying to do.

Wasn't saying just drive a car,
so then that race car driver

didn't know what the fuck to do.

He retires from being a race
car driver, and they're lost.

People go, how are you still--

I don't get it.

Dude, you're never
going to fill your list.

But you never found your
list because it never

was presented in front of
you because your head was

cluttered with shit because
you never just stopped

for lots of minutes, lots
of years, and just said,

all right, it's me and you.

Let it go.

And it just-- bam.

It's right there.

It's right there.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: I'm
not a psychologist,

as I mentioned before.

But I'm going to venture
a hypothesis here.

I think that you've mastered the
process of internal dialogue.

But when I say dialogue, I
think most people think, oh,

the inner voice, the chatter.

But that's just one
half of a dialogue.

A dialogue is a two-way street.

So I completely agree because
I know from experience

that when we go inward,
oftentimes, we hear things,

if we're really honest with
ourselves, it's like, oh no,

I don't want to
think about that.

No.

And then we start
looking outward.

Or we start trying to shift
our attention or distract.

And there are a
million reasons that

are handed to us, excuses, and
seemingly good justifications

to be able to do that.

But dialogue is
a two-way street.

And it hit me
while you were just

saying what you
were saying, I was

paying very close attention.

And I realized David Goggins
is talking about the voice that

comes up, including the
terrible stuff that no one wants

to hear about themselves
from themselves.

But then he's also got
the dialogue down where

he knows the counter voice.

He goes, yeah, you're right.

And so I'm going to do this.

Or maybe no, remember this.

You're in a dialogue, a
two-way dialogue in there, not

a one-way chatter dialogue.

There are books written
by famous psychologists

about chatter, trying to
shift your internal narrative.

You're like, bring
the internal--

the internal narrative, that's
what going inward is about.

But it's not one voice.

Again, there's a hypothesis.

And I'm not claiming
to be all-knowing.

Lord knows I'm not all-knowing.

But you've mastered
the dialogue.

And if there are three voices,
strong, medium, and weak,

in there, you're like,
let's all come to the table.

So you've got a symphony
of voices in there

that are all you, that
you know to be you.

And you know how to have
those convers-- you're not

afraid to be in
those conversations.

And then you know what the
outcome of that committee

decision is, and you put
it into real-world action.

And the world only
sees the action.

DAVID GOGGINS: That's it.

ANDREW HUBERMAN:
And only you can

know your internal dialogue.

And only I can know
my internal dialogue.

And the only way to,
quote unquote, "know it"

is to spend a hell
a lot of time there.

DAVID GOGGINS: That's right.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: OK.

DAVID GOGGINS: A lifetime.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Got it.

DAVID GOGGINS: A lifetime.

Like, think about it.

For me to be sitting
here in front of you,

you're not going to
call 300-pound Ecolab

guy to come sit here.

You might.

I don't know.

Maybe.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Probably not.

DAVID GOGGINS: Probably not.

Think about this.

What we teach people is
kind, kindness to yourself.

Do you think if I
taught myself kindness--

and I agree with it.

God, so many people-- so many
people take me out of context,

it's ridiculous.

Take it however the fuck
you want to take it.

When I was 300
pounds, where do you

think that conversation
would that got me

if I spoke kindness to myself?

I'll tell you where it gets me.

Right back to 7-Eleven with
another box of mini chocolate

donuts and a
chocolate milkshake.

That's the one voice.

That's the one voice
that most of us have

that you're talking about.

If you don't have a conversation
in there, the other voice

that you create that says,
OK, how does this look?

Looks very ugly.

That kind conversation for
me went away a long time ago,

which is why the dialogue
is now what you see.

A lot of action.

Because most people have
inaction because there's

one person talking.

And that one person
is always leading you

down the same
path, the path that

makes you feel very comfortable
and happy with yourself.

The second you create the
other voice, there's conflict.

Just battles.

Just wars.

Just defeat.

One thing I learned, and
I taught myself this,

and people go, I don't
understand what you're saying,

I'm going to try to
break it down real quick.

I didn't teach
myself victory first.

I taught myself failure.

I taught myself how to fail.

And people like,
that's so depressing.

Is it?

When you're 300 pounds and
you can't read and write

and you're fucked up,
you know how many times

you're going to fucking
fail on that process?

So if you don't know how to
fail, there is no victory.

I never talked about
winning because I

knew the path to
winning was going

to be years of failing first.

So I taught myself
how to fail properly.

No one teaches you
how to fucking fail.

But if you're going out
for insurmountable fucking

odds that make absolutely
no fucking sense,

a Black kid that can't
swim, 300 pounds--

going to be a Navy SEAL.

OK.

You better teach yourself
how to fail first

because if you sit in
failure for too long,

you will never come out of it.

So the first part
of my success was

learning how to fail properly.

And then eventually, I started
getting a few victories.

But that's what
people don't get.

When you have buried yourself
in such a deep fucking hole,

you better first talk
about the failures

you're going to have first.

And that's when that
other voice comes up.

It tells you, we've
got to do something.

But it also tells
you, boy, I'm not

going to lie to you, Goggins.

You're in for a
fucking climb, bro.

You're going to get
your ass handed to you,

made fun of, the outside
noise, the inside noise.

Both voices are going
to be fucking telling

you to go fuck yourself.

You are in for hell, bro.

I am.

So I better learn to fail.

ANDREW HUBERMAN:
So this is what you

mean when you say that
whatever anyone says,

it's insignificant?

DAVID GOGGINS:
Insignificant as fuck.

ANDREW HUBERMAN:
It's the cap gun fire

because it's just like
it-- because the voice

in your own head is far worse.

And I should say, sorry, one
of the voices in your head.

I'm being very detailed,
almost surgical

about that because I think
this thing about inner dialogue

we think is one voice.

But you're making it
clear it's many voices.

DAVID GOGGINS: It is.

And the thing about it is,
you have to be really--

and sometimes all the
voices are telling you

the wrong shit, man.

But through years, years, not a
podcast or listening to a book

or reading a book,
years of sacrifice,

of suffering, of diligent
pinpoint fucking work

on what you want
to do for yourself,

not like, oh, let me
just do a bunch of shit.

Let me-- I want to be
in every task possible.

No.

Pinpoint what I want
to do with my life.

What happens is you have
all these voices that

are telling you
you're fucked up,

and this is going to be hard.

But for some reason, you put
so much practice into you

that you can ignore
every one of them that

are telling you you're not
going to fucking make it.

And still be able
to fucking make it

because you have put
the practice in that you

know this is the process.

It's such a daunting task that
all the voices are saying no.

But you still have
the conviction

that I know I can do this.

And that's what it took
for me to get here.

20, 30 years ago, I had this--

35 or whatever it was,
25 years ago, pipe dream.

And ever since then, every voice
was like, you're a fucking nut.

But when you put that practice
in every day, you lace them up.

And I mean, run.

It's just a metaphor for life.

When you lace them
motherfuckers up every day,

pretty soon, you win.

Pretty soon, you'll fucking win.

If you have the courage and
the heart and the dedication

and the mindset of everybody
can go fuck themselves,

I know what I know.

I've listened to
myself enough to know.

I know what I know.

None of you can hear
what I'm hearing.

And that's what people
don't do enough of.

They don't listen
to their journey.

They listen to
everybody else's shit.

Before you know it, I'm crazy.

But if I'm so fucking crazy,
why am I so successful?

How that happen?

But I'm so misguided
and fucked up.

And don't listen to him.

Why am I the only one to
do a whole bunch of shit?

Why am I a trailblazer?

Why?

How is that possible?

How can you be fucked up and
also self-made at the same

fucking--

no.

No.

Obviously, you're not looking
at the truth in front of you.

The truth in front
of you is it sucks.

It's painful.

It's fucking mind-numbing.

And that is the truth.

And that's why a
lot of people don't

like listening to me because
this is what it takes,

creating another voice and
sometimes going at it alone.

All the time going at it
alone because no one's

going to believe in you.

And that's that.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: What I'm
about to say is not conjecture.

And I can say that
with confidence

because I did a
four-episode guest

series with a brilliant
psychiatrist, a guy named

Paul Conti.

He's from Trenton.

He's a Stanford,
Harvard-trained guy.

He's also got a lot
of street in him.

He's had his own
hardship, real hardship.

He's brilliant.

And he said something
that I'll never forget,

which is, we think that
the forebrain, the part

of our brain that creates
strategy, et cetera,

is the supercomputer.

He said, no, no, no,
no, no, no, no, no, no.

No, no, no.

He's like, the
supercomputer of the brain

is the unconscious mind.

It's the part of our mind that's
controlling most everything.

And most people,
unfortunately, don't

do the work to understand
how their unconscious is

controlling them.

And that's a scary
thing, this idea,

like your mind is
controlling you.

And I'm not going to get
into the free will debate.

I believe in at least some will.

I believe what you're describing
and this internal dialogue,

I think you have access
to your unconscious mind

by listening to the
dialogue, going inward.

We know this is true in sleep,
in dreams, in meditation,

and just by shutting out
everything else, shutting out

all the external
noise, which is filled

with things that pull us to it.

Noise makes it sound bad, but
it's the gravitational pull

of all the things that allow
us to distract ourselves

without knowing.

The ice cream.

The have a cookie.

The Merry Christmas.

The unconscious
mind, this huge piece

of the iceberg underneath that
Paul calls the supercomputer,

he's saying that with
knowledge as a neurobiologist,

psychiatrist, psychologist,
so he really knows,

that's the piece that if
one does real introspection,

he calls it the cupboards.

You got to look
in the cupboards.

And it's often really scary
what you find in there.

And most people are
just like, I don't even

want to know the
cupboards are there.

But you're pulling all
the cupboard doors open.

And then you're-- and you're
extremely deliberate with what

gets put into action.

You're not just going,
oh, like, I'm pissed,

so I'm going to act pissed.

Or I'm tired, so I'm
going to act tired.

It's you're picking very
carefully what to do.

And that's a process that
I'm guessing came to you.

Does it come to you
as a, OK, it makes

sense why running makes sense.

It makes sense why
smokejumping makes sense.

So it seems like a huge
portion of your time

is spent understanding yourself
and making sense to you.

And so when people
don't understand you,

it's got to be extra frustrating
because most people don't

understand themselves.

So then we're all running
around going, you're this,

and you're that because
most people are just

unwilling to look inward.

And I'm including
myself, by the way.

I mean, I've done a fair
amount of introspection.

But I'm inspired today, that
word, inspired, but it's true,

motivated to start going inward
further because it is scary.

It's like, we don't know
what's in those cupboards,

and it's terrifying, especially
because we don't know.

DAVID GOGGINS: And those are
the first ones to open up.

And like you talked
about, you got

to go through those cupboards.

I do spring cleaning
every fucking

day in those dark cupboards.

Those dark cabinets are the
ones I start with first.

That's the real me, man.

That's the real me.

That's why I'm not ashamed.

I don't hide.

I used to hide.

I don't hide anymore.

He's exactly right.

I don't know all the
fucking science behind shit.

I know what I know.

That's why I don't listen
to anybody anymore.

I don't listen to shit.

I think most people are
full of shit because I know.

I know the deep, dark secrets
of those fucking cupboards.

It's ugly, man.

And every day, I'm
talking to them.

Every day, I'm cleaning them.

I'm cleaning them,
and I'm talking

to the same demons that came
out of those fucking cupboards

as I'm cleaning them.

Sometimes they go right
back in them again.

It's not easy.

And this is why
most of us just--

why I am misunderstood
because what comes out

of those cabinets
that I'm cleaning,

sometimes they see on Instagram.

Sometimes they'll
see it in a podcast.

Sometimes they see
it in this one.

I turn people off.

Open up your own cabinets.

And then go talk about it.

Let me see how pretty it looks.

Let me see how pretty you sound.

Let me see how put
together your words are.

I bet you a fuck or a
motherfucker comes out

because for you to go
back in there again

to clean the same fucking
cabinet that the demon came out

of takes some big balls, bro.

To do it every day of your life.

To go back in there and spring
clean every day, not once

a fucking year,
once every decade.

Every day you know
it gets dusty.

And every day, you don't
start with the victories.

You don't go, oh, this is nice.

Look at my-- look at
my I love me wall.

Let me clean up.

This is a little dusty.

No.

I go right for the things that
are going to keep me buried.

And I go right there first
because if I don't clean those

out first, the
day doesn't start.

So what are you
saying to me is truth.

And like I told you
many times today, I

can never figure out how to
explain this shit to people

because I'm not neuro nothing.

I'm just a guy that said, OK,
we got to start in the dungeon.

And we got to stay here
for the rest of our lives.

For you to become
successful, the dungeon

is a place that has to be clean.

And it's the
scariest place to be.

That's why I'm
misunderstood because I'm

speaking from the dungeon.

That's why I am
successful because I

go there every damn day.

And that is the
truth, what he says.

It's the exact truth.

Those cabinets are
fucking dusty, dirty,

and scary as shit.

Broken glass, fucking
dark, spiders, cobwebs.

But most of all,
your biggest fears,

the biggest things that put
you in a fucked up place you

are today are in there.

That's why we all like
to keep them shut.

You like to lock them up.

Act like they never happened.

That's why you never grow.

You never improve.

You never have
real conversations

like we're having right now.

Never.

Never.

Oh no.

No, no, no, no, no.

Let's not-- no, no, no.

Let's not go there.

I talked to so many
people who tell me that.

Let's talk about this.

Because they'll tell me, but
they can only say it once.

And they'll say it in passing.

They won't get deep
in the weeds with it.

Like, you can't just clean it.

Motherfucker, you got to
spit shine that motherfucker.

You got to relive it,
every fucking detail of it.

You can't just be like, oh
yeah, yeah, my dad beat me.

And it is what it is.

It ain't is what it
is, motherfucker.

It's killing you.

It's taken over your
whole fucking life.

But that's the conversation.

Yeah, my dad beat-- but
I'm fine now, though.

I'm good.

OK.

All right.

No, you ain't.

You ain't fine.

You ain't fine.

This is real talk.

People don't have that.

So your boy's right.

100% right.

Scary as shit.

It's scary as shit.

But it makes you who
you're supposed to be.

And that's the test.

We forget.

We think we're supposed to
breathe air and have kids

and pay the bills and shit.

But what's this life about?

That makes no sense.

We're being tested, my friend.

Tests come when you
have not studied.

Tests come when you think
that you're in a great place.

That's the test.

The test is every
day of your life.

And most of us fail
because we don't

know why we're here because
we don't go inward to say, oh.

You gave me a lot
of shit to fix, man.

And this test sucks.

But then you start.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: David Goggins.

I don't think I
could add to that.

I know I can't.

Thank you for sharing
what you shared today.

I mean, as much as your
process or anyone's process

can't be completely
understood from the outside,

you gave us a real
window into this thing,

this process that you--

as you said, God put it on you.

I believe in God too.

People can believe
what they want.

But somehow, your life, God gave
you these challenges early on.

And then there was a point
where you went internal.

And like you said,
you developed a skill.

But it's a perishable skill.

And you clearly
live in the process

of opening those cupboards,
reopening those cupboards,

trying to spit shine
those cupboards,

understanding that they're
never, ever really done,

but that you can gain ground
on them, that you can win day

after day after day.

And you really shared a
lot of concrete things

that I know people
are going to be

able to apply if they choose.

And I agree with you.

I think most people
will be like, whoa.

That was a lot.

It's heavy.

I think I want to just kind of
bake myself in Netflix and Chex

Mix instead.

But there's also the
reality that there

are men and women, boys and
girls who hear that and go, OK,

and start cracking
the cupboards open.

And I just know
that for myself, I'm

extremely grateful that
you're willing to put it

all out there.

You're so brutally honest,
so brutally authentic.

That word authenticity
gets thrown around so much.

And I can tell you that for me
and for everybody else, that's

really what resonates.

So whether or not you want
to, whether or not it's

the purpose behind it or not,
you're lighting the path.

So thank you.

DAVID GOGGINS:
Respect Thank you.

Thanks for having me.

ANDREW HUBERMAN: Thank
you for joining me

for today's discussion
with David Goggins.

To learn more about
David and to find links

to his two fantastic
books, "Can't Hurt Me,"

and "Never Finished," please
see the show note captions.

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 [00:00.000 -> 00:14.240] 字幕提供者 阿彥
[00:14.240 -> 00:16.240] 嗨 大家好 我是阿彥
[00:16.240 -> 00:19.040] 驚不驚喜 意不意外啊
[00:19.040 -> 00:22.640] 這個上禮拜錄完這個Podcast
[00:22.640 -> 00:24.640] 然後隔天吧 我記得是隔天
[00:24.640 -> 00:26.560] 就是最低點啦
[00:27.560 -> 00:29.080] 但我必須老實講啦
[00:29.080 -> 00:31.080] 就是其實我也沒有想到說
[00:31.080 -> 00:33.080] 他會V轉得這麼快
[00:33.080 -> 00:35.080] 因為其實我們本來
[00:35.080 -> 00:37.080] 不是這樣預估的
[00:37.080 -> 00:41.280] 但31號呢其實還是有出現一些訊號
[00:41.280 -> 00:43.280] 然後讓我們覺得說他要在
[00:43.280 -> 00:45.640] 直接往下的機率真的不高
[00:45.880 -> 00:46.920] 所以
[00:47.160 -> 00:53.320] 要砍在這個最低點的機率是非常低的至於是什麼訊號大家可以去看這個上禮拜五的
[00:53.560 -> 00:54.600] 文章裡面都有寫
[00:55.100 -> 00:59.200] 再來就是今天大家可能會比較關心的話題就是對於這個
[00:59.460 -> 01:01.500] 現在的情況呢到底是比較
[01:01.760 -> 01:06.000] 偏向反彈還要再下去還是說其實現在已經在軋空了
[01:06.000 -> 01:10.000] 然後之後可能還會再創高這樣
[01:10.000 -> 01:14.000] 其實從今天的盤後資料來看
[01:14.000 -> 01:17.000] 外資在期貨方面的水位
[01:17.000 -> 01:18.000] 其實又創高了
[01:18.000 -> 01:21.000] 來到9000多口
[01:21.000 -> 01:23.000] 是包含大台跟小台
[01:23.000 -> 01:25.060] 外資大台跟小台不會加起來這樣
[01:25.060 -> 01:28.320] 那如果是看我們平常會看的這個外資期
[01:28.320 -> 01:30.320] 或為平常與結算比來看的話
[01:30.320 -> 01:31.920] 他其實也是創新高的
[01:31.920 -> 01:33.600] 來到18000多口
[01:33.600 -> 01:36.600] 那其實這個東西在
[01:36.600 -> 01:40.160] 我們回去回顧之前的資料會發現
[01:40.160 -> 01:42.160] 就是當來到這種比較
[01:42.160 -> 01:44.560] 極端值的情況的時候其實
[01:44.560 -> 01:46.000] 後面都還有高點
[01:46.000 -> 01:49.000] 所以以目前情況來說
[01:49.000 -> 01:51.000] 我不會覺得說現在可能到了半年線
[01:51.000 -> 01:54.000] 然後就要反彈結束
[01:54.000 -> 01:55.000] 然後就要下去
[01:55.000 -> 01:57.000] 我覺得這樣的機率不是特別高
[01:57.000 -> 01:59.000] 然後再來就是
[01:59.000 -> 02:04.000] 雖然我們覺得他高點後面還有高點
[02:04.000 -> 02:07.120] 可是有件事情必須要比較注意一點
[02:07.120 -> 02:11.920] 就是先前我們有提過這個軋空的情況
[02:11.920 -> 02:14.320] 以這次閃護的情況來說的話
[02:14.320 -> 02:17.100] 先前我們其實有統計過
[02:17.100 -> 02:18.700] 在這樣子的軋空情況
[02:18.700 -> 02:21.400] 閃護的空單大概會有兩到三波的高峰
[02:21.400 -> 02:23.600] 那很明顯現在
[02:23.600 -> 02:25.880] 也不能講很明顯啦
[02:26.140 -> 02:27.680] 蠻高的機率現在是第一波
[02:27.680 -> 02:29.980] 但是第一波到第二波之間中間會有個回檔
[02:30.240 -> 02:31.780] 那這個回檔什麼時候發生呢
[02:31.780 -> 02:32.540] 我們覺得
[02:33.060 -> 02:34.840] 近期其實蠻有機會的
[02:35.100 -> 02:35.880] 這個
[02:36.380 -> 02:37.400] 短線上蠻有機會的
[02:37.920 -> 02:38.440] 那
[02:38.940 -> 02:40.220] 他不會馬上的
[02:40.740 -> 02:41.240] 發生
[02:41.500 -> 02:42.280] 他其實
[02:42.780 -> 02:44.320] 比較常出現的情況是
[02:44.580 -> 02:46.400] 他會先整理一段時間
[02:46.400 -> 02:48.440] 整理一小段時間然後
[02:48.440 -> 02:49.980] 下跌
[02:49.980 -> 02:53.560] 下跌之後再進入到第二波的這個
[02:53.560 -> 02:54.600] 軋空的行情
[02:54.600 -> 02:55.620] 所以
[02:55.620 -> 02:58.180] 講到這邊你就可以發現一件事情
[02:58.180 -> 03:00.740] 我們剛剛講那個外資期貨未平倉與結算比嘛
[03:00.740 -> 03:02.280] 那他現在創新高嘛
[03:02.280 -> 03:06.000] 那我們覺得其實後面還有高點那你現在回去看
[03:06.000 -> 03:08.000] 我們稍微看近一點點
[03:08.000 -> 03:10.000] 你把盤勢拉到60分K
[03:10.000 -> 03:14.000] 你會發現近期的最高點是16750
[03:14.000 -> 03:16.000] 然後這一波上來的最高點是16750
[03:16.000 -> 03:19.000] 那我們剛剛說他後面還有高點機率比較高
[03:19.000 -> 03:21.000] 所以在整理的這段時間
[03:21.000 -> 03:22.000] 其實你拉到60分K看
[03:22.000 -> 03:24.000] 你就可以發現他其實現在已經在整理了
[03:24.000 -> 03:26.800] 然後可能還會超過16750在整理的這段時間其實你等到60分可以看你就可以發現他其實現在已經在整理了然後
[03:26.800 -> 03:28.480] 可能還會超過16750
[03:28.480 -> 03:30.000] 可是超過16750之後呢
[03:30.000 -> 03:34.000] 他其實會剛好比較接近我們所謂的
[03:34.000 -> 03:39.360] 第一波高峰到第二波高峰中間的這個下跌的時期
[03:39.360 -> 03:41.360] 所以如果
[03:41.360 -> 03:43.360] 可能過兩天
[03:43.360 -> 03:44.400] 他又漲上去了
[03:44.400 -> 03:45.640] 比如說我隨便舉個例子
[03:45.640 -> 03:47.480] 比如說漲到16800
[03:47.480 -> 03:50.160] 那我覺得短線上你要追的話
[03:50.160 -> 03:52.320] 可能就要承擔比較大一點的風險
[03:52.320 -> 03:54.400] 所以基本上
[03:54.400 -> 03:55.960] 基本上我個人還是比較偏好
[03:55.960 -> 03:57.800] 就是下跌的時候買
[03:57.800 -> 04:01.960] 你把這陣子的走勢開來看
[04:01.960 -> 04:02.880] 你就會發現
[04:02.880 -> 04:05.000] 就是每一次漲上去
[04:05.000 -> 04:07.000] 你用追的
[04:07.000 -> 04:08.000] 的
[04:08.000 -> 04:10.000] 結局好像都不是很理想
[04:10.000 -> 04:11.000] 對不對
[04:11.000 -> 04:12.000] 但是
[04:12.000 -> 04:13.000] 人性就是這樣子我知道啊
[04:13.000 -> 04:14.000] 它其實很難克服
[04:14.000 -> 04:16.000] 跌的時候你會不敢買嘛
[04:16.000 -> 04:17.000] 漲的時候
[04:17.000 -> 04:18.000] 你就會想要買嘛
[04:18.000 -> 04:19.000] 是不是
[04:19.000 -> 04:21.000] 我覺得這其實體現在
[04:21.000 -> 04:22.000] 很多方面
[04:22.000 -> 04:23.000] 很多方面
[04:23.000 -> 04:24.000] 那再來就是
[04:24.000 -> 04:26.000] 有一件事情我覺得蠻有趣的
[04:26.000 -> 04:28.000] 如果
[04:28.000 -> 04:30.000] 今天我在臉書上面
[04:30.000 -> 04:32.000] 看到
[04:32.000 -> 04:34.000] 我忘記是哪一個粉專了
[04:34.000 -> 04:36.000] 他在講這個
[04:36.000 -> 04:38.000] 現在的盤勢
[04:38.000 -> 04:40.000] 他提到把日可以打開來看
[04:40.000 -> 04:42.000] 然後是頭頭低
[04:42.000 -> 04:44.000] 然後底底低的一個型態
[04:44.000 -> 04:49.000] 然後可能這個要上去的機率不高
[04:49.000 -> 04:53.000] 雖然他講的一些好像偏多又好像有點偏空
[04:53.000 -> 04:55.000] 但我覺得他結論應該是在講
[04:55.000 -> 04:58.000] 就是會跌下去 他的結論應該是這樣子
[04:58.000 -> 05:00.000] 如果我理解能力沒有問題的話啦
[05:00.000 -> 05:04.000] 但是我覺得蠻有趣的一件事情是
[05:04.000 -> 05:06.920] 如果你是看日K你當然可能會有這種想法
[05:06.920 -> 05:08.700] 可是如果你把它拉到週K來看呢
[05:09.480 -> 05:12.040] 你會發現其實他就是這附近整理嘛
[05:12.280 -> 05:13.320] 其實沒有
[05:13.820 -> 05:15.360] 沒有這麼的
[05:15.620 -> 05:17.920] 沒有像日K這麼的看起來
[05:18.440 -> 05:19.200] 有點
[05:19.720 -> 05:21.000] 會讓人怕怕的感覺
[05:21.500 -> 05:23.300] 對不對但其實他是同一個盤勢
[05:23.300 -> 05:26.000] 那你日K跟週K來看就感覺差很多
[05:26.000 -> 05:28.000] 那你覺得你應該要先看週K還是先看日K
[05:28.000 -> 05:30.000] 那當然取決於你這個
[05:30.000 -> 05:32.000] 交易的週期嘛
[05:32.000 -> 05:34.000] 可是基本上
[05:34.000 -> 05:36.000] 你比較大一點的週期方向如果是對的話
[05:36.000 -> 05:38.000] 其實
[05:38.000 -> 05:40.000] 你小週期上面應該是要
[05:40.000 -> 05:42.000] 遵循大週期的方向去做
[05:42.000 -> 05:44.000] 相應的
[05:44.000 -> 05:46.920] 佈局我覺得這樣的勝率會比較高
[05:47.160 -> 05:50.240] 所以如果你是看日線的話那你可能就要到
[05:50.760 -> 05:52.280] 拉到更短的
[05:52.800 -> 05:53.820] 週期
[05:54.080 -> 05:55.360] 去操作這樣子
[05:56.120 -> 06:00.740] 但是這其實裡面有一個我個人覺得啦我個人覺得有一個蠻大的問題
[06:01.500 -> 06:06.140] 我們隨便舉個例子你把它拉到比如說15分30分可以60分可以好了
[06:06.400 -> 06:07.160] 60分可以
[06:07.680 -> 06:11.260] 因為你日線看你會覺得他是空的嗎對不對所以你很
[06:12.280 -> 06:15.620] 很正常的你會想要反彈找空間這完全可以理解
[06:15.860 -> 06:17.140] 可是如果你遇到了
[06:17.400 -> 06:20.980] 這幾天這一週的進一週的這種盤勢你怎麼辦
[06:21.500 -> 06:22.260] 你可能
[06:22.780 -> 06:24.580] 他談到比如說20均
[06:24.820 -> 06:25.880] 你會想要加空比如說季線會到比如說20均你會想要加空
[06:26.140 -> 06:27.940] 比如說季線會想要加空
[06:28.180 -> 06:29.220] 半年線會想要加空
[06:29.460 -> 06:30.740] 那你遇到這種情況怎麼辦
[06:31.260 -> 06:34.080] 你就變得很難處理嗎因為你前面一直以來你這樣做
[06:34.340 -> 06:36.380] 幾乎大部分都可以賺
[06:36.640 -> 06:39.200] 可能賺多賺少偶爾可能小賠一點
[06:39.460 -> 06:42.520] 但是你遇到現在這個情況怎麼辦你前面全部賠掉
[06:42.780 -> 06:45.120] 前面賺的全部吐掉了那吐掉以外呢
[06:45.120 -> 06:47.160] 你現在又必須要面臨一個問題
[06:47.160 -> 06:50.240] 你該不該堅持下去你原本的
[06:50.240 -> 06:52.540] 的想法原本的操作
[06:52.540 -> 06:55.100] 就是反彈爪空點這件事情
[06:55.100 -> 06:56.640] 你現在就會變得很煎熬嘛
[06:56.640 -> 06:59.720] 因為他現在已經談到
[06:59.720 -> 07:00.740] 半年線了
[07:00.740 -> 07:01.240] 對不對
[07:01.240 -> 07:03.040] 那你如果一路加上來的話
[07:03.040 -> 07:04.840] 你現在的艙位應該也不小了
[07:04.840 -> 07:05.000] 然後他現在看起來又在這邊整理那怎麼辦到底應該堅持下去呢那你如果一路加上來的話你現在的艙位應該也不小了
[07:05.000 -> 07:07.000] 然後他現在看起來又在這邊整理
[07:07.000 -> 07:10.000] 那怎麼辦?到底應該堅持下去呢?
[07:10.000 -> 07:12.000] 還是就算了
[07:12.000 -> 07:13.000] 然後停損
[07:13.000 -> 07:16.000] 可是停損又會不甘心
[07:16.000 -> 07:20.000] 畢竟你已經這樣子加上來了
[07:20.000 -> 07:23.000] 所以我個人以前也是經歷過這件事情之後
[07:23.000 -> 07:24.000] 我才發現了
[07:24.000 -> 07:27.280] 就是這樣子的整理盤其實很不值得做
[07:27.280 -> 07:29.440] 雖然它可能持續的時間不短
[07:29.440 -> 07:30.960] 比如說幾個月都有可能
[07:30.960 -> 07:33.040] 甚至有遇過那種十個月的
[07:33.040 -> 07:34.240] 接近快一年的
[07:34.240 -> 07:35.360] 那接近
[07:35.360 -> 07:37.240] 比如說像以十個月來講的好了
[07:37.240 -> 07:39.640] 那種你十個月其實沒什麼獲利
[07:39.640 -> 07:42.200] 然後上上下下都在那裡
[07:42.200 -> 07:44.320] 你會覺得自己好像在不知道在幹嘛
[07:44.320 -> 07:46.000] 好像有點做白工的感覺
[07:46.000 -> 07:48.000] 可是你想想看
[07:48.000 -> 07:50.000] 就你為了不要讓自己
[07:50.000 -> 07:52.000] 平時看起來好像沒有賺到錢
[07:52.000 -> 07:54.000] 然後硬是去操作
[07:54.000 -> 07:56.000] 那到頭來如果
[07:56.000 -> 07:58.000] 發生了類似現在這樣子的情況
[07:58.000 -> 08:00.000] 你再回頭去想
[08:00.000 -> 08:02.000] 你真的覺得就是
[08:02.000 -> 08:04.000] 當初這個決定是好的嗎
[08:04.000 -> 08:06.880] 我不是想要幫各位下結論說那樣一定不好
[08:06.880 -> 08:08.880] 但是我覺得你可以自己去想想看
[08:08.880 -> 08:11.880] 哪一個會是比較理想的方式
[08:11.880 -> 08:14.880] 因為這其實就是我們之前講的這個
[08:14.880 -> 08:17.880] 淺談曲線操作的那一篇的內容
[08:17.880 -> 08:20.380] 那我為什麼現在又要拿出來再講一次呢?
[08:20.380 -> 08:22.880] 因為其實這件事情沒有發生之前
[08:22.880 -> 08:24.880] 你看文章其實不會有太大的感覺
[08:24.880 -> 08:27.800] 坦白講真的是這樣子啦就像我以前看到別生之前你看文章其實不會有太大的感覺坦白講真的是這樣子啦
[08:27.800 -> 08:29.800] 就像我以前看到別人寫文章
[08:29.800 -> 08:30.800] 我可能不會有那麼大的共鳴
[08:30.800 -> 08:32.800] 但是當它發生之後呢
[08:32.800 -> 08:33.800] 你才會想到說
[08:33.800 -> 08:38.800] 啊 當初確實應該要多思考這個部分的內容
[08:38.800 -> 08:41.800] 所以我覺得你現在可以回過頭來想
[08:41.800 -> 08:43.800] 這一段時間以來
[08:43.800 -> 08:46.100] 你的操作的重點
[08:46.100 -> 08:48.100] 你的核心是放在什麼地方
[08:48.100 -> 08:52.860] 那這個東西是不是有值得需要調整的部分
[08:52.860 -> 08:56.340] 因為整理的盤是實在太常見了
[08:56.340 -> 08:59.300] 所以你未來你一定會頻繁的遇到這件事情
[08:59.300 -> 09:02.860] 你今天這個問題
[09:02.860 -> 09:05.120] 這個狀況你沒有處理好
[09:05.120 -> 09:06.140] 你沒有解決好
[09:06.140 -> 09:08.700] 你下一次再遇到的時候你又會犯一樣的錯
[09:08.700 -> 09:11.220] 你要嘛就是走到底嘛
[09:11.220 -> 09:12.800] 就是區間盤你要做當然OK啊
[09:12.800 -> 09:16.640] 那你就是好好研究區間盤應該要注意哪些部分
[09:16.640 -> 09:17.420] 對不對
[09:17.420 -> 09:19.960] 你把你的能力值點在那裡
[09:19.960 -> 09:21.260] 我覺得那當然沒有問題啊
[09:21.260 -> 09:23.820] 但是如果你一開始能力值就不是點在那裡
[09:23.820 -> 09:26.140] 然後你只是想說
[09:26.400 -> 09:28.960] 看起來賺錢很容易我就反彈空反彈空
[09:29.220 -> 09:31.520] 然後逢低買逢低買很容易
[09:31.780 -> 09:34.080] 真的有這麼容易嗎沒有因為大家原本都以為
[09:34.340 -> 09:35.360] 低點是16200
[09:35.880 -> 09:37.920] 殊不知他跌到15900多
[09:38.180 -> 09:38.680] 對不對
[09:38.940 -> 09:41.240] 那你當初跌到16200開始買的時候
[09:42.020 -> 09:42.520] 怎麼辦
[09:42.780 -> 09:43.560] 繼續往下跌
[09:43.800 -> 09:45.380] 你一定會覺得說啊他這個
[09:45.880 -> 09:46.660] 突破了
[09:46.920 -> 09:48.960] 現在開始往下跌了多端可能就平掉
[09:49.220 -> 09:54.080] 然後反而開始追空對不對因為他已經跌破了16000嘛中間一度跌破16000了嘛
[09:54.600 -> 09:57.920] 那你下去追空結果呢剛剛好砍在最底點空在最底點
[09:58.440 -> 09:59.460] 然後又一路的
[10:00.220 -> 10:02.520] 可能加上上來那當然是最慘的結局
[10:03.560 -> 10:05.260] 所以我我我個人覺得啦
[10:05.260 -> 10:07.440] 就是當初寫的那幾篇文章可能真的
[10:07.440 -> 10:09.440] 很多人看的當下是沒有感覺的
[10:09.440 -> 10:11.240] 也其實不是很懂我在講什麼
[10:11.240 -> 10:12.740] 但是你現在回頭去看
[10:12.740 -> 10:15.740] 你是不是可以明白 可以理解我當初講的
[10:15.860 -> 10:17.700] 的用意是什麼了
[10:17.700 -> 10:20.200] 我現在不是要講說我是先知或什麼
[10:20.200 -> 10:21.800] 我也有看錯的時候
[10:21.800 -> 10:23.200] 但是我只是分享說
[10:23.200 -> 10:25.500] 我以前遇到這樣子的情況的時候
[10:25.500 -> 10:27.300] 我選擇那樣子的做法
[10:27.300 -> 10:29.100] 後來我才發現到那樣子的做法
[10:29.100 -> 10:32.000] 其實有很大的瑕疵在裡面
[10:32.000 -> 10:33.900] 所以我後來做了什麼樣的調整
[10:33.900 -> 10:35.600] 我跟大家分享這件事情
[10:35.600 -> 10:37.900] 是希望你們可以少走一點
[10:37.900 -> 10:39.700] 我當初走的那些
[10:39.700 -> 10:42.200] 我現在回頭去看會覺得
[10:42.200 -> 10:43.600] 有點冤枉啦
[10:43.600 -> 10:45.400] 就是有點冤枉這樣
[10:45.400 -> 10:47.800] 所以在聽完今天這集Podcast的時候
[10:47.800 -> 10:52.200] 我希望你可以好好的去回顧這三個多月以來
[10:52.200 -> 10:57.000] 你的操作重點側重在哪一個部分
[10:57.000 -> 11:00.600] 那你原本那樣操作的方式
[11:00.600 -> 11:03.100] 放在這樣的整理盤真的值得嗎
[11:03.100 -> 11:07.880] 或是再來一次你還會願意這樣子操作
[11:07.880 -> 11:11.960] 這樣子的中期整理的格局的盤勢嗎
[11:11.960 -> 11:13.160] 我覺得這個蠻重要的
[11:13.160 -> 11:14.520] 因為之後還要
[11:14.520 -> 11:15.360] 我個人認為啦
[11:15.360 -> 11:18.200] 之後過一段時間還會再遇到一次
[11:18.200 -> 11:21.160] 而且可能不會沒有到大家想像的那麼久
[11:21.160 -> 11:24.400] 所以你現在先把這件事情釐清楚
[11:24.400 -> 11:25.440] 你下一次再遇到的時候
[11:25.440 -> 11:26.120] 你就可以
[11:26.760 -> 11:28.600] 很知道自己應該怎麼做
[11:28.600 -> 11:29.880] 應該朝哪個方向去發展
[11:29.880 -> 11:31.200] 那到時候
[11:31.520 -> 11:34.440] 你就會發現你現在在審視的這些問題
[11:34.920 -> 11:36.400] 可以幫助你在後面
[11:36.680 -> 11:37.720] 賺到更多的錢
[11:37.880 -> 11:40.080] 即便就算你現在已經虧損了
[11:40.080 -> 11:40.800] 也沒關係
[11:40.800 -> 11:41.640] 我覺得不是重點
[11:41.960 -> 11:42.800] 重點是你要把
[11:43.120 -> 11:44.920] 你遇到的這些問題釐清楚
[11:45.620 -> 11:46.140] 然後今天最後還是稍微講一下對也沒關係我覺得不是重點重點是你要把你遇到這些問題釐清楚然後
[11:46.400 -> 11:49.460] 今天最後呢還是稍微講一下對
[11:49.980 -> 11:52.020] 後市盤勢的一些看法
[11:52.280 -> 11:54.580] 有幾個部分就是先前我們有提到
[11:56.380 -> 11:59.700] 長時間的這個低水位空單嗎我們認為
[12:00.220 -> 12:03.540] 他要在這一次的下跌飆上去的機率不高
[12:03.800 -> 12:07.680] 儘管中間他一度有要飆上去的跡象
[12:07.680 -> 12:09.440] 現在看起來是沒有
[12:09.440 -> 12:11.600] 但是同時呢我們也有提過
[12:11.600 -> 12:12.640] 就是
[12:12.640 -> 12:14.000] 如果他沒有上去了
[12:14.000 -> 12:16.080] 然後反而多章開始往上的話
[12:16.080 -> 12:17.680] 反而要注意一些事情
[12:17.680 -> 12:19.680] 什麼事情?就是
[12:19.680 -> 12:24.800] 外資在Sell Code的部位的變化
[12:24.800 -> 12:26.140] 我們從
[12:26.660 -> 12:27.680] 近期的
[12:28.180 -> 12:29.460] 盤後資料可以看到一件事情
[12:29.980 -> 12:30.740] 就是
[12:31.780 -> 12:37.140] 雖然外資在BC的部分在增加但是同時他的SC增加的其實也很明顯
[12:37.660 -> 12:42.260] 那這樣的變化其實跟我們一開始最一開始的預估是非常接近的
[12:43.040 -> 12:44.820] 除了最早的7月多
[12:42.560 -> 12:43.060] 所以一開始的預估是非常接近的
[12:44.860 -> 12:45.120] 除了最早的7月多
[12:47.160 -> 12:48.960] 我們提到的7-9%的回漲然後再到10月中
[12:48.960 -> 12:50.740] 我們也是還是反覆提到
[12:51.000 -> 12:54.840] 可能的最大回漲可能會落在7-9%這件事以外
[12:55.860 -> 12:57.140] 我不知道你還記不記得啦
[12:57.140 -> 12:58.420] 當時我們其實有講到
[12:58.680 -> 13:00.740] 在這個長時間處於
[13:00.980 -> 13:02.020] 低水位的空單呢
[13:02.020 -> 13:03.540] 要在這一次飆上來的機率
[13:03.540 -> 13:04.820] 我真的覺得不高
[13:05.000 -> 13:07.000] 儘管儘管
[13:07.000 -> 13:08.500] 中間一度
[13:08.500 -> 13:10.000] 看起來有差點要破功了
[13:10.000 -> 13:12.000] 就是
[13:12.000 -> 13:13.000] 我看一下日期
[13:13.000 -> 13:15.000] 就是
[13:15.000 -> 13:18.000] 10月底到11月初那段時間
[13:18.000 -> 13:20.000] 他其實有飆到
[13:20.000 -> 13:22.000] 高水位的大概
[13:22.000 -> 13:24.000] 二分之一多一點
[13:24.000 -> 13:27.160] 二分之一多一點但是他最近其實還是下去了
[13:27.420 -> 13:29.720] 那當時其實我們提到一個重點是什麼重點是
[13:30.240 -> 13:33.820] 我們認為比較大幅度的回檔會出現在
[13:34.340 -> 13:35.360] 現在這種情況
[13:35.860 -> 13:37.920] 的之後就是因為現在在
[13:38.940 -> 13:40.220] 盤勢下很兇嗎
[13:40.480 -> 13:44.820] 然後我們也可以從這些盤後資料看到盤後資料的一些明細看到
[13:43.320 -> 13:44.860] 然後我們也可以從這些盤後資料看到盤後資料的一些明細看到
[13:44.860 -> 13:48.440] 在這樣子多端大幅增加的同時呢
[13:48.440 -> 13:50.760] 他的SC其實也增加的很明顯
[13:50.760 -> 13:53.560] 所以很重要的就是
[13:53.560 -> 13:57.920] 不管是幅度跟這個盤後資料
[13:57.920 -> 13:59.720] 這段期間的變化呢
[13:59.720 -> 14:01.760] 其實大方向都在我們的預期內
[14:01.760 -> 14:04.060] 那現在也正在上演這件事情
[14:04.060 -> 14:05.120] 所以照這樣子增加下去的話下一次回檔的幅度就會比較大大方向都在我們的預期內那現在也正在上演這件事情所以
[14:05.380 -> 14:07.040] 照這樣子增加下去的話
[14:07.040 -> 14:08.960] 下一次回檔的幅度就會比較大
[14:08.960 -> 14:10.500] 我個人認為可能是
[14:11.000 -> 14:12.280] 可能會超過15%啦
[14:12.800 -> 14:14.600] 對不過現在離那個還有點遠
[14:14.840 -> 14:16.120] 那這個就是我們
[14:16.380 -> 14:17.160] 之後
[14:17.400 -> 14:18.680] 這一個月
[14:18.680 -> 14:19.960] 未來這半個月一個月
[14:19.960 -> 14:21.500] 如果都如預期的話
[14:21.760 -> 14:24.060] 那這個部分就是要特別注意的一個地方
[14:24.580 -> 14:25.580] 對所以大概是這樣子啦還有一個還有一個就是如果都如預期的話那這個部分就是要特別注意的一個地方對 所以
[14:25.580 -> 14:27.480] 大概是這樣子啦
[14:27.480 -> 14:29.840] 啊 還有一個 還有一個就是
[14:29.840 -> 14:31.640] 因為我們有講到這個蓋空盤嘛
[14:31.640 -> 14:34.240] 那蓋空盤有一個很重要的
[14:34.240 -> 14:35.800] 的一個數據
[14:35.800 -> 14:37.940] 就是散戶的空單的部分
[14:37.940 -> 14:39.140] 那不管是
[14:39.140 -> 14:40.140] 嗯 第
[14:40.140 -> 14:43.040] 我們剛剛講兩到三波的空單的高峰
[14:43.040 -> 14:44.140] 那
[14:44.140 -> 14:45.880] 同期 當期的空單的高峰那同期當期的
[14:46.140 -> 14:50.500] 指數的高點的其實會很接近在當期空單的高峰
[14:51.000 -> 14:53.560] 那今天的空單其實到了5萬8千口
[14:55.100 -> 14:56.380] 過去過去
[14:56.640 -> 14:59.960] 最高最高的天花板大概是6萬2千口
[15:00.480 -> 15:01.240] 所以
[15:02.020 -> 15:03.800] 如果啦假設這兩天
[15:04.060 -> 15:07.680] 基於前面的外資期貨未平倉與結算比創高
[15:07.680 -> 15:11.780] 然後近期短線上如果又創高的話那空檔可能會接近非常接近6萬口
[15:11.780 -> 15:13.060] 甚至有可能超過
[15:13.060 -> 15:17.400] 那可能第一波的結束的這個小回盪可能就要比較注意一點
[15:17.400 -> 15:21.240] 因為看這件情況小回盪也有可能有個300點
[15:21.240 -> 15:22.520] 300點的跌幅
[15:22.520 -> 15:26.000] 如果300點你一個不小心受不了砍掉了
[15:26.000 -> 15:28.000] 結果又砍在另外一個
[15:28.000 -> 15:30.000] 另外一個行情的
[15:30.000 -> 15:32.000] 起漲點就非常可惜嘛
[15:32.000 -> 15:34.000] 對不對 所以
[15:34.000 -> 15:36.000] 這幾個點是目前必須要
[15:36.000 -> 15:38.000] 比較留意的地方
[15:38.000 -> 15:40.000] 對 大概是這樣子啦
[15:40.000 -> 15:42.000] 好啦 今天大概就到這邊 今天講比較久
[15:42.000 -> 15:44.000] 那我們
[15:44.000 -> 15:45.740] 可能週五或週六
[15:45.740 -> 15:47.240] 本段再見囉
[15:47.240 -> None] 大家晚安 掰掰 you

moore 台股大報社231105

[00:04.400 -> 00:06.900] 大家晚安我是沐兒
[00:06.900 -> 00:11.000] 歡迎來到我們本週的時事看市場
[00:11.000 -> 00:13.560] 那本週呢這個台股
[00:13.560 -> 00:16.640] 是走出了一個開低走高的盤面
[00:16.640 -> 00:18.440] 那禮拜一十月底
[00:18.440 -> 00:21.240] 十月底收最低之後
[00:21.240 -> 00:22.520] 11月從一個
[00:22.520 -> 00:26.800] 一度破萬六的一個指數連拉了三天
[00:26.800 -> 00:29.400] 那現在是很快拉到MA60
[00:29.400 -> 00:30.500] 下半的MA60
[00:30.500 -> 00:33.600] 那這邊預期來說應該會有個震盪
[00:33.600 -> 00:36.600] 所以我們就持續的來關注
[00:36.600 -> 00:38.600] 我們來看周線的狀態
[00:38.600 -> 00:41.800] 周線的狀態是一個
[00:41.800 -> 00:46.340] 連續下節之後的紅吞黑
[00:46.340 -> 00:53.260] 所以說整個有可能出現一個比較明顯的多方的吞噬的力道
[00:53.260 -> 00:57.460] 所以或許在這個選前的反彈行情
[00:57.460 -> 01:02.360] 可能是在上禮拜的下半週正式的宣布開始
[01:02.360 -> 01:07.500] 所以說我們這裡可以稍微的再積極的關心一下市場的狀況
[01:07.500 -> 01:11.000] 畢竟假設你看你七八九月都
[01:11.000 -> 01:14.000] 雖然看保守但是沒有死的話
[01:14.000 -> 01:17.000] 那相信這個階段是應該要
[01:17.000 -> 01:19.000] 比較積極的偏多的去做思考
[01:19.000 -> 01:22.500] 那再來月線圖的話
[01:22.500 -> 01:24.500] 還是呈現一個三線糾結
[01:24.500 -> 01:28.900] MA3 MA5跟MA10的一個交錯的糾結
[01:28.900 -> 01:34.760] 那3跟10交叉之後站上的話可能會在5這邊震盪
[01:34.760 -> 01:39.320] 那震盪如果能夠站上去其實就很有機會去挑戰高點
[01:39.320 -> 01:43.520] 那很多人就說這個是如果很多人都頭部了
[01:43.520 -> 01:47.420] 那假設過高大家就會說這是一個複合型的底部
[01:47.680 -> 01:49.980] 但是搞不好大家看成底的時候他就要下來了
[01:50.240 -> 01:50.740] 所以
[01:51.260 -> 01:55.100] 這個就很耐人尋味很耐人尋味
[01:55.360 -> 01:59.720] 那11月的量現在看起來也是不多啦7500
[02:00.220 -> 02:04.820] 這個月很有可能是一個量縮上漲的紅K吧我在想不過前
[02:06.660 -> 02:07.420] 兩個月的量能也不是很夠啦所以其實
[02:07.680 -> 02:09.720] 雷比這個月的量不用太多
[02:09.980 -> 02:13.320] 關注的就是外資在連續的賣超四個月之後
[02:13.560 -> 02:15.880] 這個月買回去的力道大概多大
[02:15.880 -> 02:17.160] 那很多人說
[02:17.160 -> 02:20.220] 其實這就很像是上去年一樣
[02:20.220 -> 02:21.760] 10月之後11月
[02:22.280 -> 02:24.580] 11月12月1月然後做一個強軋
[02:26.000 -> 02:28.000] 所以如果啊你看喔11月這裡外資是買了多少
[02:28.000 -> 02:30.000] 買了
[02:30.000 -> 02:32.000] 幾億啊
[02:32.000 -> 02:34.000] 這樣是多少
[02:34.000 -> 02:36.000] 1868
[02:36.000 -> 02:38.000] 單月1868
[02:38.000 -> 02:40.000] 投信買158
[02:40.000 -> 02:42.000] 不過投信最近一直在買所以參考性比較低
[02:42.000 -> 02:44.000] 看到外資在11月
[02:44.000 -> 02:45.380] 單月買了1868
[02:45.380 -> 02:47.040] 然後12月賣779
[02:47.040 -> 02:49.740] 那總統大選前2000億
[02:49.740 -> 02:53.320] 所以其實或許11月會是一個
[02:53.320 -> 02:56.120] 近期應該說
[02:56.120 -> 02:58.280] 下半年台股可能會
[02:58.280 -> 03:00.420] 漲得出意料的時候
[03:00.420 -> 03:02.020] 因為忍耐很久
[03:02.020 -> 03:03.460] 然後根據歷史經驗
[03:03.460 -> 03:06.000] 11月的每股通常都表現的還不錯
[03:06.000 -> 03:09.000] 通常好像是過往10次的經驗
[03:09.000 -> 03:11.000] 就是有10次是上漲的
[03:11.000 -> 03:13.000] 所以說只要美系外資
[03:13.000 -> 03:15.000] 在美股上漲的時候不砍股票
[03:15.000 -> 03:18.000] 那台股其實就有救了
[03:18.000 -> 03:20.000] 因為其實說真的啦
[03:20.000 -> 03:21.000] 在這邊大賣的時候其實是誰
[03:21.000 -> 03:23.000] 其實很多都是美系外資在殺的
[03:23.000 -> 03:24.000] 那然後怎麼樣
[03:24.000 -> 03:25.840] 關股航空就
[03:26.440 -> 03:28.360] 投信買超嘛500億有沒有
[03:28.760 -> 03:30.240] 636億
[03:30.360 -> 03:31.440] 407所以你看
[03:31.760 -> 03:33.360] 投信這邊買了多少
[03:33.900 -> 03:35.760] 1500億還是擋不住下跌
[03:36.040 -> 03:36.600] 所以
[03:37.200 -> 03:39.160] 錯許投信這一波會作帳
[03:39.160 -> 03:40.700] 11月 maybe 他是逮到
[03:40.700 -> 03:41.500] 只要外資回補
[03:41.500 -> 03:42.840] 那就逮到機會可以作帳
[03:43.140 -> 03:46.400] 你可以期待一下投信的作帳行情
[03:46.400 -> 03:49.140] 這是上市的部分
[03:49.140 -> 03:50.940] 那我們就回到上櫃
[03:50.940 -> 03:52.020] 上櫃來看一下
[03:52.020 -> 03:53.020] 本週的狀態
[03:53.020 -> 03:55.320] 其實我覺得上櫃的底一直守得不錯
[03:55.320 -> 03:56.280] 雖然我們看到
[03:56.280 -> 03:56.720] 你先跌破
[03:56.720 -> 03:57.780] 但是我們前面有講過
[03:57.780 -> 03:58.820] 前低在204
[03:58.820 -> 04:00.920] 所以早就可能Maybe見低一點了
[04:00.920 -> 04:05.000] 所以其實也說真的就是拉回去平台區
[04:05.000 -> 04:09.000] 這個平台區其實說真的就是震盪
[04:09.000 -> 04:11.000] 還在中間的量能區做震盪
[04:11.000 -> 04:13.000] 本來有機會突破前面有壓力
[04:13.000 -> 04:16.000] 震了一下之後現在有機會再次轉強
[04:16.000 -> 04:18.000] 那就看後續的走勢了
[04:18.000 -> 04:21.000] 你可以看到上櫃就比較明顯的
[04:21.000 -> 04:22.000] 這個D在這裡
[04:22.000 -> 04:24.000] 在M1-20 20-15.4
[04:24.000 -> 04:26.240] 目前均線都還是保護狀態櫃買比較明顯的這個D在這裡那在MA10 2015.4那目前均線都還是保護狀態
[04:27.800 -> 04:29.480] 櫃買的比較好的地方就是
[04:30.040 -> 04:32.280] 好像都是MA3下彎吧
[04:32.280 -> 04:35.000] 那MA3站上去之後其實撐住
[04:35.000 -> 04:36.480] 那就有機會去往上做翻揚
[04:36.480 -> 04:37.400] 這是周線格局
[04:37.400 -> 04:38.560] 那周線外資
[04:38.840 -> 04:41.840] 也是單日買超了將近40億
[04:41.840 -> 04:44.280] 所以管他真外資假外資
[04:44.280 -> 04:46.000] 有買超就是好外資
[04:46.000 -> 04:49.000] 投信在上週沒什麼小賣超之後
[04:49.000 -> 04:50.000] 本週持續的買進
[04:50.000 -> 04:53.000] 所以你看投信其實很積極在琢磨
[04:53.000 -> 04:54.000] OTC上櫃的股票
[04:54.000 -> 04:56.000] 所以等一下其實還可以看一下
[04:56.000 -> 04:57.000] 9月到現在啊
[04:57.000 -> 04:59.000] 你看一下有沒有
[04:59.000 -> 05:01.000] 投信買很多股票還沒開始發動
[05:01.000 -> 05:02.000] 甚至10月
[05:02.000 -> 05:05.500] 這種就是比較可能作戰的時候有機會的
[05:05.500 -> 05:07.000] 或者是一些特殊的基金
[05:07.000 -> 05:09.500] 像什麼統一黑馬之類的
[05:09.500 -> 05:10.500] 投信這邊大買
[05:10.500 -> 05:12.500] 那外資終於
[05:12.500 -> 05:13.500] 外資賣賣賣
[05:13.500 -> 05:14.500] 這主要是美債
[05:14.500 -> 05:16.500] 那當然就應該是美債吧
[05:16.500 -> 05:18.500] 所以還有自營商一直賣
[05:18.500 -> 05:20.500] 所以這邊
[05:20.500 -> 05:23.500] 就要觀察的是這個238.92
[05:23.500 -> 05:27.940] 能不能夠其實不要238.224突破上去喔
[05:27.940 -> 05:29.600] 大家開始過前高
[05:29.600 -> 05:32.280] 甚至他在衝擊不穩的時候可能就要稍微謹慎一點
[05:32.280 -> 05:34.080] 所以我們先把這一波
[05:34.080 -> 05:36.180] 當作是大選前的反彈啦
[05:36.180 -> 05:38.940] 因為政經嘛政治因素的變化的話
[05:38.940 -> 05:40.220] 絕對是要去尊重的
[05:40.220 -> 05:41.500] 我們不知道
[05:41.500 -> 05:44.320] 選完會怎樣
[05:44.320 -> 05:47.000] 但是我們知道不管是誰選
[05:47.000 -> 05:48.000] 總統絕對會換
[05:48.000 -> 05:51.000] 因為小英連兩屆不可能再連任了
[05:51.000 -> 05:52.000] 所以就算是民進黨的人
[05:52.000 -> 05:53.000] 民進黨也有派系
[05:53.000 -> 05:55.000] 那派系就會有資金
[05:55.000 -> 05:57.000] 那就有經濟的問題
[05:57.000 -> 05:59.000] 所以錢跟政治分不開
[05:59.000 -> 06:02.000] 所以說其實拉上去我覺得還是
[06:02.000 -> 06:04.000] 做個調節會比較好一點
[06:04.000 -> 06:06.400] 如果這一波反彈的話
[06:06.400 -> 06:09.680] 那微影現階段好像整理的不錯
[06:09.680 -> 06:11.440] 快要站上大量群
[06:11.440 -> 06:13.040] 那整理了一大段時間了
[06:13.040 -> 06:16.080] 所以2000塊之後
[06:16.080 -> 06:18.080] 看有沒有機會繼續的去做發動
[06:18.080 -> 06:19.680] 聽說是伺服器的真貨
[06:19.680 -> 06:20.480] 我們等一下來看一下
[06:20.480 -> 06:22.000] 好
[06:22.000 -> 06:25.500] 那我們就接著來看股票好了
[06:25.500 -> 06:27.500] 普通股付盤的話
[06:27.500 -> 06:31.000] 我看一下近期換手率比較高的股票
[06:31.000 -> 06:34.000] 這個是之前群組有人在問的威盛
[06:34.000 -> 06:36.000] 說我沒什麼想法
[06:36.000 -> 06:38.000] 因為他就講AI
[06:38.000 -> 06:42.000] 所以其實這就變成說是守住均線就有機會
[06:42.000 -> 06:45.000] 現在再次出量攻擊
[06:45.000 -> 06:46.960] 所以這個就
[06:46.960 -> 06:49.040] 你撐得過去就恭喜
[06:49.040 -> 06:50.540] 他撐不過去就
[06:50.540 -> 06:51.240] 就是要追
[06:51.240 -> 06:52.300] 就有些時候就這樣
[06:52.300 -> 06:53.880] 你殺掉了你要去追
[06:53.880 -> 06:56.140] 不過前面看起來
[06:56.140 -> 06:58.080] 如果說有沒有什麼
[06:58.080 -> 07:01.480] 你說這邊確實是一個
[07:01.480 -> 07:04.180] 可能站穩軍線攻擊的態勢
[07:04.180 -> 07:06.000] 那這邊馬上被倒下來
[07:06.000 -> 07:10.000] 所以如果你是一個追漲的交易者來說
[07:10.000 -> 07:12.000] 這裡maybe會追喔
[07:12.000 -> 07:13.000] 但是怎麼樣
[07:13.000 -> 07:15.000] 這天還沒收完可以就出了
[07:15.000 -> 07:17.000] 以一個交易者的角度來說
[07:17.000 -> 07:20.000] 所以如果你是波段操作
[07:20.000 -> 07:23.000] 那可能買在軍線附近會比較保險
[07:23.000 -> 07:25.560] 軍線附近比如說這邊轉強的時候
[07:25.560 -> 07:28.060] 那當然現在轉強你信不信
[07:28.060 -> 07:32.440] 如果你是追高者其實可能四五就已經追進去了
[07:32.440 -> 07:33.940] 絕對是這樣子
[07:33.940 -> 07:35.440] 但是你就要接受這種摩擦成本
[07:35.440 -> 07:38.140] 追上去打下來搞不好是挺損的
[07:38.140 -> 07:41.820] 有些人損個一次兩次三次就覺得這個好累喔
[07:41.820 -> 07:43.620] 不想做了所以就抱著
[07:43.620 -> 07:45.900] 所以這個就是交易型態的問題
[07:45.900 -> 07:47.000] 愛普創新高
[07:47.000 -> 07:49.900] 這是那個記憶體的公司是不是
[07:49.900 -> 07:50.400] 記憶體IP
[07:50.400 -> 07:51.900] 我記得他是做那個什麼
[07:51.900 -> 07:53.000] 也是做
[07:53.000 -> 07:56.100] 嗯忘記他叫什麼了
[07:56.100 -> 07:57.600] 跟那個
[07:57.600 -> 07:58.900] 跟那個哪裡
[07:58.900 -> 08:00.600] 記憶體的那個什麼
[08:00.600 -> 08:04.200] 我忘記了
[08:04.200 -> 08:04.800] 看一下
[08:04.800 -> 08:06.000] 記憶體的IC啦
[08:06.000 -> 08:08.000] DRAM的IC啦
[08:08.000 -> 08:10.000] 麗晶集團 太久沒看了
[08:10.000 -> 08:12.000] 然後創新高了
[08:12.000 -> 08:14.000] 所以代表愛普其實之前
[08:14.000 -> 08:16.000] 好像有講到啦 有人偷了500塊怎麼辦
[08:16.000 -> 08:18.000] 好像我會覺得需要時間
[08:18.000 -> 08:20.000] 但是有機會解套
[08:20.000 -> 08:22.000] 那現在創高代表這個產業
[08:22.000 -> 08:24.000] 是有搞頭的喔
[08:24.000 -> 08:26.000] 潛艇爆量之後的往上拉
[08:26.000 -> 08:28.000] 那這邊還在均線以上很強的
[08:28.000 -> 08:32.000] 增加電子也創下了一個波段將近是500塊的新高
[08:32.000 -> 08:35.000] 那小道消息是說什麼
[08:35.000 -> 08:38.000] 小微星電子的復甦對他來說是加分的
[08:38.000 -> 08:40.000] 那現在往上衝了
[08:40.000 -> 08:42.000] 以前曾經打到過一兩百塊吧
[08:42.000 -> 08:43.000] 就是一百多
[08:43.000 -> 08:45.180] 那現在慢慢的復甦回去
[08:45.180 -> 08:47.340] 有沒有機會再創一個巔峰
[08:47.340 -> 08:48.820] 我們就持續觀察
[08:48.820 -> 08:49.860] 這些手機
[08:49.860 -> 08:51.460] 白牌手機跟中國大陸市場
[08:51.460 -> 08:53.620] 對他來說是個比較大的主戰場
[08:53.620 -> 08:55.420] 母公司細創
[08:55.420 -> 08:58.380] 柯橋拉了第一段之後再做整理
[08:58.380 -> 09:00.180] 市場聽說是有人要做第二段
[09:00.180 -> 09:01.340] 不過
[09:01.340 -> 09:03.180] 我會覺得短期拉太多了啦
[09:03.180 -> 09:07.500] 你看八月拉到九月就拉了60塊
[09:07.500 -> 09:10.300] 那當然要做沒關係就是停損要設好
[09:10.300 -> 09:12.500] 就像你看秦城這邊也是一樣
[09:12.500 -> 09:14.500] 確實他可以拉上去然後呢
[09:14.500 -> 09:16.000] 他可以震很久
[09:16.000 -> 09:17.500] 因為現在柯橋跟秦城很像
[09:17.500 -> 09:20.000] 現在市場很多人說要做到100 120
[09:20.000 -> 09:23.000] 那好那你萬一再震個2個月3個月怎麼辦
[09:23.000 -> 09:26.600] 像這邊秦城那時候也是很多人說要三百四百
[09:26.600 -> 09:28.080] 然後再晚兩個月
[09:28.080 -> 09:29.340] 再晚兩個月給你看
[09:29.340 -> 09:32.120] 所以就是市場有人喊歸有人喊
[09:32.120 -> 09:34.280] 自己的操作還是要去關注一下
[09:34.280 -> 09:36.380] 那我們就講中沙的太山金園
[09:36.380 -> 09:38.360] 好像那個鑽石碟
[09:38.360 -> 09:40.260] 台積電如果鑽石碟供應給他的話
[09:40.260 -> 09:42.020] 會有一個不錯的獲利
[09:42.020 -> 09:43.520] 那現在中沙創新高
[09:43.520 -> 09:45.660] 量縮創新高沒有再爆量了
[09:45.660 -> 09:47.460] 所以這是一個很
[09:47.460 -> 09:48.860] 我覺得算是一個蠻穩的攻擊
[09:48.860 -> 09:50.620] 那他好像跟生涯伴有拉開
[09:50.620 -> 09:51.700] 因為他的
[09:51.700 -> 09:54.820] 因為他的那個再生確實他是拿到台積電的單子
[09:54.820 -> 09:56.460] 所以8028的生涯伴就被他
[09:56.460 -> 10:00.340] 就是企業的這個差距就拉開了
[10:00.340 -> 10:02.020] 好ok
[10:02.020 -> 10:04.140] 好智原這次也是市場呼聲很高
[10:04.140 -> 10:05.960] 含500 600的很大的人在那裡
[10:05.960 -> 10:07.760] 看第一段拉完之後整理了多少
[10:07.760 -> 10:09.160] 一個月兩個月三個月
[10:09.160 -> 10:10.120] 快四個月了
[10:10.120 -> 10:11.720] 這個就跟剛剛那個
[10:11.720 -> 10:14.080] 我們剛剛講科橋一樣的意思
[10:14.080 -> 10:16.520] 拉上來市場很多人開始喊80 100
[10:16.520 -> 10:18.680] 120 150 200都有可能
[10:18.680 -> 10:19.440] 萬一他整理
[10:19.440 -> 10:20.920] 但是他會不會整理很久
[10:20.920 -> 10:21.840] 或是會不會破線
[10:21.840 -> 10:23.160] 這是你要去考慮的地方
[10:23.160 -> 10:24.160] 萬潤這也是一樣
[10:24.160 -> 10:26.000] 其實你可以發現現在比較強的股票
[10:26.000 -> 10:27.520] 是換手率比較高的股票
[10:27.520 -> 10:29.520] 都是在前面上半年
[10:29.520 -> 10:30.600] 甚至下半年剛開始的時候
[10:30.600 -> 10:31.160] 大拉一段
[10:31.160 -> 10:32.200] 而且拉個一倍到兩倍
[10:32.200 -> 10:32.760] 然後怎麼樣
[10:32.760 -> 10:33.400] 鬼混很久
[10:33.400 -> 10:34.720] 現在才開始轉強
[10:34.720 -> 10:35.600] 泰茂
[10:35.600 -> 10:37.520] 這支我們年初的時候有做到
[10:37.520 -> 10:39.120] 但是現在不堪回收
[10:39.120 -> 10:41.440] 年初的時候二十幾塊起漲
[10:41.440 -> 10:43.280] 現在141塊了
[10:43.280 -> 10:46.560] 那最兇的就是他的�茂寺公司債
[10:46.560 -> 10:49.080] 121.5開盤變成518
[10:49.080 -> 10:50.640] 這個好像沒有CBS拆
[10:50.640 -> 10:52.480] 但是如果你有機會拆到的話
[10:52.480 -> 10:53.320] 有機會拆到的話
[10:53.320 -> 10:54.440] 第六天我們看一下
[10:57.760 -> 10:58.960] 第六天140
[10:58.960 -> 11:00.720] 這個其實不太可能有人拆
[11:00.720 -> 11:03.040] 這應該就是大戶自己拆的
[11:03.040 -> 11:04.640] 拆了後來這樣大概5萬吧
[11:04.640 -> 11:05.000] 那現在是幾倍50萬大概9倍應該可能有人猜啦這應該就是大戶自己猜的猜的話這樣大概5萬吧
[11:05.000 -> 11:07.000] 那現在是幾倍
[11:07.000 -> 11:08.000] 50萬
[11:08.000 -> 11:10.000] 大概9倍啦其實
[11:10.000 -> 11:11.000] 55萬
[11:11.000 -> 11:12.000] 其實還好啦
[11:12.000 -> 11:13.000] 還好10倍左右
[11:13.000 -> 11:15.000] 可能是其實跟一些買的夠低的
[11:15.000 -> 11:17.000] 像之前那個雲品也是可以拉到10倍
[11:17.000 -> 11:18.000] 所以不一定
[11:18.000 -> 11:21.000] 那世芯KY這個ASIC的IP
[11:21.000 -> 11:23.000] 已經也是首款創新高
[11:23.000 -> 11:24.000] 所以世芯要注意那
[11:24.000 -> 11:26.980] 微影也要注意這都是兩個大龍頭在帶
[11:26.980 -> 11:29.040] 所以高價股如果能往上帶的話
[11:29.040 -> 11:31.380] 對這個股市是有幫助的
[11:31.380 -> 11:33.440] 那達芳
[11:33.440 -> 11:35.520] NV鍵盤廠的大長
[11:35.520 -> 11:36.720] 那我想要柯佳
[11:36.720 -> 11:39.420] 不過沒關係就先看看
[11:39.420 -> 11:40.580] 上泉這個也是
[11:40.580 -> 11:44.060] 市場這個CPU很多人已經喊到
[11:44.060 -> 11:45.680] 喊他到100 150去了
[11:45.680 -> 11:46.200] 然後怎麼樣
[11:46.200 -> 11:47.560] 欸震震震震大
[11:47.560 -> 11:48.480] 所以看耐不耐得住
[11:48.480 -> 11:49.960] 我家材料很多人喊2000
[11:49.960 -> 11:50.920] 還開始震下來
[11:51.400 -> 11:53.440] 震下來的時候怎麼去處理
[11:53.440 -> 11:56.880] 這才是我想是需要去面對的啦
[11:56.880 -> 12:00.480] 不然每一個都這麼好就好了
[12:00.480 -> 12:00.760] 對不對
[12:00.760 -> 12:03.600] 我們也希望主力含物標價趕快
[12:03.600 -> 12:05.360] 那個兩天三天就趕快到
[12:05.880 -> 12:07.080] 不過比較沒有辦法
[12:07.080 -> 12:08.440] 比較難盡如人意
[12:08.440 -> 12:10.240] 我們把投信等一下把它加進去
[12:10.240 -> 12:12.160] 我們等一下看一下投信的資料
[12:13.160 -> 12:14.680] 我們簡單看一下幾檔
[12:15.320 -> 12:16.760] 那像這個旺旺寶
[12:16.760 -> 12:18.040] 這可能是獲利回沖
[12:18.040 -> 12:19.760] 所以我覺得那三商店值得留意
[12:19.760 -> 12:21.680] 你看一開始也是拉了三倍之後
[12:21.680 -> 12:22.920] 震盪震盪震盪
[12:23.160 -> 12:24.520] 現在再次佔上所有均衡
[12:24.520 -> 12:25.440] 所以這種股票其實
[12:25.440 -> 12:28.200] 低價的通訊金融通訊股
[12:28.200 -> 12:29.680] 這個其實是可以留意的
[12:29.680 -> 12:30.680] 我覺得可以留意
[12:30.680 -> 12:33.480] 這個以前的歷史高點還沒過
[12:33.480 -> 12:35.360] 還有一個歷史定位的問題
[12:35.360 -> 12:35.880] 對不對
[12:35.880 -> 12:39.000] 好那我們就接著給他繼續看下去
[12:39.000 -> 12:41.200] 柯家還是鍵盤
[12:41.200 -> 12:45.440] 威剛在這邊爆量創高之後有破線
[12:45.440 -> 12:47.440] 那再次站上所有軍線
[12:47.440 -> 12:49.440] 所以盡量買在這個軍線附近
[12:49.440 -> 12:51.440] 不要買在過高追高的時候
[12:51.440 -> 12:53.440] 記憶體族群沒什麼
[12:53.440 -> 12:57.440] 我覺得明年應該是市場可期
[12:57.440 -> 12:59.440] 技嘉業績很好
[12:59.440 -> 13:01.440] 但是也跌到快200塊
[13:01.440 -> 13:03.440] 所以第一段沒拉到
[13:03.440 -> 13:05.780] 其實你要關注的是第二段的整理轉強
[13:05.780 -> 13:07.140] 整理完的轉強
[13:07.140 -> 13:08.380] 什麼叫整理完轉強
[13:08.380 -> 13:09.980] 站上所有軍艦是一個標配
[13:09.980 -> 13:11.980] 然後量能如果能慢慢往上增
[13:11.980 -> 13:13.480] 然後站上去更好
[13:13.480 -> 13:14.180] 他是怎麼樣
[13:14.180 -> 13:15.320] 欸出量出量出量
[13:15.320 -> 13:16.420] 然後一直破線
[13:16.420 -> 13:17.360] 所以至少等到破線
[13:17.360 -> 13:18.460] 像你看聲達克
[13:18.460 -> 13:19.660] 這個就在線上附近
[13:19.660 -> 13:21.560] 所以聲達克其實你說現在
[13:21.560 -> 13:24.000] 假設現在要買比較有機會漲的
[13:24.000 -> 13:24.960] 聲達克跟技嘉比
[13:24.960 -> 13:26.320] 我覺得反而聲達克有機會漲的聖塔克跟技嘉比我覺得反而聖塔克有機會
[13:26.320 -> 13:28.640] 你看這邊亮能開始出來了
[13:28.640 -> 13:32.240] 所以一樣是下跌開高走低的黑K棒
[13:32.240 -> 13:34.240] 聖塔克反而比較有機會
[13:34.240 -> 13:36.160] 華星光市場很多人在壓爆他
[13:36.160 -> 13:38.400] 都喊到300去了
[13:38.400 -> 13:40.720] 所以這個就是市場開始好的時候
[13:40.720 -> 13:43.120] 就很多的目標價會出現
[13:43.120 -> 13:45.760] 那秦邦這個股票其實也不錯
[13:45.760 -> 13:47.920] 他的那個這個叫什麼
[13:49.280 -> 13:51.200] 他也算是他比較算定存股了
[13:51.200 -> 13:52.640] 他比較算定存股
[13:52.640 -> 13:55.120] 然後是那個營造股
[13:55.120 -> 13:56.040] 營造
[13:56.040 -> 14:01.680] 所以說攻城入藏的時候會比較有一個利多出現
[14:03.040 -> 14:05.760] 華通爆量之後的壓回
[14:05.760 -> 14:07.760] 一直都站在所有均線之上
[14:07.760 -> 14:09.760] 所以代表什麼他其實沒有爛到哪裡去
[14:09.760 -> 14:11.760] 爆量在這裡
[14:11.760 -> 14:13.760] 量價應該不會同時到底
[14:13.760 -> 14:15.760] 拉回去震盪慢慢做出一個底型
[14:15.760 -> 14:17.760] 所以其實你看到這邊
[14:17.760 -> 14:19.760] 所以其實滑通我覺得是
[14:19.760 -> 14:21.760] 蠻可以留意的
[14:21.760 -> 14:23.760] 這樣子
[14:23.760 -> 14:26.000] 這可以留意的對這樣子
[14:26.000 -> 14:28.000] 這可以留意一下
[14:28.000 -> 14:30.000] 把它關掉
[14:30.000 -> 14:32.000] 好那我們繼續看
[14:32.000 -> 14:34.000] 永生這個也是
[14:34.000 -> 14:36.000] 這個可能剛開始而已喔
[14:36.000 -> 14:38.000] 連接線我不知道他幹嘛的
[14:38.000 -> 14:40.000] 不過他的型態做得很
[14:40.000 -> 14:42.000] 很不錯喔
[14:42.000 -> 14:44.000] 只能說很不錯
[14:44.000 -> 14:45.440] 但是小股啦我不知道什麼時候發動也不知道要等多久
[14:45.440 -> 14:47.440] 然後像這種股票啊
[14:47.440 -> 14:49.920] 如果要做的話要注意它的什麼
[14:49.920 -> 14:51.480] 注意它的量能吧
[14:51.480 -> 14:52.020] 股本吧
[14:52.020 -> 14:53.680] 7億還好沒有太小
[14:53.680 -> 14:55.020] 創威就很小3億
[14:55.020 -> 14:57.860] 所以那時候我才沒有做創威
[14:57.860 -> 14:59.020] 然後結果欸抱歉
[14:59.020 -> 15:00.160] 結果還是到60
[15:00.160 -> 15:01.720] 22到60
[15:01.720 -> 15:03.360] 甚至我覺得還沒走完
[15:03.360 -> 15:06.000] 所以網通族群
[15:06.000 -> 15:08.000] 應該是有明日之星存在的
[15:08.000 -> 15:10.000] 像這個東浦美麗要灌單了
[15:10.000 -> 15:12.000] 這個聽了一年了
[15:12.000 -> 15:14.000] 希望成真
[15:14.000 -> 15:16.000] 唯影
[15:16.000 -> 15:18.000] 這條線我之前有畫
[15:18.000 -> 15:20.000] 所以如果站上這關鍵價格
[15:20.000 -> 15:22.000] 應該就
[15:22.000 -> 15:24.000] 就會很有意思了
[15:26.900 -> 15:28.180] 家燈也不錯
[15:28.180 -> 15:29.380] 家燈這個也不錯
[15:29.380 -> 15:32.660] 那UV光照盒好像是消耗品
[15:32.660 -> 15:35.220] 好像據說台積電那個好像快到了
[15:35.220 -> 15:36.820] 快要該換了
[15:36.820 -> 15:39.500] 所以其實36804的家燈4
[15:39.500 -> 15:40.740] 慢慢的創高
[15:40.740 -> 15:44.740] 這也是可以去留意的一個標的
[15:44.740 -> 15:45.880] 新的車爆大量爆大量之後軍線站穩的話慢慢的創高這也是可以去留意的一個標的
[15:45.880 -> 15:47.440] 新的顆爆大量
[15:47.440 -> 15:48.960] 爆大量之後均線站穩的話
[15:48.960 -> 15:50.760] 其實就可能是換手
[15:50.760 -> 15:53.820] 尾創比較弱我們就跳過
[15:53.820 -> 15:54.920] 大概是這樣
[15:54.920 -> 15:57.160] 那我們不看就是
[15:57.160 -> 15:59.200] 我比較沒有看那個漲跌
[15:59.200 -> 16:00.040] 我就看週轉率
[16:00.040 -> 16:01.800] 代表是上禮拜五
[16:01.800 -> 16:03.800] maybe比較熱門的標的
[16:03.800 -> 16:04.680] 比較熱門的標的
[16:04.680 -> 16:08.240] 那你當然也可以看一週漲幅或是一週的量
[16:08.240 -> 16:10.180] 這都可以去觀察一下
[16:10.180 -> 16:14.740] 一週漲幅最多應該有漲個30%以上吧我記得
[16:14.740 -> 16:18.220] 兩根漲停就21%了嘛對不對
[16:18.220 -> 16:22.080] 20...21%
[16:22.080 -> 16:26.400] 安克
[16:32.540 -> 16:32.800] 那台灣民版這個我就錯過了很可惜我賣在賣的有夠前面
[16:38.940 -> 16:39.200] 賣這邊吧賣這裡而已670塊就賣掉了然後怎麼樣在返北所以你看659
[16:47.160 -> 16:48.960] 931的台灣民版賣這邊我覺得自己好會賣賣170很厲害然後怎麼樣拍謝現在350一張差多少
[16:48.960 -> 16:51.780] 差快20萬不過沒辦法
[16:51.780 -> 16:53.060] 市場就是這樣子
[16:53.060 -> 16:56.380] 學著接受他學接受他
[16:56.380 -> 17:00.480] 十全創高低睿模組場所以我們剛剛講到的是什麼
[17:00.480 -> 17:07.160] 低睿有誰低睿有那個威剛啊有那個品安嘛然後有那個金豪科嘛
[17:07.420 -> 17:12.280] 3061也是第六天你看創高所以3061金豪科
[17:12.540 -> 17:14.080] 這也可以留意然後
[17:14.580 -> 17:19.960] 品安也可以留意品安也要過高群聯也可以留意群聯也畢竟前高附近
[17:20.480 -> 17:21.760] 這都可以去關注
[17:22.520 -> 17:23.800] 好我們來看一些新聞
[17:24.060 -> 17:26.000] 那我們先從新聞開始看
[17:26.000 -> 17:28.000] 那其實剛剛講到
[17:28.000 -> 17:30.000] 森達科VS什麼
[17:30.000 -> 17:32.000] 森達科VS技嘉
[17:32.000 -> 17:34.000] 居然森達科會贏為什麼
[17:34.000 -> 17:36.000] 那可能就是這個蔡總統要加碼400億
[17:36.000 -> 17:38.000] 供低軌衛星
[17:38.000 -> 17:40.000] 所以這個衛星太空族群
[17:40.000 -> 17:42.000] 是可以去留意的
[17:42.000 -> 17:44.000] 那有什麼
[17:44.000 -> 17:46.000] 這些我也覺得很奇怪
[17:46.000 -> 17:50.000] 中華電信 中油 亞航 星寶 優泰科
[17:50.000 -> 17:52.000] 感覺怪怪的 感覺這些都吃不太到
[17:52.000 -> 17:54.000] 所以我想
[17:54.000 -> 17:56.000] 低軌衛星啊
[17:56.000 -> 17:58.000] 跟這個所謂的
[17:58.000 -> 18:00.000] 不過中華電信低軌衛星的話就變成中華電信的供應商
[18:00.000 -> 18:02.000] 所以創威是中華電信的供應商
[18:02.000 -> 18:04.000] 我不知道是不是因為這個關係
[18:04.000 -> 18:06.000] 所以這到時候大家有興趣可以去研究一下
[18:08.000 -> 18:10.000] AI伺服器
[18:10.000 -> 18:12.000] 大擴廠
[18:12.000 -> 18:14.000] 我找一個舊文
[18:14.000 -> 18:16.000] 這不是舊文這是那個
[18:16.000 -> 18:18.000] 廣達尾創微影音樂達
[18:18.000 -> 18:20.000] 那其實比較真貨應該就是微影
[18:20.000 -> 18:22.000] 因為他
[18:22.000 -> 18:24.000] 那個
[18:24.000 -> 18:27.420] 好像他已經有AWS亞馬遜的一些單子好像
[18:27.940 -> 18:29.720] 這是伺服器大廠
[18:29.980 -> 18:30.500] 對不對
[18:30.740 -> 18:33.560] OK那已經有提供一些服務了
[18:34.080 -> 18:37.920] 微影會針對東南亞地區的雲端提供
[18:38.180 -> 18:39.460] 那廣達會積極增
[18:39.700 -> 18:40.220] 所以怎麼樣
[18:40.740 -> 18:41.760] 廣達跟
[18:42.020 -> 18:45.560] 廣達跟這個微影應該是比較偏增貨啦所以說打下來啊廣達跟這個微影應該是比較偏真貨
[18:45.560 -> 18:47.560] 所以說打下來
[18:47.560 -> 18:48.760] 廣達
[18:48.760 -> 18:51.040] 你看廣達跟技嘉比
[18:51.040 -> 18:51.840] 你看喔
[18:51.840 -> 18:53.240] 282打到200
[18:53.240 -> 18:53.800] 我們再看一次
[18:53.800 -> 18:54.760] 237就技嘉
[18:54.760 -> 18:56.600] 374打到22
[18:56.600 -> 19:00.920] 你會不會覺得廣達好像少疊很多
[19:00.920 -> 19:03.360] 或是技嘉疊太多了
[19:03.360 -> 19:04.200] 太弱了
[19:04.200 -> 19:04.520] 對不對
[19:04.520 -> 19:06.000] 所以Maybe廣達比較真貨吧
[19:06.000 -> 19:10.000] 那當然微影就更撐了幾乎沒什麼跌
[19:10.000 -> 19:14.000] 所以我們經過了一段的AI股因為之前籌碼很亂
[19:14.000 -> 19:19.000] 經過一段清洗之後你去把最比較強勢的比較好的篩選出來
[19:19.000 -> 19:23.000] 所以其實我會覺得該出貨的
[19:23.000 -> 19:26.400] 就是他公司該出貨的時候應該就是
[19:26.660 -> 19:29.480] 我們說的是真的出給那個buyer的貨
[19:29.480 -> 19:32.040] 不是出股票主力出給散戶的貨
[19:32.040 -> 19:35.360] 所以應該是這個線型強的會告訴你
[19:35.620 -> 19:38.440] 那ASIC的晶片也會大爆發
[19:38.440 -> 19:39.960] 所以像你看聯電
[19:39.960 -> 19:44.060] 聯電之前去搞了一個系統嘛對不對
[19:44.320 -> 19:47.680] 所以系統可能有影�一樣出關之後的跌停
[19:48.200 -> 19:51.260] 我想也還好啦我也還好啦就再看後續
[19:51.780 -> 19:57.920] 之前電影也是這樣你不覺得他跟電影很像嗎電影之前也是跌停嗎然後還是嗎一直在閃然後一直往上走
[19:58.180 -> 20:02.020] 他再站上去軍線其實又有機會了可能又還沒走完了
[20:02.520 -> 20:03.040] 那
[20:03.800 -> 20:08.000] 連電集團的SIC族群要特別去留意
[20:08.000 -> 20:10.500] 還有那個所謂的IPC制裁的概念
[20:10.500 -> 20:12.580] 畢竟四星都創新高了嘛
[20:12.580 -> 20:15.240] 這AWS出這個
[20:15.240 -> 20:17.240] 亞馬遜提供了一個supply chain
[20:17.240 -> 20:18.380] 那這個到時候
[20:18.380 -> 20:20.580] 反正就anyway
[20:20.580 -> 20:22.080] 就大概看一下
[20:22.080 -> 20:24.980] 所以他能提升訂單的準確度
[20:24.980 -> 20:26.120] 所以說他的重點是什麼
[20:26.120 -> 20:28.840] 就是他能夠優化他的系統
[20:28.840 -> 20:32.520] 基本上他在推動基礎設施的時候
[20:32.520 -> 20:36.240] 其實台灣的供應鏈是能夠受惠的
[20:36.240 -> 20:39.320] 不過這個E-Bank這些我覺得就比較遠一點
[20:39.320 -> 20:40.680] 所以你看他寫的什麼
[20:40.680 -> 20:42.440] 廣達下面的雲達
[20:42.440 -> 20:43.240] 音樂達我不知道有沒有
[20:43.240 -> 20:43.960] 那微影
[20:43.960 -> 20:46.280] 因為音樂達好像業績還沒有出來
[20:46.280 -> 20:47.980] 因為你看我們看
[20:47.980 -> 20:49.680] 我們看線型就告訴你
[20:49.680 -> 20:50.580] 對啊
[20:50.580 -> 20:52.640] 音樂達幾號
[20:52.640 -> 20:54.980] 糟了
[20:54.980 -> 20:58.720] 音樂達
[20:58.720 -> 20:59.820] 2356不好意思
[20:59.820 -> 21:00.820] 音樂達73
[21:00.820 -> 21:02.860] 達到4了就快腰斬
[21:02.860 -> 21:07.440] 那微影相當於在這個5 60塊的位置
[21:07.440 -> 21:09.440] 你看6669
[21:09.440 -> 21:10.880] 21 1700
[21:10.880 -> 21:13.760] 所以大概疊個兩成左右
[21:13.760 -> 21:14.800] 兩成
[21:14.800 -> 21:16.160] 所以你看
[21:16.160 -> 21:17.560] 那疊個兩成大概是50幾
[21:17.560 -> 21:18.200] 差不多這邊嘛
[21:18.200 -> 21:20.120] 所以你看威尹的線型比較強勢太多
[21:20.120 -> 21:22.280] 那當然你也可以說他比較便宜
[21:22.280 -> 21:23.880] 那便宜有便宜的原因嘛
[21:23.880 -> 21:25.240] 貴有貴的道理
[21:25.240 -> 21:26.880] 好那你看再看廣達
[21:26.880 -> 21:29.780] 高點打下來大概三成
[21:29.780 -> 21:31.140] 現在大概三成
[21:31.140 -> 21:32.740] 所以強弱度來判之
[21:32.740 -> 21:35.280] 唯一大於廣達大於那個我們所謂的
[21:35.280 -> 21:38.720] 他如果那個報導沒有評估他是英業大
[21:38.720 -> 21:43.860] 那我覺得英業大可能比較沒有辦法吃到這個
[21:43.860 -> 21:45.380] 全部啦我自己這樣覺得
[21:45.380 -> 21:47.680] 所以我們大概看幾個簡單幾個新聞
[21:47.940 -> 21:51.000] 還有很多新聞像什麼中鋼要回味15年褲長褲
[21:51.780 -> 21:54.340] 中鋼都要褲長褲代表什麼中鋼要長了
[21:54.580 -> 21:55.360] 就是
[21:55.620 -> 21:59.200] 雖然是一個宣示之後但是其實中鋼差不多了
[21:59.460 -> 22:01.240] 中鋼要長其實之前
[22:01.500 -> 22:03.800] 東鋼老闆買很多啊所以他創高
[22:04.060 -> 22:06.540] 東鋼啊風星這些都不錯但是我們要講中鋼要漲其實之前東鋼老闆買很多啊所以他創高東鋼啊風心這些都不錯
[22:06.540 -> 22:06.700] 好
[22:06.720 -> 22:09.360] 那但是我們要講中鋼要漲的意思就是代表
[22:09.360 -> 22:09.980] 哎
[22:09.980 -> 22:13.940] 那會不會是甚至是連那個鐵礦砂什麼的也不會太差了
[22:13.940 -> 22:16.180] 當然雖然最近的BDI比較弱
[22:16.180 -> 22:19.180] 前幾天有一個朋友問我嘛
[22:19.180 -> 22:19.420] 對不對
[22:19.420 -> 22:20.940] 我們在群組他問我BDI
[22:20.940 -> 22:23.060] 就是他說現在散裝怎麼看
[22:23.060 -> 22:23.740] 然後我在忙
[22:23.760 -> 22:25.160] 我說你有看我說跟著有在忙我說你有看
[22:25.160 -> 22:26.760] 我說跟著BDI走
[22:26.760 -> 22:27.640] 我說你有看報價
[22:27.640 -> 22:28.120] 他說沒有
[22:28.120 -> 22:29.680] 我說呃那
[22:29.680 -> 22:31.000] 那可能看一下報價
[22:31.000 -> 22:32.720] 所以就看一下報價吧
[22:32.720 -> 22:35.920] 那報價是往上拉之後急速的打下來
[22:35.920 -> 22:39.200] 所以說這一塊的話
[22:39.200 -> 22:41.520] 嗯那一筆是一個
[22:43.760 -> 22:44.240] 怎麼講
[22:45.560 -> 22:46.920] 不見得是壞事
[22:46.920 -> 22:50.120] 如果說中鋼護船執行完
[22:50.120 -> 22:53.480] 然後配合上萬一中國真的不小心復蘇
[22:53.480 -> 22:55.720] 那他搭上列車的話
[22:55.720 -> 22:59.320] 或許或許對VDI也是一個正面的注意
[22:59.320 -> 23:01.680] VDI開比較久就算了
[23:01.680 -> 23:02.680] 就算了
[23:02.680 -> 23:04.920] 所以大概是這個樣子去觀察
[23:04.920 -> 23:07.640] 那我們為什麼要把投信放出來
[23:07.640 -> 23:08.940] 就因為我們剛剛看到
[23:08.940 -> 23:11.680] 9月 10月 11月投信買了1600億
[23:11.680 -> 23:13.940] 外資在倒垃圾的時候投信買很多
[23:13.940 -> 23:15.580] 你看投信買什麼
[23:15.580 -> 23:17.680] 那拉了什麼有什麼機會
[23:17.680 -> 23:19.020] 像東岡就是一個
[23:19.020 -> 23:21.720] 投信大家成本大概在差不多這裡吧
[23:21.720 -> 23:23.560] 差不多60多左右
[23:23.560 -> 23:24.860] 那現在拉上去
[23:24.860 -> 23:28.640] 其實就你說真的有偏離他成本多嗎
[23:28.640 -> 23:29.560] 可能沒有
[23:30.040 -> 23:31.520] 那有沒有什麼機會
[23:31.520 -> 23:33.640] 像我們剛講的鋼鐵的復甦或什麼的
[23:33.640 -> 23:34.920] 有沒有機會上去
[23:35.400 -> 23:37.600] 可以去觀察
[23:38.040 -> 23:40.000] 然後BDI迅速的打下來
[23:40.680 -> 23:41.880] 降到1385
[23:42.080 -> 23:45.180] 你看上個上個月還在2000
[23:45.180 -> 23:47.420] 所以這個指數是波動很快
[23:47.420 -> 23:49.580] 那我們如果這都主要是BCI在搞鬼
[23:49.580 -> 23:51.580] 小船的波動很小啦
[23:51.580 -> 23:53.580] 就是沒那麼大你看BCI可以
[23:53.580 -> 23:55.580] 這可以馬上腰斬
[23:55.580 -> 23:59.580] 所以說Capsize的這個東西就變化很大
[23:59.580 -> 24:02.380] 但不要被他影響太多
[24:02.380 -> 24:05.120] 還是要有一個自己的一把尺去做判斷
[24:06.660 -> 24:07.680] 好那我們
[24:08.200 -> 24:10.500] 這個PC筆的部分出現一個比較
[24:10.760 -> 24:12.300] 強勢軋空的格局
[24:12.800 -> 24:13.320] 這個
[24:13.580 -> 24:15.100] 這個可能會
[24:15.620 -> 24:16.640] 我不知道這單
[24:16.900 -> 24:17.920] 單軋會不會這樣強軋
[24:18.180 -> 24:19.200] 但我覺得應該還好啦
[24:19.980 -> 24:21.000] 就
[24:21.260 -> 24:24.060] 有興趣的話再去看選擇權吧
[24:24.060 -> 24:26.620] 因為有的時候真的就是一個
[24:26.620 -> 24:30.960] 我剛剛附牌看到1660的code
[24:30.960 -> 24:35.300] 11月初的時候開倉大概兩三塊
[24:35.300 -> 24:36.760] 是10塊以內
[24:36.760 -> 24:38.940] 然後可以拉到拉了二三十倍
[24:38.940 -> 24:41.340] 所以這個或許之後可以看一下
[24:41.340 -> 24:45.060] 如果因為現在市場很多定調是一個空頭反彈
[24:45.060 -> 24:48.340] 反彈之後可能選舉完還會再走一個
[24:48.340 -> 24:51.140] A B C波 C波的下跌段
[24:51.140 -> 24:52.140] 跌好跌滿
[24:52.140 -> 24:53.260] 搞不好會跌一年
[24:53.260 -> 24:54.460] 如果是這樣子的話
[24:54.460 -> 24:57.460] 或許在這個下跌段當中
[24:57.460 -> 25:00.140] 會有一小段兩小段三小段的反彈
[25:00.140 -> 25:00.900] 又急又快
[25:00.900 -> 25:02.740] 那就可以用C去考慮去做操作
[25:02.740 -> 25:06.000] 所以未來可能會加上一些選擇權的觀察啦
[25:06.000 -> 25:09.000] 那當然現在這個行情拉出來就不去追
[25:09.000 -> 25:11.000] 比特幣回持在3萬5
[25:11.000 -> 25:15.000] 那因為比特幣可能要被美國納入了正式的ETF了
[25:15.000 -> 25:17.000] 所以說
[25:17.000 -> 25:19.000] 嫌貨才是買貨人
[25:19.000 -> 25:22.000] 我覺得加密貨幣還會有它的立足之地吧
[25:22.000 -> 25:25.580] 所以為什麼你看台灣民辦可以拉那麼高
[25:25.580 -> 25:27.600] 他冷錢包
[25:27.600 -> 25:29.980] 做成這樣子
[25:29.980 -> 25:32.420] 我也不會講不太會講
[25:32.480 -> 25:34.040] 他就做出來
[25:34.240 -> 25:37.220] 可能之後戰爭吧
[25:37.220 -> 25:40.180] 好像不如帶冷錢包對不對
[25:40.180 -> 25:43.020] 因為比特幣可以拆成0.01什麼的啊
[25:43.020 -> 25:45.440] 那你可以買小幣也可以換小幣
[25:45.440 -> 25:47.440] 帶黃金
[25:47.440 -> 25:49.280] 當然現在黃金漲的也不錯
[25:49.280 -> 25:51.920] 只是說黃金能拆嗎
[25:51.920 -> 25:54.560] 好像一直都是一個比較問號啦
[25:54.560 -> 25:56.720] 那多空頭排列的話我們可以看到
[25:56.720 -> 25:59.440] 這個空頭拉到快60%之後開始往下掉
[25:59.440 -> 26:02.160] 那短線的空頭已經往下掉了
[26:02.160 -> 26:03.040] 指數上來了
[26:03.040 -> 26:05.560] 那就看到時候沒辦法交叉
[26:05.560 -> 26:07.720] 交叉的話其實對指數來說更有利
[26:07.720 -> 26:12.120] 所以其實連指數的都可以去做比較積極的偏多
[26:12.120 -> 26:13.880] 我覺得
[26:13.880 -> 26:14.960] 好那看一下近拍啦
[26:14.960 -> 26:16.880] 近拍最近的熱度好像回來了
[26:16.880 -> 26:19.720] 貴蒙4這個最高也拍到131
[26:19.720 -> 26:23.320] 我不知道哪個笨蛋去拍的
[26:23.320 -> 26:24.240] 我覺得拍很貴啦
[26:24.240 -> 26:27.000] 那anyway反正108.4這個也蠻高的
[26:27.000 -> 26:29.300] 然後四鎧這鋼鐵骨
[26:29.300 -> 26:31.340] 那陳明電這也要近拍了
[26:31.340 -> 26:34.440] 這個是做扇機殼的嘛
[26:34.440 -> 26:34.940] 陳明電的
[26:34.940 -> 26:36.300] 生微能源是綠能的
[26:36.300 -> 26:37.640] 所以這兩個都可以留意
[26:37.640 -> 26:40.240] 然後金豪科醫這不用說了
[26:40.240 -> 26:43.140] 頂基一二都不用說了不解釋
[26:43.140 -> 26:45.260] 那威宻也不錯都不錯
[26:45.260 -> 26:47.000] 其實最近發在的都不錯可以注意一下
[26:47.000 -> 26:49.160] 新鼎也是那個中壢集團的概念
[26:49.160 -> 26:50.500] 所以這個可以留意
[26:50.500 -> 26:51.700] 維權電也不錯
[26:51.700 -> 26:54.100] 都不錯突然覺得每隻都不錯
[26:54.100 -> 26:55.040] 錢都不夠
[26:55.040 -> 26:56.740] 寶瑞山這也可以留意一下
[26:56.740 -> 27:02.020] 這個你看他的競拍價119.35代表什麼
[27:02.020 -> 27:06.000] 6472代表市場
[27:06.000 -> 27:08.000] 成買單內
[27:08.000 -> 27:10.000] 好那現在你買的話比他便宜
[27:10.000 -> 27:12.000] 比你第二天比他們進派的人便宜
[27:12.000 -> 27:14.000] 所以這可以可以
[27:14.000 -> 27:16.000] 思考一下思考一下
[27:16.000 -> 27:18.000] 那
[27:18.000 -> 27:20.000] 留意看看
[27:20.000 -> 27:22.000] 世紀剛之前
[27:22.000 -> 27:24.000] 跌停板嗎
[27:24.000 -> 27:27.880] 那投信開始賣股票了
[27:27.880 -> 27:30.180] 所以可能要等投信到完吧
[27:30.180 -> 27:31.080] 等投信到完
[27:31.080 -> 27:36.780] OK那鴻康前幾天也跌停板對不對
[27:36.780 -> 27:38.080] 3587
[27:38.080 -> 27:41.180] 這個業績不好就跌停板這沒道理啊
[27:41.180 -> 27:42.980] 那反正低檔我覺得這算低檔
[27:42.980 -> 27:45.660] 所以很多人會利用公司在去超低
[27:45.660 -> 27:47.500] 打到100伏擊看
[27:47.500 -> 27:49.600] 你看如果買在這115以下多漂亮啊
[27:49.600 -> 27:52.000] 隔天馬上彈回來馬上立於不敗之地
[27:52.000 -> 27:53.840] 所以其實
[27:53.840 -> 27:56.300] 我記得那天好像就有人去
[27:56.300 -> 27:57.540] 就是我跟朋友聊到
[27:57.540 -> 27:58.940] 馬上就去佈局
[27:58.940 -> 28:00.920] 那比如說你可能線股套在上面
[28:00.920 -> 28:02.820] 下面去用公司在去攤平的話
[28:02.820 -> 28:04.980] 其實效果不會輸啊
[28:04.980 -> 28:05.800] 不會輸太多
[28:05.800 -> 28:07.400] 因為可能maybe彈到一半比如說
[28:07.800 -> 28:09.160] 呃3587
[28:09.600 -> 28:11.440] 比如說彈到比如彈到270好了
[28:11.440 -> 28:12.520] 我們我們首先看一下
[28:12.520 -> 28:13.320] 我們這邊看
[28:14.040 -> 28:15.000] 3587
[28:20.080 -> 28:22.520] 我們看一下他的轉換價是
[28:26.000 -> 28:28.000] 207.5207.5
[28:28.000 -> 28:30.000] 然後呢假設談到270的話
[28:30.000 -> 28:31.000] 我們就簡單算一下
[28:36.000 -> 28:37.000] 大概就130嘛
[28:37.000 -> 28:41.000] 130你115買你一張也可以賺個多少
[28:42.000 -> 28:43.000] 我想一下
[28:44.000 -> 28:45.380] 賺個賺個多少啊啊我想一下賺個
[28:46.140 -> 28:46.920] 賺個這樣吧
[28:49.220 -> 28:49.980] 60%
[28:50.240 -> 28:53.560] 強個反彈嗎那你比如說高檔套一張
[28:53.820 -> 28:58.680] 假設你短在最高點你拉上來賠個5萬那你可能補個
[28:58.940 -> 29:04.060] 三張四張公司債你就你就小賺出場了這也是一個策略啊就說如果
[29:04.320 -> 29:05.560] 買到很貴的時候
[29:05.560 -> 29:06.400] 其實也不用
[29:07.080 -> 29:07.680] 資金控制
[29:07.680 -> 29:08.880] 其實還是資金控制
[29:08.880 -> 29:10.160] 你壓滿
[29:10.160 -> 29:11.080] 你如果壓好壓滿
[29:11.080 -> 29:13.400] 那個真的是要很吃你的停損技巧
[29:13.720 -> 29:15.360] 近期有在現增的話
[29:15.360 -> 29:16.320] 就是遠雄港啊
[29:16.320 -> 29:17.440] 那米一彩華邦店那些
[29:17.440 -> 29:19.480] 所以遠雄港好像就
[29:19.840 -> 29:21.200] 就有一些賣壓嘛
[29:21.200 -> 29:21.480] 對不對
[29:21.480 -> 29:23.120] 這個AI的概念股
[29:23.120 -> 29:23.360] 對不對
[29:23.360 -> 29:24.960] 這個輝達AI概念股
[29:26.000 -> 29:27.000] 然後6198的瑞竹
[29:27.000 -> 29:28.000] 我之前聽都沒聽過
[29:28.000 -> 29:30.000] 拉上去之後開始辦現證
[29:30.000 -> 29:31.000] 現證了會不會拉不知道
[29:31.000 -> 29:32.000] 不過就看看吧
[29:32.000 -> 29:34.000] 因為這隻比較不熟悉
[29:34.000 -> 29:35.000] 我就放棄
[29:35.000 -> 29:38.000] 然後有沒有什麼現證沒過的
[29:38.000 -> 29:40.000] 沒有吧
[29:40.000 -> 29:42.000] 華邦電也辦現證
[29:42.000 -> 29:44.000] 2344的華邦電
[29:44.000 -> 29:46.940] 所以他股價一直都是一個很震盪的狀態
[29:46.940 -> 29:49.300] 然後好像有一些抽籤的股票吧
[29:49.300 -> 29:52.300] 承耀啊 富士達啊 對不對
[29:52.300 -> 29:54.480] 富士達還要抽籤呢
[29:54.480 -> 29:57.880] 聽說上市的價格很低嘛 是不是
[29:57.880 -> 29:59.020] 我看一下
[29:59.020 -> 30:00.780] 承銷價200塊嘛
[30:00.780 -> 30:02.180] 就淨拍200塊而已
[30:02.180 -> 30:06.000] 所以中籤率
[30:06.000 -> 30:08.000] 這是抽籤嘛 0.87%
[30:08.000 -> 30:10.000] 所以市場其實
[30:10.000 -> 30:12.000] 一直都是蠻
[30:12.000 -> 30:14.000] 我覺得都是蠻
[30:14.000 -> 30:16.000] 蠻熱的蠻熱的
[30:16.000 -> 30:18.000] 有套利的機會
[30:18.000 -> 30:20.000] 大家都會卯起來套利
[30:20.000 -> 30:22.000] 這個就是這種
[30:22.000 -> 30:24.000] 不賺錢的笨蛋
[30:24.000 -> 30:25.240] 應該說什麼抽這個就我覺得抽�錢的笨蛋才會應該說什麼
[30:25.240 -> 30:26.800] 這個就是抽這個就
[30:26.800 -> 30:28.080] 我覺得抽這個就很笨啊
[30:28.080 -> 30:30.760] 所以這種中成率才高
[30:30.760 -> 30:33.000] 就是這個就是市場的套利資金
[30:33.000 -> 30:34.600] 連他都不感興趣的東西
[30:34.600 -> 30:37.040] 那當然有些人會把這個放著
[30:37.040 -> 30:38.200] 這一種特別股
[30:38.200 -> 30:39.880] maybe還是可以發股利
[30:39.880 -> 30:41.360] 我只覺得這個就還好
[30:41.360 -> 30:42.240] 沒什麼興趣
[30:43.400 -> 30:47.200] 所以看起來還都是蠻熱門的
[30:47.200 -> 30:47.800] 對不對
[30:48.200 -> 30:49.800] 你很難看到那種
[30:50.000 -> 30:52.600] 股票可以抽籤中籤率超過5%的
[30:52.600 -> 30:54.200] 甚至10%的
[30:54.200 -> 30:55.500] 目前看起來好像沒有
[30:56.000 -> 30:56.800] 好像沒有
[30:56.800 -> 30:57.200] 好
[30:58.500 -> 30:59.900] 那我們就看投信買超
[30:59.900 -> 31:01.400] 這10天買了什麼
[31:01.900 -> 31:03.100] AI股買比較多
[31:03.200 -> 31:04.400] 那我們再拉長一點
[31:04.400 -> 31:06.400] 拉30天呢
[31:10.740 -> 31:12.280] 瑞宜啦
[31:12.800 -> 31:14.580] 頂多就看到比較特別就瑞宜
[31:15.360 -> 31:17.400] 其他好像也還好
[31:17.920 -> 31:21.500] 6176瑞宜是偏那個光學的概念股
[31:22.260 -> 31:26.000] 那他也佈局了一陣子佈局到17%不知道是不是有
[31:26.000 -> 31:28.000] 不知道是不是有被動基金去丟
[31:28.000 -> 31:30.000] 當然如果你要去佈局的話
[31:30.000 -> 31:32.000] 你是做價差的話當然是要以
[31:32.000 -> 31:34.000] 技術面來做一個依歸
[31:34.000 -> 31:36.000] 漲幅也不大
[31:36.000 -> 31:38.000] 這裡有一些
[31:38.000 -> 31:40.000] 主動基金調整 調整完之後買上去
[31:40.000 -> 31:42.000] 還沒有大漲
[31:42.000 -> 31:44.000] 那還沒大漲就是好機會
[31:44.000 -> 31:46.700] 不要大漲之後因為大漲之後他就要調節
[31:46.700 -> 31:48.800] 假設你比如說瑞儀是高股息去買的話
[31:48.800 -> 31:49.400] 假設
[31:50.740 -> 31:52.080] 假設高股息去買
[31:52.080 -> 31:52.740] 那你看喔
[31:53.880 -> 31:54.780] 你看配10塊
[31:54.780 -> 31:56.180] 所以有可能是高股息
[31:56.180 -> 31:57.040] 好殖利率多少
[31:57.040 -> 31:59.120] 殖利率是10除以126
[31:59.120 -> 32:00.220] 殖利率8%
[32:00.220 -> 32:01.180] 好現在買買買買
[32:01.180 -> 32:02.180] 萬一他業績起來
[32:02.180 -> 32:02.820] 拉拉拉上去
[32:02.820 -> 32:04.120] 比如說拉到個180
[32:04.120 -> 32:05.560] 150塊160塊
[32:05.560 -> 32:06.280] 160塊
[32:06.280 -> 32:07.480] 160
[32:07.480 -> 32:08.520] 10出160
[32:08.520 -> 32:09.720] 剩6%
[32:09.720 -> 32:10.800] 拿到180塊
[32:10.800 -> 32:12.440] 剩5%
[32:12.440 -> 32:14.720] 那被剔除之後就要開始賣了
[32:14.720 -> 32:17.480] 所以這個是被動型的投信基金的
[32:17.480 -> 32:19.840] 一個要注意的點
[32:19.840 -> 32:21.400] 我們來看上櫃
[32:21.400 -> 32:23.040] 上櫃奇邦新全
[32:23.040 -> 32:24.680] 這個都這個股性很爛
[32:24.760 -> 32:25.680] 所以不太懂
[32:25.680 -> 32:26.480] 高技吧
[32:26.480 -> 32:27.080] 高技
[32:27.080 -> 32:28.440] 然後家登 升家
[32:28.440 -> 32:31.420] 這我比較比較喜歡的
[32:31.420 -> 32:32.380] 梁威也不錯
[32:32.380 -> 32:33.220] 森達科在這裡
[32:33.220 -> 32:33.960] 森達科在這裡
[32:33.960 -> 32:35.620] 那連世界先進都入吧
[32:35.620 -> 32:38.160] 我們看一下5347的世界先進
[32:38.160 -> 32:39.460] 投信小買
[32:39.460 -> 32:41.460] 那合金就比較弱啦
[32:41.460 -> 32:43.760] 不過投信也是很買單
[32:43.760 -> 32:44.800] 但是就還沒發動嘛
[32:44.800 -> 32:45.000] 那就沒什麼好說的3680的家登呢近期開始做佈局囉合金就比較弱啦不過投信也是很買單但是就還沒發動嘛
[32:45.000 -> 32:46.000] 那就沒什麼好說的
[32:46.000 -> 32:48.000] 3680的加登呢
[32:48.000 -> 32:50.000] 近期開始做佈局囉
[32:50.000 -> 32:52.000] 還有什麼
[32:52.000 -> 32:54.000] 還有那個梁維
[32:54.000 -> 32:55.000] 6290的梁維
[32:55.000 -> 32:57.000] 梁維也是不錯喔
[32:57.000 -> 32:58.000] 近期剛開始買
[32:58.000 -> 33:01.000] 還好給他一點時間去建倉吧
[33:01.000 -> 33:03.000] 聲達科
[33:03.000 -> 33:04.000] 投信開始買然後怎樣
[33:04.000 -> 33:05.000] 開始要去突破了
[33:05.000 -> 33:07.000] 森達科不錯
[33:07.000 -> 33:10.000] 那升加電池的投信也買得很快
[33:10.000 -> 33:11.000] 跟著投信買很快
[33:11.000 -> 33:13.000] 400一下快要到500了
[33:13.000 -> 33:15.000] 寶瑞
[33:15.000 -> 33:17.000] 恩...寶瑞沒什麼投信
[33:19.000 -> 33:21.000] 大概是這個樣子
[33:22.000 -> 33:23.000] 好
[33:23.000 -> 33:24.000] 那我看融資
[33:24.000 -> 33:26.000] 融資近期買什麼
[33:26.000 -> 33:28.000] 電影投控光寶科
[33:28.000 -> 33:30.000] 這籌碼非常亂
[33:30.000 -> 33:31.000] 不碰也好
[33:31.000 -> 33:34.000] 十全可能線型比較強一點
[33:34.000 -> 33:35.000] 三晃也不錯
[33:35.000 -> 33:36.000] 三晃線型也不錯
[33:36.000 -> 33:38.000] 三商店我剛剛有講到
[33:38.000 -> 33:40.000] 所以可能看型態強的啦
[33:40.000 -> 33:43.000] 型態太弱的先不要
[33:43.000 -> 33:45.200] 先不要衝動對不對
[33:45.200 -> 33:48.000] 大概檔數多
[33:48.000 -> 33:51.200] 那長榮航拉上去了
[33:51.200 -> 33:54.960] 然後投信開始買了
[33:54.960 -> 33:56.800] 可能做個季報行情吧
[33:56.800 -> 33:57.440] 就這樣吧
[33:57.440 -> 33:58.320] 做個季報行情
[33:58.320 -> 34:01.600] 所以有可能是一個洗停水的動作
[34:01.600 -> 34:02.400] 然後再往上拉
[34:02.400 -> 34:03.200] 拉一個反彈
[34:03.200 -> 34:06.000] 這是可以觀察的
[34:06.000 -> 34:08.000] 長蠻華航都一起拉
[34:10.000 -> 34:12.000] 兩隻要震盪一下
[34:14.000 -> 34:17.000] 三晃還可以啦
[34:18.000 -> 34:19.000] 然後網通的話
[34:19.000 -> 34:20.000] 正文這個爆量之後
[34:20.000 -> 34:22.000] 打下去這裡有一點點洗停水的味道
[34:22.000 -> 34:23.000] 再拉上去
[34:23.000 -> 34:25.540] 都有一點類似的味道
[34:25.540 -> 34:27.940] 網空的趙赫
[34:27.940 -> 34:29.900] 可能還沒死
[34:29.900 -> 34:31.540] 好
[34:31.540 -> 34:34.040] 那我們繼續看融資的上櫃
[34:34.040 -> 34:35.240] 這樣是10天嘛
[34:35.240 -> 34:37.140] 我們看20天好了
[34:37.140 -> 34:38.620] 20天會比較有變化
[34:38.620 -> 34:40.020] 中工長榮航
[34:40.020 -> 34:41.420] 好像差不多就三檔吧
[34:41.420 -> 34:43.520] 工信也還可以
[34:43.520 -> 34:45.940] 都是低價的工程股營造股
[34:45.940 -> 34:46.640] 這可以留意
[34:50.980 -> 34:52.240] 好我們看上櫃
[34:52.240 -> 34:52.980] 國橋
[34:53.920 -> 34:56.080] 然後連工程的國統
[34:56.080 -> 34:57.320] 都很多人現在在講
[34:57.320 -> 34:59.360] 那國統已經創高囉
[34:59.360 -> 35:01.660] 這個套八年的朋友不知道能不能解套
[35:01.660 -> 35:02.760] 應該可以解套啦
[35:02.760 -> 35:05.400] 所以有機會翻身
[35:05.400 -> 35:07.940] 那能不能翻身就看這次了
[35:07.940 -> 35:10.180] 那富喬前面拉高之後
[35:10.180 -> 35:11.580] 現在持續的去過攻擊
[35:11.580 -> 35:14.020] 所以富喬可能還有得玩
[35:14.020 -> 35:16.920] 波仙步這塊他也是不會落後太多的
[35:16.920 -> 35:19.120] 所以還是有持續上場的機會
[35:19.120 -> 35:20.120] 那劍順殿
[35:20.120 -> 35:24.060] 劍順殿在這個週五的時候出現一個開高走低收最低
[35:24.060 -> 35:25.200] 好弱 第四趴
[35:25.200 -> 35:31.400] 融資近期增加了10%是不是
[35:31.400 -> 35:34.200] 融資開始增加
[35:34.200 -> 35:36.400] 那看起來這個形態
[35:36.400 -> 35:38.800] 目前看來啦我覺得還好啦
[35:38.800 -> 35:41.200] 因為你看三天的量已經衝出來
[35:41.200 -> 35:45.600] 那這個是我的持有的組合之一啦
[35:45.600 -> 35:47.440] 就持續觀察吧
[35:47.440 -> 35:50.360] 然後松瑞要就
[35:50.360 -> 35:51.560] 我比較沒興趣
[35:51.560 -> 35:53.760] 有機會長那我沒興趣
[35:53.760 -> 35:54.360] 鎮耀
[35:54.360 -> 35:55.320] 這鎮耀也不錯
[35:55.320 -> 35:56.280] 慢慢的往上走
[35:56.280 -> 35:57.000] 底部
[35:57.000 -> 35:59.200] 主底完成然後龍字也開始埋了
[35:59.200 -> 36:00.080] 龍字也開始埋了
[36:00.080 -> 36:00.840] 那往上走
[36:00.840 -> 36:02.000] 不是頭心不好意思
[36:02.000 -> 36:03.480] 53.9的高技也不錯
[36:03.480 -> 36:04.360] 創高了有沒有
[36:04.360 -> 36:06.140] 在這邊即將過高的時候打下來
[36:06.140 -> 36:08.300] 跌停嘛我覺得跌停然後拉上去
[36:08.300 -> 36:10.580] 所以其實我說跌停其實是有點洗盤
[36:10.580 -> 36:11.980] 沒有關係
[36:11.980 -> 36:12.880] OK
[36:12.880 -> 36:14.340] 大概看這幾檔就好
[36:14.340 -> 36:16.540] 也不用看太多啦
[36:16.540 -> 36:17.720] 因為都
[36:17.720 -> 36:19.420] 不過現在的盤面應該是比較
[36:19.420 -> 36:20.680] 對多方來說有利的
[36:20.680 -> 36:25.800] 所以好股票或是有機會的股票拉回去
[36:25.800 -> 36:27.540] 就是你可能追高套著的話
[36:27.540 -> 36:29.160] 沒關係那你就拉回再補
[36:29.160 -> 36:29.940] 不要一次買完
[36:29.940 -> 36:31.000] 鬆上也不錯
[36:31.000 -> 36:32.040] 車用的概念股
[36:32.040 -> 36:33.200] 鴻海概念股
[36:33.200 -> 36:36.000] 那這個615 64也是120也是很強
[36:36.000 -> 36:38.940] 然後3322好像也是4
[36:38.940 -> 36:40.280] 3322 4
[36:40.280 -> 36:41.080] 對這也是嘛
[36:41.080 -> 36:41.880] 128的
[36:41.880 -> 36:43.180] 這就是喜三溫暖
[36:43.180 -> 36:44.980] 所以這種如果不威大
[36:44.980 -> 36:45.880] 一天輸贏很多
[36:45.880 -> 36:48.640] 但是anyway反正就是
[36:48.640 -> 36:51.600] 看你看看能不能走出我想要的走勢啦
[36:51.600 -> 36:53.680] 那我們繼續看一下
[36:53.680 -> 36:56.440] 好 差不多這樣子
[36:56.440 -> 36:58.360] 好啦那下週的話
[36:58.360 -> 36:59.840] 我們看國際股市
[36:59.840 -> 37:03.040] 國際股市在這裡吧
[37:03.040 -> 37:05.800] 國際股市的話都是碰到年線的反彈
[37:05.800 -> 37:07.500] 破年線拉回來
[37:07.500 -> 37:08.540] 還沒碰年線的反彈
[37:08.540 -> 37:10.240] 而且他納斯達克彈得很強
[37:10.240 -> 37:11.280] 直接彈到MA60
[37:11.280 -> 37:13.280] 那這邊應該會有一些震盪啦
[37:13.280 -> 37:16.580] 所以說其實彈上來
[37:16.580 -> 37:18.980] 可能要追高嗎
[37:18.980 -> 37:20.420] 不一定吧 就不見得啦
[37:20.420 -> 37:21.480] 只是就是說
[37:21.480 -> 37:24.320] 你看一下這一波反彈上去誰最強
[37:24.320 -> 37:26.660] 其實常常都蠻強的
[37:26.660 -> 37:27.680] 都蠻強的
[37:27.680 -> 37:30.500] 都不錯強 我們把它縮小一點看
[37:30.500 -> 37:36.120] 2023年6月13 大概這樣子
[37:36.120 -> 37:38.440] 6月13
[37:38.440 -> 37:40.740] 你看就形態來說
[37:40.740 -> 37:44.580] 看起來其實就是有點下降
[37:44.580 -> 37:45.000] 不過好像納斯達克快要去拼過前高再來說看起來其實就是有點下降
[37:45.000 -> 37:49.000] 不過好像納斯達克快要去拼過前高
[37:49.000 -> 37:52.000] 道瓊已經是打出一個W底了
[37:52.000 -> 37:56.500] 不過他的連線已經破很久了啦
[37:56.500 -> 37:58.000] 我只能這樣說
[37:58.000 -> 38:00.000] 那費半就還差一點
[38:00.000 -> 38:03.000] 所以現在是納斯達克為主的科技股
[38:03.000 -> 38:06.400] 是最接近前波壓力的就看能不能夠壓力轉支撐
[38:06.400 -> 38:08.800] 轉支撐就會更有利於多方的操作
[38:08.800 -> 38:11.120] OK那我們就今天就到這
[38:11.120 -> 38:13.760] 那如果我看一下
[38:13.760 -> 38:17.360] 明天開始可能maybe晚上會直播
[38:17.360 -> 38:19.120] 那我沒直播我就放影片吧
[38:19.120 -> 38:21.520] 因為我這邊我搬新家
[38:21.520 -> 38:23.680] 然後電腦好像剛弄完
[38:23.680 -> 38:25.880] 所以說如果
[38:26.660 -> 38:28.960] 就可能不用直播就用錄影的方式
[38:29.220 -> 38:31.780] 這樣可能上傳上去大家的體驗會比較好
[38:32.040 -> 38:32.540] OK
[38:32.800 -> 38:34.080] 感謝大家收看喔 掰掰

［新手台股日記］2023/11/3 藍色兔子

 [00:00.000 -> 00:03.300] 歡迎來到藍色兔子頻道
[00:03.300 -> 00:05.000] 這裡是新手台股日記
[00:05.000 -> 00:08.300] 在每一個台股交易日提供你最驚要的大盤資訊
[00:08.300 -> 00:10.100] 今天是2023年的11月3號
[00:10.100 -> 00:12.800] 我們要先從前一個交易日的美股開始看起
[00:12.800 -> 00:14.300] 前一個交易日的美股呢
[00:14.300 -> 00:17.300] 四大指數還是很明顯持續大漲的
[00:17.300 -> 00:20.600] 當然跟這個升息告一個段落這樣子的好消息
[00:20.600 -> 00:23.000] 還有以及這個失業金申請人數啊
[00:23.000 -> 00:24.700] 相關的這些消息出來
[00:24.700 -> 00:26.500] 整體來說華爾街的解釋呢
[00:26.500 -> 00:29.860] 都是A指現在是很看好的一個狀態
[00:29.860 -> 00:33.020] 所以四大指數都是很明顯持續來上漲了
[00:33.160 -> 00:36.300] 首先看到的是道瓊工業一開始開高之後
[00:36.300 -> 00:37.900] 沒有太明顯的賣壓
[00:37.900 -> 00:40.100] 持續穩定的向上漲高
[00:40.200 -> 00:42.820] 最終漲幅是1.7個百分比
[00:42.900 -> 00:44.760] 再來是那支達克斯開高
[00:44.760 -> 00:46.800] 但是9點多有一波小小的
[00:46.800 -> 00:48.300] 這樣相對來說蠻小的
[00:48.300 -> 00:49.800] 這個往下壓一點點
[00:49.800 -> 00:52.300] 10點10分之後也是持續的反彈
[00:52.300 -> 00:54.000] 然後穩定的向上漲
[00:54.000 -> 00:56.900] 最終漲幅是1.78個百分比
[00:56.900 -> 00:58.800] 再來看到的是S&P500
[00:58.800 -> 01:00.500] 他的向下壓沒有那麼明顯
[01:00.500 -> 01:02.900] 但10點多一樣是明顯的往上漲
[01:02.900 -> 01:04.400] 持續的向上漲
[01:04.400 -> 01:07.760] 最終漲幅來到1.89個百分比
[01:07.960 -> 01:10.460] 那最後看到的是費城半導體
[01:10.460 -> 01:13.160] 雖然也是開高一樣有一個小小的賣壓
[01:13.160 -> 01:14.860] 跟納指達克比較像一點
[01:14.860 -> 01:16.960] 然後10點多持續的往上走
[01:17.200 -> 01:18.520] 持續的向上漲之後
[01:18.520 -> 01:19.960] 在3點稍有賣壓
[01:19.960 -> 01:21.860] 往下修掉一點點漲幅
[01:21.860 -> 01:24.100] 但是他的漲幅還是四大指數裡面
[01:24.100 -> 01:25.500] 最明顯的了
[01:25.600 -> 01:28.300] 最終上漲了2.36個百分比
[01:28.300 -> 01:29.300] 所以前一個假日呢
[01:29.300 -> 01:31.200] 美股是持續大紅盤哦
[01:31.200 -> 01:33.460] 數字都非常明顯的這樣子的一個
[01:33.500 -> 01:36.200] 向上的大買氣回來了
[01:36.260 -> 01:36.900] 所以呢
[01:37.000 -> 01:39.900] 台股當然也會受到這樣的買氣來影響
[01:40.000 -> 01:44.400] 今天的台股呢最終收在16507點
[01:44.400 -> 01:46.600] 整整上漲了110點
[01:46.660 -> 01:48.200] 0.68個百分比
[01:48.200 -> 01:49.760] 也是很明顯的漲勢
[01:49.760 -> 01:51.260] 那當然沒有超過1
[01:51.260 -> 01:54.100] 但是很明顯的收復了16500
[01:54.100 -> 01:55.800] 這個整數價位
[01:55.800 -> 01:56.700] 所以整體來說
[01:56.760 -> 01:59.960] 這個積極的買氣還是很明顯的
[02:00.600 -> 02:03.260] 今天的成交量是2671億
[02:03.260 -> 02:05.940] 其實跟前個假日算是蠻相似的
[02:05.940 -> 02:09.040] 硬要算起來是稍微的有一點量增
[02:09.040 -> 02:11.440] 不過整體來說還是相較於近期
[02:11.440 -> 02:14.780] 其他日子的這個量來講還是蠻明顯的
[02:14.780 -> 02:16.480] 算是比較多的一個量
[02:16.480 -> 02:18.200] 所以看起來狀態是蠻不錯的
[02:18.200 -> 02:21.240] 有足夠的量來支撐這樣子的一個向上漲
[02:21.540 -> 02:23.380] 那整個開盤過程呢
[02:23.380 -> 02:26.060] 一開始開在16412
[02:26.160 -> 02:27.800] 說是16396
[02:27.800 -> 02:30.220] 所以開盤其實就突破16400
[02:30.220 -> 02:31.920] 然後多了一點點
[02:31.960 -> 02:33.100] 那雖然開了之後呢
[02:33.100 -> 02:35.620] 稍微有出現一點點壓力了
[02:35.620 -> 02:37.320] 他往上突進到164
[02:37.500 -> 02:39.300] 接近450還不到的時候
[02:39.300 -> 02:41.720] 有一波小小的賣壓出現
[02:41.820 -> 02:43.520] 稍微掉落到這個
[02:43.520 -> 02:45.360] 接近這個開盤再多一點點
[02:45.360 -> 02:47.260] 這個1642多的位置
[02:47.260 -> 02:48.900] 那蠻快就整理完的
[02:48.900 -> 02:50.600] 所以後面都是這個有往上
[02:50.600 -> 02:53.060] 就稍微有一點點小小的賣壓出現
[02:53.060 -> 02:55.100] 所以就持續這樣拉鋸拉鋸的
[02:55.100 -> 02:56.800] 一路的向上
[02:56.800 -> 02:57.860] 那到10點多呢
[02:57.860 -> 02:59.860] 這個1649多
[02:59.860 -> 03:01.660] 這個要16500的時候呢
[03:01.660 -> 03:07.680] 稍微出現了一點壓力上不太去的感覺然後10點多有一波稍微的向下修
[03:07.680 -> 03:10.100] 10點20幾分就重整態勢
[03:10.100 -> 03:14.720] 再一波的往上攻就有成功來攻破16500了
[03:14.720 -> 03:18.400] 只不過沒想到16500沒有辦法做太久
[03:18.400 -> 03:21.680] 還是有賣壓出現後來16500又跌掉了
[03:21.680 -> 03:23.280] 所以新手一度看盤的時候覺得
[03:23.280 -> 03:27.200] 這一波11點多的16500沒有能守住尾盤
[03:27.200 -> 03:28.800] 不知道會如何
[03:28.900 -> 03:31.800] 那12點之後是持續緩慢的向上漲
[03:31.800 -> 03:34.000] 但都沒有太明顯太突出
[03:34.000 -> 03:36.700] 就是這一波又很明顯想要攻16500
[03:36.740 -> 03:38.140] 但是很快又掉下來
[03:38.140 -> 03:40.900] 所以收盤前都還不知道會如何
[03:40.940 -> 03:41.940] 因為收盤前
[03:41.940 -> 03:44.500] 試戳前大約是在16486
[03:44.500 -> 03:47.300] 距離16500其實有一小段位置
[03:47.400 -> 03:49.500] 那沒想到呢就是試戳完
[03:49.500 -> 03:51.100] 很明顯的往上攻了
[03:51.100 -> 03:55.500] 就成功的攻下這個16500的整數價位了
[03:55.500 -> 03:58.700] 我們來看一下這個K線圖的部分
[03:59.600 -> 04:00.560] 那今天的K線呢
[04:00.560 -> 04:02.560] 就很明顯延續昨天的一個大
[04:02.600 -> 04:04.100] 很大一個的紅K
[04:04.100 -> 04:05.480] 還是持續來做紅K的
[04:05.480 -> 04:07.280] 但因為漲幅沒有這麼多了
[04:07.280 -> 04:08.880] 只有0.68個百分比
[04:08.880 -> 04:10.880] 所以長度沒有太高
[04:10.880 -> 04:14.380] 那整體來講今天的量跟前一個假日其實是蠻相似的
[04:14.380 -> 04:16.380] 硬要說的話算是多一點點
[04:16.380 -> 04:18.380] 今天是2.67K
[04:18.380 -> 04:20.880] 前一個假日2.62K
[04:20.880 -> 04:22.880] 所以稍微算是量增啦
[04:22.880 -> 04:25.440] 樂觀的可能可以來解讀這就是量增了
[04:25.440 -> 04:26.940] 那今天最厲害的呢
[04:26.940 -> 04:29.940] 就是幾條線的方向性來做改變了
[04:29.940 -> 04:32.240] 前一個假日呢 因為很長一個紅K
[04:32.240 -> 04:35.640] 所以這個五日線 橘色五日線已經轉為向上了
[04:35.640 -> 04:39.240] 今天持續向上漲 所以橘色五日線是持續向上的
[04:39.240 -> 04:41.240] 那加上今天這個紅K呢
[04:41.240 -> 04:43.740] 這個淺藍色的十日線
[04:43.740 -> 04:46.300] 就從前一個假日還是向下的狀態
[04:46.300 -> 04:48.540] 今天就轉為向上了
[04:48.640 -> 04:50.400] 黃色的月線其實也是一樣的
[04:50.400 -> 04:51.500] 也是轉為向上
[04:51.500 -> 04:52.200] 那確實呢
[04:52.200 -> 04:54.740] 今天開盤就已經超過16400
[04:54.800 -> 04:57.780] 今天月線的位置是16405A
[04:57.780 -> 04:58.900] 所以剛好開盤的時候
[04:58.900 -> 05:01.140] 其實就已經超過這個月線了
[05:01.140 -> 05:04.100] 也算是收復了這個月線這個價位
[05:04.300 -> 05:06.840] 那持續的向上漲呢
[05:06.840 -> 05:09.000] 只不過這個紫色的60日線
[05:09.000 -> 05:10.400] 其實反應還沒這麼快
[05:10.400 -> 05:12.740] 所以他還是在向下的狀態
[05:12.860 -> 05:16.740] 只不過紫色的60日線今天是在16503
[05:16.940 -> 05:19.900] 最後的台股呢收在16507
[05:19.900 -> 05:23.260] 所以有成功的也來突破這個60日線了
[05:23.260 -> 05:24.060] 所以目前呢
[05:24.100 -> 05:26.740] 就是四條線的位置都有成功站上去
[05:26.740 -> 05:28.040] 都有超過了
[05:28.040 -> 05:30.100] 所以看起來是狀態是蠻不錯的
[05:30.100 -> 05:32.900] 特別是轉短期來看這個往上的反應
[05:32.900 -> 05:34.000] 力道蠻強的
[05:34.040 -> 05:36.700] 所以連偏中長期的這個
[05:36.700 -> 05:38.800] 十日線呢跟二十日線月線
[05:38.800 -> 05:40.460] 我們月線一般會說中期
[05:40.500 -> 05:44.140] 或是看你的交易時間的這個程度
[05:44.140 -> 05:46.300] 有時候月線也算稍微長期一點的
[05:46.440 -> 05:48.300] 那連月線也是轉為向上
[05:48.300 -> 05:50.500] 所以今天真的是蠻強勢的一個狀態
[05:50.500 -> 05:52.940] 那加上剛有提到有微幅的量增
[05:53.040 -> 05:55.100] 所以看起來還是蠻不錯的了
[05:56.200 -> 05:57.940] 那在這樣子的好盤裡面呢
[05:57.940 -> 05:59.840] 上漲比例確實也比較明顯
[05:59.840 -> 06:02.800] 超過6成60.3個百分比的個股
[06:02.800 -> 06:04.400] 都是在上漲的
[06:04.500 -> 06:07.500] 但是呢今天稍微多一點點個股在下跌
[06:07.500 -> 06:11.600] 總共是28.1個百分比的個股在向下跌
[06:11.600 -> 06:13.400] 那以類股表現來看呢
[06:13.400 -> 06:16.400] 有四個類股是往下走跌的
[06:16.400 -> 06:17.900] 我們先來看這四個
[06:17.900 -> 06:21.100] 今天的跌幅第一名呢是生技醫療
[06:21.100 -> 06:23.200] 那第三名其實是化學生技醫療
[06:23.200 -> 06:26.000] 就看你是否要一起來做觀察了
[06:26.000 -> 06:29.000] 第一名生技醫療下跌了0.8個百分比
[06:29.000 -> 06:31.000] 第二名則是其他電子
[06:31.000 -> 06:33.000] 相較之下其實跌幅就沒有這麼明顯
[06:33.000 -> 06:35.000] 沒有超過0.5
[06:35.000 -> 06:38.000] 其他電子下跌了0.45個百分比
[06:38.000 -> 06:40.000] 再來就是化學生技醫療0.2
[06:40.000 -> 06:42.000] 以及電子通路0.1
[06:42.000 -> 06:46.340] 其實就這四個類股是狀態比較不理想
[06:46.340 -> 06:47.940] 在今天往上走的過程
[06:47.940 -> 06:49.700] 他們是向下走跌的
[06:49.800 -> 06:51.640] 但是其他所有的類股呢
[06:51.640 -> 06:53.640] 都是紅盤向上的
[06:53.700 -> 06:55.500] 今天漲幅的第一名呢
[06:55.500 -> 06:57.140] 是運動休閒
[06:57.140 -> 06:59.760] 漲幅是2.9個百分比
[06:59.760 -> 07:01.300] 再來看到的第二名
[07:01.300 -> 07:02.600] 稍微有一些落差了
[07:02.600 -> 07:03.840] 就是航運
[07:03.940 -> 07:06.260] 漲幅是2.1個百分比
[07:06.260 -> 07:09.260] 然後第三名則是油電燃氣1.6
[07:09.260 -> 07:11.300] 第四名電氣電纜1.5
[07:11.300 -> 07:14.260] 以及第五名的資訊服務1.5
[07:14.300 -> 07:15.400] 那可以注意到
[07:15.400 -> 07:18.020] 前一個假日帶領這個台股往上衝
[07:18.060 -> 07:20.300] 特別明顯漲幅的這一些類股
[07:20.300 -> 07:21.300] 怎麼都好像
[07:21.500 -> 07:23.900] 整個前五名感覺換了一批人
[07:23.960 -> 07:25.740] 那可能剛剛提到的呢
[07:25.740 -> 07:28.040] 大約就是這個半導體在這邊
[07:28.040 -> 07:31.040] 就是倒數的第五名漲幅
[07:31.040 -> 07:32.540] 相對來說沒有這麼強勢
[07:32.540 -> 07:33.740] 0.3個百分比
[07:33.740 -> 07:35.740] 那再來就是電子0.39
[07:35.740 -> 07:38.540] 那可能還會提到電子零組件0.8
[07:38.540 -> 07:42.740] 以及這個電腦周邊在這邊0.4
[07:42.740 -> 07:46.460] 所以相較之下今天的類股漲幅確實是有一點這個
[07:46.460 -> 07:48.060] 大洗牌的感覺
[07:48.060 -> 07:50.260] 其實從成交市盤的話也可以注意到
[07:50.260 -> 07:51.360] 有上有下
[07:51.360 -> 07:53.560] 狀態好像並不是像前一個假日
[07:53.560 -> 07:56.020] 這麼明顯大家的一起紅盤向上
[07:56.100 -> 07:58.120] 特別是今天在類股的排行上面
[07:58.120 -> 07:59.920] 其實有一些些的落差
[07:59.920 -> 08:02.100] 這個名次也稍微有一些更動了
[08:03.160 -> 08:04.120] 那再來關心的呢
[08:04.120 -> 08:06.600] 就是三大法人的買賣超
[08:06.600 -> 08:10.300] 那可是出現了一些些綠色的數字了
[08:10.300 -> 08:11.600] 在昨日差異上面呢
[08:11.600 -> 08:14.400] 外資跟自營商都變成負的了
[08:14.400 -> 08:16.300] 也就是沒有再這麼看好
[08:16.300 -> 08:17.900] 稍微沒這麼看好一點了
[08:17.900 -> 08:19.800] 所以他們的買超的總量
[08:19.800 -> 08:21.100] 都還是維持買超
[08:21.100 -> 08:23.500] 但是可能沒有買這麼多了
[08:23.500 -> 08:24.300] 那投信呢
[08:24.300 -> 08:26.160] 則是持續的向上看好
[08:26.160 -> 08:28.400] 然後持續的買更多
[08:28.400 -> 08:31.500] 那三大法人今天合計的買超總量
[08:31.500 -> 08:34.360] 是買超了134億
[08:34.360 -> 08:37.760] 整個台股向上漲了110點
[08:37.760 -> 08:41.400] 這個落差是比較少見的方向
[08:41.400 -> 08:42.440] 就是我們一直都有提到
[08:42.440 -> 08:44.340] 有支持穩定台股的力量
[08:44.340 -> 08:46.500] 所以即便是有時候是想賣超
[08:46.600 -> 08:47.940] 台股還是可以向上漲
[08:47.940 -> 08:49.340] 或者是明顯的買超
[08:49.400 -> 08:50.760] 台股可以漲更多
[08:50.900 -> 08:53.900] 但是在今天的三大法人的佈局上面
[08:53.900 -> 08:55.700] 是蠻明顯來買超的
[08:55.700 -> 08:58.060] 當然相較於前一個假日這個大紅盤
[08:58.160 -> 09:00.400] 當然會減縮一點點啦
[09:00.400 -> 09:02.240] 但還是相對是蠻明顯的
[09:02.240 -> 09:03.500] 還是有超過100億
[09:03.540 -> 09:05.800] 134億這樣子的一個買超
[09:05.900 -> 09:09.400] 但是台股其實只上漲了110點
[09:09.400 -> 09:12.240] 通常這個往上的數字都是來大於
[09:12.240 -> 09:14.340] 三大法人的買超的
[09:14.400 -> 09:16.900] 但沒想到今天是稍微有一點點
[09:16.900 -> 09:18.240] 往下掉一些
[09:18.240 -> 09:19.760] 所以可能還是有對應的
[09:19.760 -> 09:21.660] 這樣子的小賣壓出現
[09:21.660 -> 09:23.600] 其實我們剛剛看這個走勢圖的時候
[09:23.600 -> 09:24.540] 就可以看到
[09:24.600 -> 09:26.260] 在最後試戳之前呢
[09:26.260 -> 09:29.140] 其實都不是非常有信心一定可以破
[09:29.140 -> 09:30.300] 16500
[09:30.340 -> 09:32.660] 是試戳最後一段來明顯的突破的
[09:32.660 -> 09:35.140] 所以中間其實都還是有遇到一些賣壓
[09:35.140 -> 09:37.900] 畢竟有挑戰16500好幾次
[09:37.900 -> 09:39.160] 但是都被壓下來
[09:39.160 -> 09:39.900] 所以確實
[09:40.000 -> 09:43.100] 是有發生一些賣壓這樣子的一個現象
[09:44.200 -> 09:46.300] 那特別從成交值排行榜也可以注意到
[09:46.300 -> 09:48.300] 好像也沒有想像中的
[09:48.300 -> 09:50.940] 這麼全部人氣勢都很好
[09:51.000 -> 09:51.540] 我們來看一下
[09:51.540 -> 09:52.640] 其實這一頁就可以看到
[09:52.640 -> 09:55.440] 有蠻多個 而且都是蠻有名的
[09:55.440 -> 09:57.200] 就是很熱門的這些個股
[09:57.200 -> 09:59.640] 其實今天表現不是太理想
[09:59.760 -> 10:02.660] 那首先來看到成交值排行榜是第一名
[10:02.660 -> 10:04.740] 第一名今天是威盛
[10:04.940 -> 10:09.600] 威盛今天上漲了13塊9.85個百分比
[10:09.600 -> 10:10.800] 他是直接漲停了
[10:10.800 -> 10:13.200] 而且蠻早就漲停鎖死了
[10:13.300 -> 10:16.060] 那最終是收在145元
[10:16.060 -> 10:19.100] 那相較之下他的價錢算稍微比較便宜一點
[10:19.100 -> 10:21.360] 所以他的量也算是蠻大的
[10:21.460 -> 10:24.560] 那這個威盛就是IC設計的公司
[10:24.560 -> 10:25.800] 所以剛剛看到半導體其實表現應該是要蠻大的那這個威盛就是IC設計的公司所以剛剛看到半導體
[10:25.800 -> 10:27.980] 其實表現應該是要蠻不錯的
[10:28.040 -> 10:28.740] 為什麼呢
[10:28.740 -> 10:30.540] 我們可以接下來看幾個
[10:30.640 -> 10:32.800] 今天其實前四名
[10:32.800 -> 10:34.040] 威盛 世芯
[10:34.540 -> 10:37.840] 系統以及愛普全部都是IC設計
[10:37.840 -> 10:40.400] 第五名台積電就是這個IC代工
[10:40.400 -> 10:41.900] 所以其實前五名全部
[10:41.940 -> 10:44.280] 都跟半導體是相關的
[10:44.440 -> 10:45.300] 那第二名呢
[10:45.300 -> 10:46.500] 則是世芯KY
[10:46.500 -> 10:49.760] 世芯KY是上漲了35塊
[10:49.760 -> 10:51.120] 1.24個百分比
[10:51.120 -> 10:54.160] 收在2855元
[10:54.360 -> 10:55.620] 那其實世芯KY呢
[10:55.620 -> 10:57.820] 他的漲幅一點多
[10:57.820 -> 10:59.560] 並沒有非常非常的強勢
[10:59.600 -> 11:01.520] 那其實仔細來看走勢的話
[11:01.520 -> 11:05.000] 他其實一開始是開低還往下拉了一段
[11:05.300 -> 11:07.500] 那後面是慢慢慢慢的爬起來
[11:07.500 -> 11:10.500] 然後最後成功有往上收一個紅盤
[11:10.640 -> 11:11.640] 那他的線圖呢
[11:11.640 -> 11:14.800] 就是一個很明顯有一段下影線的這種線圖
[11:14.900 -> 11:16.340] 那也是在尾盤試戳之後
[11:16.340 -> 11:18.240] 也是蠻明顯往上衝的
[11:18.240 -> 11:21.260] 所以確實跟這個今天大盤的最後往上衝
[11:21.340 -> 11:24.300] 應該都有一些對應的這種貢獻度了
[11:24.300 -> 11:26.140] 這個是第二名的世芯
[11:27.260 -> 11:29.460] 那整個前五名的都是紅色的
[11:29.460 -> 11:31.740] 除了就是第三名的系統了
[11:31.740 -> 11:34.460] 第三名系統也是IC設計的公司
[11:34.460 -> 11:37.800] 但是他今天是跌停鎖死的
[11:37.800 -> 11:39.660] 最後是直接跌停了
[11:39.660 -> 11:41.640] 下跌了5.8塊
[11:41.640 -> 11:43.960] 最後收在52.3元
[11:43.960 -> 11:45.640] 一開始是開紅盤的
[11:45.700 -> 11:46.300] 然後呢
[11:46.300 -> 11:48.840] 蠻快大概9點10幾分的時候呢
[11:48.840 -> 11:50.440] 就變成往下走跌
[11:50.440 -> 11:52.400] 然後整大段就開始
[11:52.460 -> 11:53.940] 氣勢蠻不好的
[11:53.940 -> 11:55.340] 持續的往下掉
[11:55.340 -> 11:58.140] 最後就是直接來跌停了
[11:58.200 -> 12:00.000] 那可能跟系統這個公司
[12:00.000 -> 12:02.960] 他自己本身有一些相關的新聞
[12:02.960 -> 12:05.000] 看起來應該是這樣那親手稍微看了些相關的新聞看起來應該是這樣
[12:06.240 -> 12:08.740] 親手稍微看了一下相關的新聞
[12:08.740 -> 12:12.040] 系統是因為股價波動比較劇烈
[12:12.040 -> 12:15.340] 所以他之前是被列成處置股
[12:15.340 -> 12:18.840] 那在今天是出關恢復成正常交易
[12:18.840 -> 12:22.040] 只是沒想到出關了正常交易之後
[12:22.040 -> 12:25.260] 卻是直接亮這個跌停的燈
[12:25.260 -> 12:26.960] 表現比較不理想一些些了
[12:26.960 -> 12:29.760] 所以可能是近期確實來回的這個
[12:29.760 -> 12:30.900] 波動比較明顯
[12:30.900 -> 12:32.100] 那目前呢大家的
[12:32.200 -> 12:34.800] 是相對來說看起來是比較不看好的
[12:34.800 -> 12:36.200] 因為是跌停嘛
[12:36.200 -> 12:38.560] 所以這樣的解釋或許是蠻合理的
[12:38.560 -> 12:41.300] 那其實他真的並不算是很貴的公司
[12:41.300 -> 12:44.000] 所以這個成交量真的是非常非常大
[12:44.000 -> 12:46.480] 才能讓他進到成交值排行榜
[12:46.540 -> 12:48.080] 只不過是跌停進來的
[12:48.080 -> 12:50.200] 所以相對來說真的是比較弱勢的
[12:50.200 -> 12:51.400] 一個情況了
[12:51.440 -> 12:52.500] 那比較熟悉系統
[12:52.500 -> 12:54.100] 最近發生什麼事的觀眾朋友
[12:54.100 -> 12:56.180] 也非常歡迎在底下留言分享一下
[12:56.180 -> 12:59.140] 你觀察到的系統的相關消息是如何
[12:59.140 -> 13:00.880] 你自己又是怎麼解讀的
[13:01.300 -> 13:01.540] 好
[13:01.540 -> 13:04.200] 那再來回到成交值排行榜的第四名
[13:04.200 -> 13:06.600] 則是愛普也是IC設計的公司
[13:06.600 -> 13:08.900] 今天上漲了12.5元
[13:09.100 -> 13:10.000] 三年一
[13:10.260 -> 13:13.360] 4個百分比收在410元
[13:13.600 -> 13:15.100] 第五名就是台積電了
[13:15.100 -> 13:17.660] 今天上漲2塊0.37個百分比
[13:17.660 -> 13:19.860] 收在549元
[13:19.860 -> 13:22.000] 那台積電的今天相對來說
[13:22.060 -> 13:23.840] 漲幅沒有這麼明顯
[13:23.840 -> 13:26.440] 所以他的貢獻度數字也沒有超級大
[13:26.440 -> 13:27.700] 就是正16
[13:27.840 -> 13:29.340] 這樣子的一個貢獻度而已
[13:29.340 -> 13:31.740] 台股整個向上漲了110點
[13:31.800 -> 13:34.500] 所以還是由大家一起表現的很不錯
[13:34.500 -> 13:37.400] 一起來讓台股最終可以收復16500
[13:37.400 -> 13:39.500] 這樣子的一個整數價位的
[13:40.500 -> 13:41.340] 那其實底下呢
[13:41.340 -> 13:44.260] 看到的也都是很熟悉的這些個股
[13:44.260 -> 13:49.000] 譬如說這個廣達可能就會來跟跟微創跟技嘉一起來討論
[13:49.000 -> 13:52.000] AI相關的概念5或是電腦周邊的
[13:52.000 -> 13:55.000] 但是滿剛好的這三個今天都是收黑的
[13:55.000 -> 13:57.000] 最後是向下走跌的
[13:57.000 -> 14:00.000] 其實往下看有滿多紅綠交錯的
[14:00.000 -> 14:03.000] 但也都是近期滿熱門的這些個股
[14:03.000 -> 14:05.540] 例如又看到鴻海了鴻海近期是��熱門的這些個股例如這一天又看到這個鴻海了
[14:05.540 -> 14:08.540] 鴻海近期是有一個相關的消息
[14:08.540 -> 14:09.840] 除了中共之外有
[14:09.840 -> 14:13.080] 中國的這個查稅之外
[14:13.080 -> 14:16.380] 好像有一些已經對外說是
[14:16.380 -> 14:18.220] 非真實的消息
[14:18.220 -> 14:19.920] 所以大家看新聞的時候還是要再
[14:19.920 -> 14:21.720] 仔細明辨是非一下
[14:21.720 -> 14:23.960] 雖然鴻海有出來澄清了這個
[14:23.960 -> 14:26.900] 傳聞中的這個要賠償的數字
[14:26.900 -> 14:28.900] 還是有一些地已經被收回去了
[14:28.940 -> 14:31.040] 相關的消息其實是錯誤的
[14:31.040 -> 14:31.940] 但是看來
[14:32.040 -> 14:34.440] 投資人還是有多多少少被影響到
[14:34.440 -> 14:36.640] 所以今天又是向下走跌了
[14:36.640 -> 14:39.200] 鴻海今天是95.8塊
[14:39.300 -> 14:40.000] 那其他呢
[14:40.000 -> 14:41.300] 其實有很多的個股
[14:41.300 -> 14:43.200] 今天都可以來多觀察一下
[14:43.200 -> 14:45.440] 特別是今天其實台股還是算蠻明顯
[14:45.440 -> 14:46.240] 紅盤的
[14:46.340 -> 14:47.280] 但是你可以注意到
[14:47.280 -> 14:48.540] 全家指盤網報裡面
[14:48.540 -> 14:51.840] 光這一頁還沒往下滑就好幾個個股
[14:51.840 -> 14:53.680] 其實狀態不是很理想
[14:53.740 -> 14:55.980] 也可以再仔細看看說到底是
[14:56.040 -> 14:57.880] 最近有一些負面的消息
[14:57.880 -> 15:00.140] 還是累積了一些賣壓
[15:00.140 -> 15:02.180] 然後在這時候來做釋放
[15:02.180 -> 15:03.500] 所以可以再比較一下
[15:03.600 -> 15:05.200] 狀態到底是如何
[15:05.200 -> 15:07.900] 那當然也可以找一下非常強勢的個股
[15:07.900 -> 15:09.100] 就像剛剛看到的
[15:09.100 -> 15:10.660] 這個直接來漲停的
[15:10.660 -> 15:11.800] 像這種9點
[15:11.800 -> 15:13.500] 這個第一名的威盛啊
[15:13.560 -> 15:14.400] 或者是一些
[15:14.400 -> 15:17.400] 比較明顯在紅盤的超過0.5個
[15:17.400 -> 15:18.600] 超過5個百分比
[15:18.600 -> 15:20.260] 這樣子紅盤向上的個股
[15:20.260 -> 15:22.500] 可能今天都算是蠻強勢了
[15:23.760 -> 15:26.500] 那最後呢一起來關心一下全球股市
[15:27.240 -> 15:28.000] 其實台股呢
[15:28.000 -> 15:30.440] 最後向上漲了0.68個百分比
[15:30.440 -> 15:31.940] 相較於亞洲其他國家
[15:31.940 -> 15:34.500] 包含日本1.1個百分比的紅盤
[15:34.500 -> 15:38.140] 南韓1.08個百分比的紅盤
[15:38.140 -> 15:41.300] 其實台股稍微算是有一點點弱勢
[15:41.400 -> 15:43.300] 其實光看剛剛的走勢圖
[15:43.300 -> 15:43.940] 就可以注意到
[15:43.940 -> 15:47.340] 其實往上走16500被下壓了好幾次
[15:47.340 -> 15:50.640] 其實到最後的試戳前
[15:50.640 -> 15:52.540] 看起來都好像還不是很確定
[15:52.540 -> 15:54.640] 到底能不能夠拿下16500
[15:54.640 -> 15:56.840] 特別是已經往下壓了好幾次了
[15:56.940 -> 15:58.940] 那有點是靠最後試戳
[15:58.940 -> 16:00.340] 待會有興趣的觀眾朋友
[16:00.340 -> 16:01.340] 可以再仔細看一下
[16:01.340 -> 16:02.800] 你比較熟悉的個股
[16:02.800 -> 16:05.500] 是不是微盤有一個明顯的向上拉
[16:05.560 -> 16:07.300] 那透過這個明顯向上拉呢
[16:07.300 -> 16:09.900] 最終有來突破這個16500
[16:09.900 -> 16:11.560] 但也會讓人稍微擔心
[16:11.560 -> 16:14.160] 是不是沒辦法站穩這個位置
[16:14.200 -> 16:15.560] 特別是今天的漲幅呢
[16:15.560 -> 16:17.000] 相較於日本跟南韓
[16:17.000 -> 16:19.660] 其實也是稍微弱勢一些些
[16:19.660 -> 16:21.360] 那當然是持續向上漲的
[16:21.360 -> 16:23.500] 還是也可以來期待啦
[16:23.560 -> 16:24.400] 只不過呢
[16:24.400 -> 16:26.100] 現在的迷你道瓊奇
[16:26.100 -> 16:28.100] 納茲達克期貨跟 S&P期貨
[16:28.100 -> 16:29.760] 開始出現分歧了
[16:29.800 -> 16:32.240] 而且納茲達克跟 S&P的期貨呢
[16:32.240 -> 16:34.040] 其實都是往下走的
[16:34.060 -> 16:35.960] 我們來看一下他們對應到的
[16:35.960 -> 16:37.900] 歐股的影響是如何
[16:37.900 -> 16:41.260] 來判斷美股可能會開什麼樣的盤勢了
[16:41.760 -> 16:43.140] 那現在看起來的歐股呢
[16:43.140 -> 16:44.860] 狀態不是很理想
[16:44.860 -> 16:47.060] 第一個先來看到的是英國
[16:47.220 -> 16:50.160] 空盤了一大段之後慢慢的往下修
[16:50.160 -> 16:52.120] 那剛剛已經跌落著收了
[16:52.120 -> 16:53.120] 所以現在是在
[16:53.120 -> 16:55.260] 著收之下在收底
[16:55.260 -> 16:57.200] 在跌幅的一個狀態
[16:57.200 -> 16:59.060] 0.07個百分比的走跌
[16:59.100 -> 17:00.320] 還沒有離著收太遠
[17:00.320 -> 17:03.200] 但是有一個明顯往下墜的感覺了
[17:03.360 -> 17:04.760] 德國也是有往下墜的
[17:04.760 -> 17:07.560] 但因為開高往上拉比較高的關係
[17:07.560 -> 17:09.720] 這個餘額還蠻多的
[17:09.720 -> 17:11.960] 所以目前距離左手還有一小段距離
[17:12.020 -> 17:13.920] 但也有嘗試來彈起來
[17:13.920 -> 17:17.160] 目前是只剩下0.12%的紅盤
[17:17.360 -> 17:18.560] 再來看到的是法國
[17:18.560 -> 17:20.660] 線圖也蠻相似的開高往上拉
[17:20.660 -> 17:22.620] 但是賣壓往下掉
[17:22.620 -> 17:23.960] 所以也跌落著收
[17:23.960 -> 17:25.200] 拉距了好一陣子
[17:25.200 -> 17:27.960] 現在也是在著收之下的跌幅來到
[17:27.960 -> 17:29.700] 0.12個百分比
[17:29.800 -> 17:31.500] 荷蘭的線圖也蠻相似的
[17:31.500 -> 17:34.060] 現在是跌幅0.08個百分比
[17:34.060 -> 17:35.800] 都還沒有很明顯
[17:35.800 -> 17:38.400] 那因為新手今天錄製的時間也稍微早一點點
[17:38.400 -> 17:40.700] 所以還不是很確定會怎麼樣
[17:40.700 -> 17:41.860] 但是看起來都是
[17:41.900 -> 17:43.200] 掙扎了一段之後
[17:43.200 -> 17:46.460] 但是力道蠻明顯還是來跌落著收的
[17:46.500 -> 17:47.720] 那就像剛剛看到的
[17:47.720 -> 17:50.400] 這個納茲達克期貨跟S&P期貨的方向
[17:50.400 -> 17:51.720] 確實是向下
[17:51.720 -> 17:53.360] 比較不理想一點
[17:53.460 -> 17:57.100] 可以來看到這個台指期貨夜盤
[17:57.100 -> 17:59.420] 他現在也是往下走跌了
[17:59.460 -> 18:01.600] 數字來到16488
[18:01.600 -> 18:04.360] 所以這個16500呢也已經掉了
[18:04.360 -> 18:05.660] 這個位置已經掉了
[18:05.660 -> 18:07.800] 是不是代表美股連漲兩天
[18:07.800 -> 18:09.300] 而且比例都蠻大的
[18:09.300 -> 18:11.060] 會有遇到一些些的壓力
[18:11.060 -> 18:13.160] 要來做稍微做修正一下
[18:13.160 -> 18:14.560] 往下壓一點點
[18:14.560 -> 18:17.500] 釋放一下壓力或許是有可能的
[18:17.500 -> 18:19.020] 那這樣子的趨勢呢
[18:19.020 -> 18:21.100] 當然跟台股自己其實也蠻
[18:21.100 -> 18:22.600] 有機會來遇到的
[18:22.600 -> 18:23.920] 因為連漲了兩天
[18:23.920 -> 18:26.340] 特別是這兩天的長度
[18:26.340 -> 18:28.780] 特別是前一個假日非常非常的高
[18:28.780 -> 18:31.780] 直接跨越了三個關鍵價位
[18:31.780 -> 18:33.560] 今天又再跨越一次
[18:33.560 -> 18:35.060] 所以這個算速度比較快
[18:35.060 -> 18:36.260] 感覺比較照
[18:36.260 -> 18:37.860] 要不要用照進呢
[18:37.860 -> 18:40.060] 或者說就是速度衝比較快
[18:40.060 -> 18:40.920] 那速度衝比較快
[18:40.920 -> 18:44.160] 當然累積的賣壓可能也會比較強力一些些
[18:44.160 -> 18:47.040] 就是沒有適當的排解掉這個賣壓衝比較快當然累積的賣壓可能也會比較強力一些些就是沒有適當的排解掉這個賣壓
[18:47.040 -> 18:50.440] 衝比較快的時候賣壓可能就會比較明顯的來累積了
[18:51.100 -> 18:54.200] 特別是今天的走勢圖真的讓人覺得
[18:54.200 -> 18:58.140] 哇就是很明顯大家希望可以收在16500
[18:58.140 -> 18:59.340] 最後也成功了
[18:59.340 -> 19:02.440] 但是其實不能忽略過程中出現的賣壓
[19:02.740 -> 19:04.140] 新手之前其實提過
[19:04.140 -> 19:05.640] 這個所謂的真正要
[19:05.640 -> 19:09.140] 整個盤勢開始真的大好的樣子呢
[19:09.140 -> 19:11.700] 應該是要來突破前一次的高點
[19:11.700 -> 19:14.140] 也就是這個10月12號的高點
[19:14.140 -> 19:16.540] 那其實再前一次是9月15號
[19:16.600 -> 19:19.340] 10月12號就是沒突破9月15號的
[19:19.340 -> 19:20.840] 所以後來趴拉趴拉的
[19:20.900 -> 19:22.740] 又往下掉了一大截
[19:22.740 -> 19:25.560] 那今天這個強攻當然是很強硬
[19:25.560 -> 19:27.760] 是整個全球的氣氛的關係
[19:27.760 -> 19:29.120] 很強硬的往上漲
[19:29.220 -> 19:31.320] 那幾條線也轉為向上了
[19:31.320 -> 19:34.460] 所以是有機會來持續往上走的
[19:34.460 -> 19:36.660] 但是就要看累積的賣壓
[19:36.720 -> 19:38.700] 有沒有適度的來做釋放
[19:38.700 -> 19:41.920] 或者是其實賣壓並沒有想像中的重的話
[19:41.960 -> 19:43.360] 或許表現就可以不錯
[19:43.360 -> 19:44.760] 可以持續向上漲
[19:44.800 -> 19:46.460] 但其實剛剛看到成交值排行榜
[19:46.460 -> 19:49.240] 也注意到其實蠻多很熱門的這些
[19:49.240 -> 19:50.000] 就是這些
[19:50.040 -> 19:52.800] 經常出現在前幾名的這幾個個股呢
[19:52.800 -> 19:54.840] 今天的表現也不是太理想
[19:54.860 -> 19:57.600] 所以確實有可能累積了一大段的
[19:57.600 -> 19:59.240] 往下走跌
[19:59.240 -> 20:00.860] 所以多多少少會有想要
[20:00.900 -> 20:03.360] 他翻成紅盤了 趕快出一下
[20:03.400 -> 20:06.540] 來減緩一下壓力的這種情況
[20:06.540 -> 20:08.840] 就是所謂的累積的一些些的賣壓
[20:08.840 -> 20:12.060] 當然要釋出一點賣壓才會比較
[20:12.060 -> 20:15.360] 確定賣壓都比較乾淨了 比較釐清了之後
[20:15.360 -> 20:18.800] 再往上走可能就會比較少這種後顧之憂
[20:18.800 -> 20:21.400] 所以可能還要再波折一段
[20:21.400 -> 20:23.340] 但是因為今天已經週五了
[20:23.340 -> 20:26.880] 所以要等一個週末才可以知道台股會怎麼樣來開盤
[20:26.880 -> 20:28.080] 怎麼樣來走勢
[20:28.080 -> 20:31.120] 但還是可以先來關注今天晚上開盤的美股
[20:31.120 -> 20:33.920] 看看全球金融的狀態是如何
[20:33.920 -> 20:35.920] 那下週一究竟會如何呢
[20:35.920 -> 20:37.960] 就請要鎖定新手台股日記
[20:37.960 -> 20:39.200] 新手哪裡說錯了
[20:39.200 -> 20:40.560] 或是你認為有什麼樣的內容
[20:40.560 -> 20:42.720] 應該要加入台股日記一起來做討論的話
[20:42.720 -> 20:45.040] 都非常歡迎在底下留言
[20:45.040 -> 20:47.280] 那對於今天的走勢你覺得沒有錯
[20:47.280 -> 20:51.220] 今天就是很明顯要收16500點
[20:51.220 -> 20:52.520] 沒有任何的懸念
[20:52.520 -> 20:54.520] 或是你跟新手一樣覺得有一點擔心
[20:54.520 -> 20:55.800] 其實被壓了好幾次
[20:55.800 -> 21:00.760] 就是試做這個很長往上才收復的16500的位置
[21:00.760 -> 21:02.260] 稍微有點令人擔心
[21:02.260 -> 21:03.880] 你是樂觀派還是被關派呢
[21:03.880 -> 21:06.000] 非常歡迎在底下留言分享你的看法
[21:06.000 -> 21:08.000] 大家可以一起來討論
[21:08.000 -> 21:10.000] 那我們就下週一再見囉 掰掰